
Volume
$22K
Txns
286
Traders
80
Fees
$0
Ends
Jun 30, 2025
On April 2, 2025, Donald Trump announced a 20% reciprocal tariff on all imports from the European Union, set to take effect on April 9, 2025, at 12:01 a.m. EDT, as part of the “Liberation Day” tariff plan (see: https://www.whitehouse.gov/briefing-room/presidential-actions/2025/04/02/regulating-imports-with-a-reciprocal-tariff-to-rectify-trade-practices-that-contribute-to-large-and-persistent-annual-united-states-goods-trade-deficits/). This market will resolve to “Yes” if Donald Trump signs any federal legislation or performs any executive action that lowers, pauses, delays, or removes any tariffs on imports from the European Union by June 30, 2025, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. Actions that lower, pause, delay, or remove any tariffs on EU imports will qualify, including changes to the 20% reciprocal tariff, or any other existing or new tariffs affecting EU goods. Only the removal of tariffs specifically targeting the EU will qualify. For example, the removal of the 10% general tariff on all imports into the U.S., or a tariff on specific EU member states will not count toward this market's resolution. Any action officially enacted within the market’s time frame will qualify, regardless of when the change goes into effect. This market’s primary resolution source will be official information from the Trump administration; however, a consensus of credible information from major news outlets or government statements will also be used.
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?
No 76%$20.3Mvolume
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the June 2026 meeting?
Yes 99%$20.9Mvolume
Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the June 2026 meeting?
No 100%$8.33Mvolume
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?
No 56%$4.37Mvolume
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31?
Yes 77%$1.29Mvolume
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by June 15?
No 100%$7.16Mvolume
| Age | Trader | Outcome | Shares | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1y | 0x4e25...5cd7a7 | No / 0.1¢ | +270.00 | $0.27 | |
| 1y | pootytherewardfarmer | No / 0.1¢ | +51.00 | $0.05 | |
| 1y | qwertzu | No / 0.1¢ | +200.00 | $0.2 | |
| 1y | ArmageddonRewardsBilly | No / 0.1¢ | +200.00 | $0.2 | |
| 1y | 0x4e25...5cd7a7 | No / 0.1¢ | +180.00 | $0.18 | |
| 1y | samhain4ik | No / 0.1¢ | +895.04 | $0.9 | |
| 1y | AreWeNotEntertained | Yes / 99.9¢ | +6,276.04 | $6.27K | |
| 1y | 0x4e25...5cd7a7 | No / 0.1¢ | +90.00 | $0.09 | |
| 1y | elon777 | No / 0.1¢ | +4,000.00 | $4 | |
| 1y | yinjing | No / 0.1¢ | +390.00 | $0.39 | |
| 1y | lmueller | No / 0.1¢ | -149.97 | $0.15 | |
| 1y | 25usdc | Yes / 99.9¢ | -45.01 | $45 | |
| 1y | samhain4ik | No / 0.1¢ | +104.96 | $0.1 | |
| 1y | smoltrader | No / 0.1¢ | +47.01 | $0.05 | |
| 1y | qwertzu | No / 0.1¢ | -67.01 | $0.09 | |
| 1y | caopan | Yes / 99.8¢ | -20.00 | $20 | |
| 1y | qwertzu | No / 0.1¢ | -20.99 | $0.02 | |
| 1y | split | Yes / 99.9¢ | -20.99 | $21 | |
| 1y | planktonXD | No / 1.4¢ | -51.93 | $0.73 | |
| 1y | 0xe1e6371675b9c634d3c2B132328331596B2db1af-1729087848259 | No / 1.4¢ | +72.93 | $1 | |
| 1y | split | Yes / 98.7¢ | +21.00 | $20.7 | |
| 1y | qwertzu | No / 0.1¢ | -55.00 | $0.06 | |
| 1y | pootytherewardfarmer | No / 0.1¢ | +55.00 | $0.06 | |
| 1y | lsinvest | No / 0.1¢ | -143.00 | $0.14 | |
| 1y | qwertzu | No / 0.1¢ | +143.00 | $0.14 |
1–25