
Volume
$215K
Txns
2,235
Traders
419
Fees
$0
Ends
Oct 31, 2025
This market will resolve based on whether the US armed forces conduct a strike against any watercraft designated as a narco terrorist target in the Western hemisphere on a given date in ET. A qualifying "strike" is defined as the use of aerial bombs, drones, naval guns, artillery, or missiles (including cruise or ballistic missiles) launched by US military forces at a qualifying watercraft that is officially acknowledged by the US government or a consensus of credible reporting. A boarding or the use of small arms fire will not qualify toward a "Yes" resolution. The resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting. If the date/time of a strike cannot be confirmed by a consensus of credible reporting within 48 hours of this market's end date, it will resolve to "No" regardless of whether a strike was later confirmed to have taken place.
US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026?
No 83%$29Mvolume
US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?
No 60%$27.1Mvolume
US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by June 12?
No 99%$4.52Mvolume
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?
No 82%$20.8Mvolume
Will Trump restart Project Freedom by June 30?
Yes 100%$5.9Mvolume
US-Iran nuclear deal by June 30?
No 55%$8.08Mvolume
| Age | Trader | Outcome | Shares | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7mo | flatpaz | Yes / 0.6¢ | +171.67 | $1 | |
| 7mo | obezyana | No / 99.5¢ | +30.00 | $29.9 | |
| 7mo | esac | No / 99.4¢ | +141.67 | $141 | |
| 7mo | esac | No / 99.6¢ | +5,676.94 | $5.65K | |
| 7mo | woshiyeye | No / 99.6¢ | -5,676.94 | $5.65K | |
| 7mo | woshiyeye | No / 99.6¢ | -51.00 | $50.8 | |
| 7mo | esac | Yes / 0.4¢ | -51.00 | $0.2 | |
| 7mo | daroghi | Yes / 0.5¢ | +100.00 | $0.5 | |
| 7mo | 0x0820 | No / 99.6¢ | +500.00 | $498 | |
| 7mo | woshiyeye | No / 99.6¢ | -400.00 | $398 | |
| 7mo | styrohead | Yes / 0.7¢ | -100.00 | $0.7 | |
| 7mo | VvVv | Yes / 0.9¢ | -224.05 | $2.02 | |
| 7mo | PetroCan | Yes / 0.3¢ | -364.76 | $1.09 | |
| 7mo | styrohead | Yes / 0.8¢ | -100.00 | $0.8 | |
| 7mo | styrohead | Yes / 0.6¢ | -81.54 | $0.49 | |
| 7mo | styrohead | Yes / 0.5¢ | -100.00 | $0.5 | |
| 7mo | flatpaz | Yes / 0.6¢ | +1,070.35 | $6 | |
| 7mo | styrohead | Yes / 0.4¢ | -100.00 | $0.4 | |
| 7mo | BogsBunny | Yes / 0.1¢ | +1,613.11 | $1.61 | |
| 7mo | Allinnothing | Yes / 0.1¢ | -1,363.11 | $1.36 | |
| 7mo | rwo | Yes / 0.1¢ | -250.00 | $0.25 | |
| 7mo | Gambling-Addict | Yes / 0.3¢ | +334.00 | $0.9 | |
| 7mo | daroghi | Yes / 0.2¢ | -98.97 | $0.2 | |
| 7mo | PetroCan | Yes / 0.3¢ | -135.24 | $0.41 | |
| 7mo | styrohead | Yes / 0.3¢ | -99.79 | $0.3 |
1–25