
Volume
$8K
Txns
186
Traders
55
Fees
$0
Ends
—
This market will resolve to “Yes” if Donald Trump or his administration takes a formal action or makes an official announcement directing the deployment of National Guard troops to the listed city by September 30, 2025, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, the market will resolve to “No.” A qualifying announcement or action will count, regardless of if/when the deployment actually occurs, or if the deployment is delayed, suspended, or subsequently blocked by judicial or other actions. Qualifying actions include but are not limited to: - A Presidential action (e.g., Executive Order, Presidential Memorandum) that directs or announces National Guard deployment to the listed city. - An official White House/DoD/National Guard Bureau press release, fact sheet, or order explicitly stating that National Guard troops will be deployed to the listed city. - A Secretary of Defense or NGB directive/order that calls up or assigns National Guard forces to the listed city, including under Title 32 (state control with federal funding) or Title 10 (federalized). - An official federal announcement that specific state Guard units (including the listed city National Guard or out-of-state Guard) are being sent to the listed city. Non-qualifying actions include: - Informal announcements/social media posts which do not constitute a formal policy announcement - Ambiguous remarks, “we’re considering it,” broad statements like “ready to go anywhere,” or contingent plans without a clear directive to the listed city. - Generic posture changes (e.g., standing up quick-reaction forces “nationwide”) that do not explicitly name the listed city as a deployment location. - A state-only activation by the listed city's state Governor without any official Trump administration action or announcement about sending the Guard to the listed city. The primary resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.
US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026?
No 84%$29.6Mvolume
US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?
No 58%$27.2Mvolume
Will Trump restart Project Freedom by June 30?
Yes 100%$5.95Mvolume
US x Iran permanent peace deal by July 31, 2026?
Yes 53%$7.72Mvolume
Trump announces US x Iran ceasefire over by June 12?
No 100%$1.51Mvolume
Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by June 30, 2026?
Yes 64%$3.46Mvolume
| Age | Trader | Outcome | Shares | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 8mo | ArmageddonRewardsBilly | Yes / 0.1¢ | +98.74 | $0.1 | |
| 8mo | MAGA.ONE | No / 99.9¢ | +98.74 | $98.6 | |
| 8mo | ArmageddonRewardsBilly | Yes / 0.1¢ | +281.25 | $0.28 | |
| 8mo | S888 | Yes / 0.1¢ | -281.25 | $0.28 | |
| 8mo | m0rt | No / 99.9¢ | +10.00 | $9.99 | |
| 8mo | ArmageddonRewardsBilly | Yes / 0.1¢ | +10.00 | $0.01 | |
| 8mo | ArmageddonRewardsBilly | Yes / 0.1¢ | +100.00 | $0.1 | |
| 8mo | Tomdnc | No / 99.9¢ | +100.00 | $99.9 | |
| 8mo | burnurbackyard | No / 99.9¢ | +10.01 | $10 | |
| 8mo | ArmageddonRewardsBilly | Yes / 0.1¢ | +10.01 | $0.01 | |
| 8mo | daroghi | Yes / 1.8¢ | -5.00 | $0.09 | |
| 8mo | Heldenkampf | No / 98.2¢ | -5.00 | $4.91 | |
| 8mo | daroghi | Yes / 1.6¢ | -1.13 | $0.02 | |
| 8mo | Nathanielrr | No / 98.4¢ | -1.13 | $1.11 | |
| 8mo | daroghi | Yes / 1.6¢ | -38.00 | $0.61 | |
| 8mo | pootytherewardfarmer | No / 98.4¢ | -38.00 | $37.4 | |
| 8mo | GrayCat | No / 99.2¢ | -63.83 | $63.3 | |
| 8mo | S888 | Yes / 0.7¢ | +17.28 | $0.12 | |
| 8mo | Thescots | No / 99.2¢ | +91.32 | $90.6 | |
| 8mo | daroghi | Yes / 0.8¢ | +10.21 | $0.08 | |
| 8mo | FlickyFlacky | No / 98.4¢ | -10.21 | $10 | |
| 8mo | daroghi | Yes / 1.6¢ | -10.21 | $0.16 | |
| 8mo | GrayCat | No / 99.2¢ | -5.04 | $5 | |
| 8mo | Test-J | No / 99.2¢ | +5.04 | $5 | |
| 8mo | yappa | No / 99.2¢ | +20.00 | $19.8 |
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