
Volume
$11K
Txns
607
Traders
142
Fees
$0
Ends
Nov 5, 2024
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Arkansas has the largest margin of victory between Donald Trump and second place candidate of any state in the 2024 U.S. Presidential election. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". If Donald Trump loses this state in the 2024 U.S. Presidential election, this market will resolve to "No". The District of Columbia will not count. For the purpose of resolving this market, the 'margin of victory' is defined as the absolute difference between the percentages of votes received by Donald Trump and the second-place candidate. Percentages of the votes received by each party will be determined by dividing the total number of votes for Donald Trump and for the second place candidate by the sum of all votes cast in this state for the 2024 U.S. Presidential Election. The respective percentages of the vote won will be determined based on the official vote count once each listed state has certified their votes. If there is a recount in any listed state before certification, the market will remain open until the recount is completed and the vote is certified. If a recount occurs after certification, the recount will not be considered.
| Age | Trader | Outcome | Shares | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1y | wilder512 | No / 99.9¢ | +0.40 | $0.4 | |
| 1y | ExhaustedBoyBilly | No / 99.9¢ | -0.40 | $0.4 | |
| 1y | ExhaustedBoyBilly | No / 99.9¢ | -1.20 | $1.2 | |
| 1y | Hdd33 | No / 99.9¢ | +1.20 | $1.2 | |
| 1y | ExhaustedBoyBilly | No / 99.9¢ | -5.01 | $5 | |
| 1y | Analik | No / 99.9¢ | +5.01 | $5 | |
| 1y | cigarettes | No / 99.9¢ | +12.16 | $12.1 | |
| 1y | ExhaustedBoyBilly | No / 99.9¢ | -12.16 | $12.1 | |
| 1y | cigarettes | No / 99.9¢ | +17.84 | $17.8 | |
| 1y | ExhaustedBoyBilly | No / 99.9¢ | -17.84 | $17.8 | |
| 1y | ExhaustedBoyBilly | No / 99.9¢ | -6.75 | $6.74 | |
| 1y | pandaaa | No / 99.9¢ | +6.75 | $6.74 | |
| 1y | citroenpicasso | No / 99.9¢ | +9.01 | $9 | |
| 1y | ExhaustedBoyBilly | No / 99.9¢ | -9.01 | $9 | |
| 1y | lombardd-459 | No / 99.9¢ | +7.49 | $7.48 | |
| 1y | ExhaustedBoyBilly | No / 99.9¢ | -7.49 | $7.48 | |
| 1y | crazyy39 | No / 99.9¢ | +4.96 | $4.96 | |
| 1y | ExhaustedBoyBilly | No / 99.9¢ | -4.96 | $4.96 | |
| 1y | diugan | No / 99.9¢ | +5.90 | $5.89 | |
| 1y | ExhaustedBoyBilly | No / 99.9¢ | -5.90 | $5.89 | |
| 1y | pstrag | No / 99.9¢ | +6.98 | $6.97 | |
| 1y | ExhaustedBoyBilly | No / 99.9¢ | -6.98 | $6.97 | |
| 1y | atomowka | No / 99.9¢ | +8.61 | $8.6 | |
| 1y | ExhaustedBoyBilly | No / 99.9¢ | -8.61 | $8.6 | |
| 1y | ExhaustedBoyBilly | No / 99.9¢ | -7.16 | $7.15 |
1–25
Will Xavier Becerra win the 2026 California Governor Primary Election by less than 5%?
Yes 94%$5.81Kvolume
Will Xavier Becerra win the 2026 California Governor Primary Election by 5–10%?
No 94%$11.4Kvolume
2024 presidential election: Democrats win by 215+
No 100%$2.72Mvolume
Will Republicans have between 225 and 229 seats in House after election?
No 100%$123Kvolume
2024 presidential election: GOP wins by 65-104
Yes 100%$10.6Mvolume
Democrats win popular vote by 5-6%?
No 100%$603Kvolume