
Volume
$8K
Txns
130
Traders
36
Fees
$0
Ends
—
This market will resolve to “Yes” if Donald Trump or his administration takes a formal action or makes an official announcement directing the deployment of National Guard troops to the listed city by September 30, 2025, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, the market will resolve to “No.” A qualifying announcement or action will count, regardless of if/when the deployment actually occurs, or if the deployment is delayed, suspended, or subsequently blocked by judicial or other actions. Qualifying actions include but are not limited to: - A Presidential action (e.g., Executive Order, Presidential Memorandum) that directs or announces National Guard deployment to the listed city. - An official White House/DoD/National Guard Bureau press release, fact sheet, or order explicitly stating that National Guard troops will be deployed to the listed city. - A Secretary of Defense or NGB directive/order that calls up or assigns National Guard forces to the listed city, including under Title 32 (state control with federal funding) or Title 10 (federalized). - An official federal announcement that specific state Guard units (including the listed city National Guard or out-of-state Guard) are being sent to the listed city. Non-qualifying actions include: - Informal announcements/social media posts which do not constitute a formal policy announcement - Ambiguous remarks, “we’re considering it,” broad statements like “ready to go anywhere,” or contingent plans without a clear directive to the listed city. - Generic posture changes (e.g., standing up quick-reaction forces “nationwide”) that do not explicitly name the listed city as a deployment location. - A state-only activation by the listed city's state Governor without any official Trump administration action or announcement about sending the Guard to the listed city. The primary resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.
US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026?
No 85%$28.8Mvolume
US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?
No 59%$27Mvolume
Will Trump restart Project Freedom by June 30?
Yes 100%$5.72Mvolume
US x Iran permanent peace deal by July 31, 2026?
Yes 52%$7.64Mvolume
US x Iran permanent peace deal by December 31, 2026?
Yes 76%$12.2Mvolume
Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by June 30, 2026?
Yes 63%$3.36Mvolume
| Age | Trader | Outcome | Shares | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 8mo | 0x89Ea748Eb7b128C3552d7410Eb25D5d712B89A44-1754683093768 | No / 99.3¢ | -12.25 | $12.2 | |
| 8mo | Numitus1994 | Yes / 0.7¢ | -12.25 | $0.09 | |
| 8mo | Rayse | Yes / 0.1¢ | +1.00 | $0 | |
| 8mo | Friday | Yes / 0.1¢ | -1.00 | $0 | |
| 8mo | K1nder | No / 99.9¢ | +1.00 | $1 | |
| 8mo | Friday | Yes / 0.1¢ | +1.00 | $0 | |
| 8mo | daroghi | Yes / 0.7¢ | -38.98 | $0.27 | |
| 8mo | AI.AGENT.2026 | No / 99.2¢ | -187.74 | $186 | |
| 8mo | Numitus1994 | Yes / 0.8¢ | -148.76 | $1.19 | |
| 8mo | daroghi | Yes / 0.9¢ | -1.02 | $0.01 | |
| 8mo | Virginrooster | No / 99.1¢ | -1.02 | $1.01 | |
| 8mo | xxcx9 | No / 99.8¢ | +20.00 | $20 | |
| 8mo | daroghi | Yes / 0.2¢ | +20.00 | $0.04 | |
| 8mo | yappa | No / 99.8¢ | +20.00 | $20 | |
| 8mo | daroghi | Yes / 0.2¢ | +20.00 | $0.04 | |
| 8mo | thecaricature | Yes / 1.0¢ | +300.00 | $3 | |
| 8mo | Numitus1994 | Yes / 2.0¢ | +121.13 | $2.42 | |
| 8mo | wubddh | No / 98.9¢ | +1,779.13 | $1.76K | |
| 8mo | ArmageddonRewardsBilly | No / 99.0¢ | -200.00 | $198 | |
| 8mo | LBZero | Yes / 1.8¢ | +51.00 | $0.92 | |
| 8mo | ImJustKen | Yes / 1.1¢ | +750.00 | $8.25 | |
| 8mo | 50cents | Yes / 1.0¢ | +357.00 | $3.57 | |
| 8mo | AI.AGENT.2026 | No / 97.9¢ | -12.26 | $12 | |
| 8mo | 0x89Ea748Eb7b128C3552d7410Eb25D5d712B89A44-1754683093768 | No / 97.9¢ | +12.26 | $12 | |
| 8mo | Friday | Yes / 2.0¢ | -250.00 | $5 |
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