
Volume
$127K
Txns
2,139
Traders
367
Fees
$0
Ends
Jul 8, 2025
On April 2, 2025, Donald Trump announced reciprocal tariffs above the 10% baseline on 76 countries (59 countries specifically listed and the EU). On April 9, Trump suspended all these tariffs other than those on China for 90 days until July 9, 2025, 12:01 AM ET (see: https://www.whitehouse.gov/presidential-actions/2025/04/modifying-reciprocal-tariff-rates-to-reflect-trading-partner-retaliation-and-alignment/) This market will resolve to “Yes” if Donald Trump announces he will further delay, remove or lower the "reciprocal" tariff on imports from 38 of the countries by July 8, 2025, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. Actions that lower, further delay, or remove the general ‘reciprocal’ tariffs on imports from the relevant countries will qualify, however item specific exceptions or changes to tariffs which are not the general reciprocal tariff will not count. A reduction in the reciprocal 20% tariff on the EU will count for all 27 countries. A reduction in the reciprocal tariff on a specific EU member state will also count towards the total. The removal or reduction of the 10% general tariff on all imports into the U.S. will not qualify. This market’s primary resolution source will be official information from the Trump administration; however, a consensus of credible information from major news outlets or government statements will also be used.
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the June 2026 meeting?
Yes 99%$21.9Mvolume
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?
No 82%$20.8Mvolume
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?
No 51%$4.67Mvolume
Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 50+ bps after the June 2026 meeting?
No 100%$11.2Mvolume
Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the June 2026 meeting?
No 100%$8.71Mvolume
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by June 15?
No 100%$7.4Mvolume
| Age | Trader | Outcome | Shares | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11mo | 0x74a292 | No / 0.1¢ | +50.00 | $0.05 | |
| 11mo | ArmageddonRewardsBilly | No / 0.1¢ | +200.00 | $0.2 | |
| 11mo | ratue | No / 0.1¢ | +51.00 | $0.05 | |
| 11mo | honeylemon7 | No / 0.1¢ | +1,135.09 | $1.14 | |
| 11mo | wubddh | Yes / 99.9¢ | +2,036.09 | $2.03K | |
| 11mo | qwertzu | No / 0.1¢ | +50.00 | $0.05 | |
| 11mo | Funfzig | No / 0.1¢ | +550.00 | $0.55 | |
| 11mo | randomWalkingShrimp | Yes / 99.8¢ | -2,220.28 | $2.22K | |
| 11mo | wubddh | Yes / 99.8¢ | +2,271.28 | $2.27K | |
| 11mo | ratue | No / 0.2¢ | +51.00 | $0.1 | |
| 11mo | 0x74a292 | No / 0.2¢ | -50.00 | $0.1 | |
| 11mo | ratue | No / 0.2¢ | -50.00 | $0.1 | |
| 11mo | Funfzig | Yes / 99.8¢ | +400.00 | $399 | |
| 11mo | Mviper23 | No / 0.2¢ | +500.00 | $1 | |
| 11mo | honeylemon7 | No / 0.1¢ | +157.01 | $0.16 | |
| 11mo | 0xe993D3685D0659b0f165c36E23401BDaE62812c4-1751643962177 | No / 0.1¢ | -157.01 | $0.16 | |
| 11mo | .AnA.luz | No / 0.1¢ | -41.90 | $0.04 | |
| 11mo | honeylemon7 | No / 0.1¢ | +41.90 | $0.04 | |
| 11mo | Funfzig | Yes / 99.9¢ | +666.00 | $665 | |
| 11mo | honeylemon7 | No / 0.1¢ | +666.00 | $0.67 | |
| 11mo | qwertzu | No / 0.1¢ | -50.00 | $0.05 | |
| 11mo | 0x74a292 | No / 0.1¢ | +50.00 | $0.05 | |
| 11mo | ojirinya | Yes / 99.9¢ | +11.01 | $11 | |
| 11mo | qwertzu | No / 0.1¢ | +11.01 | $0.01 | |
| 11mo | 0x74a292 | No / 0.1¢ | -50.00 | $0.05 |
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