
Volume
$594K
Txns
5,110
Traders
1,085
Fees
$0
Ends
Apr 30, 2025
On February 1, Donald Trump imposed a 25% tariff on imports from Mexico (see: https://www.whitehouse.gov/fact-sheets/2025/02/fact-sheet-president-donald-j-trump-imposes-tariffs-on-imports-from-canada-mexico-and-china/) This market will resolve to “Yes” if Donald Trump signs any federal legislation or performs any executive action which removes the 25% general tariff on Mexico by April 30, 2025, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise this market will resolve to “No”. Actions which remove the general 25% tariff will qualify even if there are item specific exceptions for which the tariff still applies. However, lowering the general tariff below 25% without removing it will not qualify. Any action which is officially enacted within the market's time frame will qualify, regardless of when the removal goes into effect. This market's primary resolution source will be official information from the Trump administration, however a consensus of credible information will also be used.
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by June 15?
No 99%$5.9Mvolume
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the June 2026 meeting?
Yes 99%$17Mvolume
Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 50+ bps after the June 2026 meeting?
No 100%$9.89Mvolume
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?
No 90%$17.2Mvolume
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the June 2026 meeting?
No 99%$5.63Mvolume
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?
No 70%$3.53Mvolume
| Age | Trader | Outcome | Shares | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1y | YoungFatWalletUwU | No / 99.9¢ | +5.01 | $5 | |
| 1y | bigboops | No / 99.9¢ | -5.01 | $5 | |
| 1y | Serega-pro | No / 97.8¢ | -8.62 | $8.43 | |
| 1y | bigboops | No / 97.8¢ | +8.62 | $8.43 | |
| 1y | stuartdavid | No / 99.9¢ | +1.14 | $1.14 | |
| 1y | qwertzu | Yes / 0.1¢ | +1.14 | $0 | |
| 1y | wheelerfrank | No / 99.9¢ | +1.05 | $1.05 | |
| 1y | Geromi | Yes / 0.1¢ | +1.05 | $0 | |
| 1y | jamesschmitt | No / 99.9¢ | +1.10 | $1.1 | |
| 1y | Geromi | Yes / 0.1¢ | +1.10 | $0 | |
| 1y | melaniemendoza | No / 99.9¢ | +1.16 | $1.16 | |
| 1y | Geromi | Yes / 0.1¢ | +1.16 | $0 | |
| 1y | Geromi | Yes / 0.1¢ | +39.39 | $0.04 | |
| 1y | qwertzu | Yes / 0.1¢ | -39.39 | $0.04 | |
| 1y | Second-Autumn | Yes / 0.1¢ | +1,384.97 | $1.38 | |
| 1y | ArmageddonRewardsBilly | Yes / 0.1¢ | -1,384.97 | $1.38 | |
| 1y | qwertzu | Yes / 0.1¢ | +13.54 | $0.01 | |
| 1y | robertmcgee | No / 99.9¢ | +13.54 | $13.5 | |
| 1y | qwertzu | Yes / 0.1¢ | +6.97 | $0.01 | |
| 1y | lutztiffany | No / 99.9¢ | +6.97 | $6.96 | |
| 1y | arroyoconnie | No / 99.9¢ | +5.79 | $5.78 | |
| 1y | qwertzu | Yes / 0.1¢ | +5.79 | $0.01 | |
| 1y | qwertzu | Yes / 0.1¢ | +1.13 | $0 | |
| 1y | nicolehicks | No / 99.9¢ | +1.13 | $1.13 | |
| 1y | matthewdonaldson | No / 99.9¢ | +10.27 | $10.3 |
1–25