Will Trump restart Project Freedom by May 31?
ActiveVolume
$225K
Txns
3,185
Traders
679
Fees
$4
Liquidity
$25,918
Ends
May 31, 2026
Volume
$225K
Txns
3,185
Traders
679
Fees
$4
Liquidity
$25,918
Ends
May 31, 2026
Project Freedom was a U.S.-led military initiative to escort commercial ships through the Strait of Hormuz. This market will resolve to “Yes” if Donald Trump, the United States government, or the United States military announces that Project Freedom will be restarted by the specified date, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. An announcement explicitly stating that “Project Freedom” will be restarted will qualify. Additionally, any announcement of a substantially equivalent United States military program to escort, protect, or retrieve commercial ships in or through the Strait of Hormuz will qualify. Only definitive announcements will qualify. Suggestions, expressions of openness, reported preparations, or other non-definitive statements will not qualify. Any qualifying announcement within this market’s time frame will count, regardless of whether or when the announced program goes into effect. The primary resolution source will be official information from Donald Trump, the United States government, and the United States military; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Trades
| Age | Trader | Outcome | Shares | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25m | Metusalem | No / 81.0¢ | +52.63 | $42.6 | |
| 25m | 0xfa3a...aeeae0 | Yes / 19.0¢ | +52.63 | $10 | |
| 1h | 0x86Dd5200572b3EAe548d8fd9E807b78468D41Af2-1768052013112 | No / 83.0¢ | +10.00 | $8.3 | |
| 1h | PPMT | No / 82.0¢ | +9.28 | $7.61 | |
| 1h | woailj123 | No / 82.5¢ | -19.28 | $15.9 | |
| 1h | HerrieDavis | No / 84.0¢ | -5.00 | $4.2 | |
| 1h | 0x409c...a4ce06 | No / 84.0¢ | +5.00 | $4.2 | |
| 1h | iPhone5 | Yes / 16.0¢ | +5.06 | $0.81 | |
| 1h | 0x0952...54429a | No / 84.0¢ | +5.06 | $4.25 | |
| 1h | Digital-Boy | Yes / 14.0¢ | -14.97 | $2.1 | |
| 1h | g4z3ll3 | No / 86.0¢ | -4.97 | $4.27 | |
| 1h | 0x86Dd5200572b3EAe548d8fd9E807b78468D41Af2-1768052013112 | No / 86.0¢ | -10.00 | $8.6 | |
| 1h | AlAhmeda | Yes / 16.0¢ | -71.64 | $11.5 | |
| 1h | Digital-Boy | Yes / 16.0¢ | -16.97 | $2.72 | |
| 1h | GODISTHEGREATEST | No / 84.0¢ | -88.61 | $74.4 | |
| 2h | BLESS24 | No / 84.0¢ | -150.00 | $126 | |
| 2h | AlAhmeda | Yes / 16.0¢ | -150.00 | $24 | |
| 2h | BIGGIEE1 | No / 86.0¢ | +5.81 | $5 | |
| 2h | Bodytobody | No / 86.0¢ | -5.81 | $5 | |
| 2h | AlAhmeda | Yes / 16.0¢ | -288.93 | $46.2 | |
| 2h | BIGGIEE1 | No / 84.0¢ | -288.93 | $243 | |
| 2h | Digital-Boy | Yes / 14.0¢ | -25.00 | $3.5 | |
| 2h | g4z3ll3 | No / 86.0¢ | +11.04 | $9.49 | |
| 2h | GCNO1 | No / 85.0¢ | +320.33 | $272 | |
| 2h | AlAhmeda | Yes / 16.0¢ | -157.10 | $25.1 |
1–25
Iran closes its airspace by May 21?
No 96%$2.63Mvolume
US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?
No 76%$26.8Mvolume
Will the Iranian regime fall by May 31?
No 99%$24.6Mvolume
US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 22, 2026?
No 91%$1.42Mvolume
Iran closes its airspace by May 24?
No 80%$1.86Mvolume
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of May?
No 94%$17.5Mvolume