
Volume
$92K
Txns
699
Traders
190
Fees
$0
Ends
Oct 31, 2025
This market will resolve based on whether the US armed forces conduct a strike against any watercraft designated as a narco terrorist target in the Western hemisphere on a given date in ET. A qualifying "strike" is defined as the use of aerial bombs, drones, naval guns, artillery, or missiles (including cruise or ballistic missiles) launched by US military forces at a qualifying watercraft that is officially acknowledged by the US government or a consensus of credible reporting. A boarding or the use of small arms fire will not qualify toward a "Yes" resolution. The resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting. If the date/time of a strike cannot be confirmed by a consensus of credible reporting within 48 hours of this market's end date, it will resolve to "No" regardless of whether a strike was later confirmed to have taken place.
US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026?
No 83%$29Mvolume
US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?
No 57%$27.2Mvolume
US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by June 12?
No 100%$4.56Mvolume
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?
No 83%$20.8Mvolume
Will Trump restart Project Freedom by June 30?
Yes 100%$5.95Mvolume
US-Iran nuclear deal by June 30?
No 56%$8.08Mvolume
| Age | Trader | Outcome | Shares | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7mo | rodia | No / 99.9¢ | -5.49 | $5.48 | |
| 7mo | PredictionYogi | No / 99.9¢ | +5.49 | $5.48 | |
| 7mo | Imeancurry | No / 99.9¢ | -1,067.00 | $1.07K | |
| 7mo | PredictionYogi | No / 99.9¢ | +1,067.00 | $1.07K | |
| 7mo | just1percent | No / 99.9¢ | -5.00 | $5 | |
| 7mo | PredictionYogi | No / 99.9¢ | +5.00 | $5 | |
| 7mo | PredictionYogi | No / 99.9¢ | +1,429.69 | $1.43K | |
| 7mo | 2d6315 | No / 99.9¢ | -1,429.69 | $1.43K | |
| 7mo | CubaLibra | No / 99.9¢ | +126.86 | $127 | |
| 7mo | 2d6315 | No / 99.9¢ | -126.86 | $127 | |
| 7mo | 2d6315 | No / 99.9¢ | -469.00 | $469 | |
| 7mo | XPredicter1 | Yes / 0.1¢ | -469.00 | $0.47 | |
| 7mo | XPredicter1 | Yes / 0.1¢ | -31.00 | $0.03 | |
| 7mo | quepasamae | Yes / 0.1¢ | +31.00 | $0.03 | |
| 7mo | XPredicter1 | Yes / 0.1¢ | +500.00 | $0.5 | |
| 7mo | trashtier | No / 99.9¢ | +500.00 | $500 | |
| 7mo | Allinnothing | No / 99.9¢ | +200.00 | $200 | |
| 7mo | ArmageddonRewardsBilly | Yes / 0.1¢ | +200.00 | $0.2 | |
| 7mo | Allinnothing | No / 99.9¢ | +248.22 | $248 | |
| 7mo | ShackCHills | Yes / 0.1¢ | +50.00 | $0.05 | |
| 7mo | chillsshack | Yes / 0.1¢ | +198.22 | $0.2 | |
| 7mo | 0xC1471e5e80f7c5149f5D29bcf7-0717159345256 | Yes / 0.1¢ | +14.00 | $0.01 | |
| 7mo | chillsshack | Yes / 0.1¢ | +1.78 | $0 | |
| 7mo | Allinnothing | No / 99.9¢ | +15.78 | $15.8 | |
| 7mo | PRNewswire | Yes / 0.1¢ | +1,500.00 | $1.5 |
1–25