Will Trump's approval rating hit 50% in 2026?
ActiveVolume
$727
Txns
90
Traders
24
Fees
$0
Liquidity
$2,550
Ends
Dec 31, 2026
Volume
$727
Txns
90
Traders
24
Fees
$0
Liquidity
$2,550
Ends
Dec 31, 2026
This market will resolve to “Yes” if Donald Trump’s approval rating according to Silver Bulletin is equal to or higher than the listed value for any date between January 1 and December 31, 2026. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. Note that the approval ratings for this date must be finalized before it is considered for this market (namely, once the next data point is available, the previous one is finalized). This market's resolution source will be Silver Bulletin' approval rating poll aggregator, https://www.natesilver.net/p/trump-approval-ratings-nate-silver-bulletin, specifically the approval rating indicated by the green trend line for the resolution date. Changes in the methodology by which Silver Bulletin calculates the approval rating will have no bearing on the resolution of this market. If Silver Bulletin's approval rating becomes permanently unavailable, RealClearPolitics will be used. If the approval rating for December 31 is not published by January 4, 2027, 12:00 PM ET (noon), this market will resolve according to all previous datapoints.
Trades
| Age | Trader | Outcome | Shares | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25d | 0x41C134FE5c8aC0f1EEBf7855B050D75e6a2Af919-1765913752066 | Yes / 0.8¢ | -46.32 | $0.37 | |
| 25d | 27kgfdogodgfg | Yes / 0.8¢ | +1.82 | $0.01 | |
| 25d | 27kgfdogodgfg | Yes / 0.8¢ | +44.50 | $0.36 | |
| 1mo | 27kgfdogodgfg | Yes / 3.5¢ | -6.58 | $0.23 | |
| 1mo | AJSV | Yes / 3.5¢ | +6.58 | $0.23 | |
| 1mo | 27kgfdogodgfg | Yes / 3.5¢ | -4.31 | $0.15 | |
| 1mo | AJSV | Yes / 3.5¢ | +4.31 | $0.15 | |
| 1mo | 27kgfdogodgfg | Yes / 3.5¢ | -12.60 | $0.44 | |
| 1mo | AJSV | Yes / 3.5¢ | +12.60 | $0.44 | |
| 1mo | AJSV | Yes / 3.5¢ | +12.60 | $0.44 | |
| 1mo | 27kgfdogodgfg | Yes / 3.5¢ | -12.60 | $0.44 | |
| 2mo | 27kgfdogodgfg | Yes / 3.1¢ | -5.00 | $0.15 | |
| 2mo | AJSV | Yes / 3.1¢ | +5.00 | $0.15 | |
| 2mo | AJSV | Yes / 3.5¢ | +9.47 | $0.33 | |
| 2mo | TraderProMax | Yes / 3.5¢ | +18.24 | $0.64 | |
| 2mo | 0x386f84A1684b46E99B488A1f45B5F97e93C3db83-1771535753864 | Yes / 3.5¢ | -27.71 | $0.97 | |
| 2mo | 27kgfdogodgfg | Yes / 3.7¢ | +10.10 | $0.37 | |
| 2mo | TraderProMax | Yes / 3.7¢ | +6.76 | $0.25 | |
| 2mo | nptn | Yes / 3.7¢ | -16.86 | $0.62 | |
| 2mo | nptn | Yes / 11.0¢ | +16.86 | $1.86 | |
| 2mo | 0x386f84A1684b46E99B488A1f45B5F97e93C3db83-1771535753864 | Yes / 11.0¢ | -12.00 | $1.32 | |
| 2mo | 27kgfdogodgfg | Yes / 11.1¢ | -4.86 | $0.54 | |
| 2mo | 2B9S | Yes / 0.7¢ | +2.50 | $0.02 | |
| 2mo | 27kgfdogodgfg | Yes / 4.0¢ | +27.20 | $1.09 | |
| 2mo | 0x386f84A1684b46E99B488A1f45B5F97e93C3db83-1771535753864 | Yes / 0.8¢ | +53.40 | $0.43 |
1–25
Will Trump’s approval rating be between 38.0 and 38.4 on May 22, 2026?
Yes 60%$2.92Kvolume
Will Trump’s approval rating be between 38.5 and 38.9 on May 22, 2026?
No 71%$2.5Kvolume
Will Trump’s approval rating be less than 37.5 on May 22, 2026?
No 100%$1.77Kvolume
Will Trump’s approval rating be between 37.5 and 37.9 on May 22, 2026?
No 95%$1.77Kvolume
Will Trump’s approval rating be between 39.0 and 39.4 on May 22, 2026?
No 98%$2.35Kvolume
Will Trump’s approval rating be at least 39.5 on May 22, 2026?
No 100%$1.44Kvolume