
Volume
$6K
Txns
342
Traders
101
Fees
$0
Ends
Jan 30, 2026
Donald Trump is set to announce a replacement for current Fed chair Jerome Powell on January 30, 2026 (https://www.cnbc.com/amp/2026/01/29/trump-says-he-will-announce-a-replacement-for-powell-as-fed-chair-friday-morning.html). This market will resolve to "Yes" if Donald Trump says the listed term during the event on January 30, 2026. Otherwise, the market will resolve to "No". Pluralization/possessive of the listed term will count toward the resolution of this market. Instances where the term is used in a compound word will count regardless of context (e.g., joyful is not a compound word for "joy," however, "killjoy" is a compounding of the words "kill" and "joy"). This market is explicitly about the Fed chairman announcement on January 30 (https://www.cnbc.com/amp/2026/01/29/trump-says-he-will-announce-a-replacement-for-powell-as-fed-chair-friday-morning.html). Speeches, events, or comments that occur outside of the named, scheduled event will not qualify toward this market's resolution. If the event contains a Q&A, it will count toward the resolution of this market. AI-generated audio or video will not count toward this market's resolution. If this event is definitively cancelled, or otherwise is not aired by January 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No". The resolution source will be video of the events. Only remarks which are broadcast or streamed live will count toward this market's resolution.
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?
No 83%$20.8Mvolume
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the June 2026 meeting?
Yes 99%$21.2Mvolume
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?
No 54%$4.58Mvolume
Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the June 2026 meeting?
No 100%$8.71Mvolume
Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 50+ bps after the June 2026 meeting?
No 100%$11.1Mvolume
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31?
Yes 83%$1.41Mvolume
| Age | Trader | Outcome | Shares | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4mo | 4... | Yes / 0.2¢ | +304.44 | $0.61 | |
| 4mo | Bertapotamous | No / 99.8¢ | +508.58 | $508 | |
| 4mo | 0x027dC1b9639eb55b807bf504017cc789eAe1DB21-1767606634614 | Yes / 0.1¢ | +20.00 | $0.02 | |
| 4mo | jcharger | No / 99.9¢ | -34.14 | $34.1 | |
| 4mo | 0xRocket666 | Yes / 0.1¢ | +150.00 | $0.15 | |
| 4mo | 4... | Yes / 0.3¢ | -5.55 | $0.02 | |
| 4mo | daroghi | No / 99.7¢ | -5.55 | $5.53 | |
| 4mo | tintinbebong | No / 99.5¢ | -5.55 | $5.52 | |
| 4mo | daroghi | No / 99.5¢ | +5.55 | $5.52 | |
| 4mo | 4... | Yes / 0.2¢ | +10.00 | $0.02 | |
| 4mo | Phil.guts5 | Yes / 0.2¢ | -10.00 | $0.02 | |
| 4mo | 4... | Yes / 0.3¢ | +40.00 | $0.12 | |
| 4mo | tempname001 | Yes / 0.3¢ | -40.00 | $0.12 | |
| 4mo | 4... | Yes / 0.5¢ | +27.81 | $0.14 | |
| 4mo | muchacho.eth | No / 99.5¢ | +27.81 | $27.7 | |
| 4mo | 0x062a15892b7Fd9ae4099221524efea982cF80a80-1769659187878 | Yes / 0.3¢ | -232.22 | $0.62 | |
| 4mo | 4... | Yes / 0.2¢ | +38.12 | $0.08 | |
| 4mo | 20to1k | No / 99.8¢ | -43.14 | $43.1 | |
| 4mo | 4... | Yes / 0.3¢ | +150.96 | $0.45 | |
| 4mo | Skibidibo | Yes / 1.0¢ | +100.00 | $1 | |
| 4mo | lidocaine | No / 99.0¢ | +100.00 | $99 | |
| 4mo | rocky42005 | No / 99.1¢ | +17.02 | $16.9 | |
| 4mo | -220- | No / 99.1¢ | +19.02 | $18.8 | |
| 4mo | Johntsui | No / 99.1¢ | -36.04 | $35.7 | |
| 4mo | 4... | Yes / 0.9¢ | -45.00 | $0.41 |
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