
Volume
$140K
Txns
4,479
Traders
729
Fees
$0
Ends
Feb 1, 2026
On January 17, Donald Trump threatened to impose new tariffs on Denmark, Norway, Sweden, France, Germany, The United Kingdom, The Netherlands, and Finland, which would begin on February 1 and would remain in effect until a deal is struck for the US to purchase Greenland (see: https://truthsocial.com/@realDonaldTrump/posts/115911344443637897). This market will resolve to “Yes” if any new general tariff on imports into the United States from the listed country goes into effect for any amount of time by February 1, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. For the purpose of this market, "goes into effect" means the start date for the tariffs must have occurred without being further delayed or suspended. A new general tariff that includes item-specific exceptions will still qualify, as long as a new policy of a general tariff on imports into the United States from the listed country goes into effect. Only new tariffs specifically targeting the listed country or a specific set of countries including the listed country will qualify. For example, a new global tariff (tariffs on all imports into the U.S. from any country) will not count toward this market's resolution. An increase in the rate of pre-existing general tariffs on imports into the US from the listed country will count. This market's primary resolution source will be official information from the Trump administration; however, a consensus of credible information may also be used.
| Age | Trader | Outcome | Shares | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4mo | 0xef2a...99bd7e | Yes / 0.1¢ | +168.00 | $0.17 | |
| 4mo | 0xe9b4...42f03a | Yes / 0.1¢ | +128.00 | $0.13 | |
| 4mo | 0x161f...28b075 | Yes / 0.1¢ | +41.00 | $0.04 | |
| 4mo | 0xef2a...99bd7e | Yes / 0.1¢ | +173.00 | $0.17 | |
| 4mo | 0fb15080c50ce5251cffa7fa08f2eb612bf725c3 | No / 99.9¢ | +1,843.79 | $1.84K | |
| 4mo | 0xe9b4...42f03a | Yes / 0.1¢ | +94.00 | $0.09 | |
| 4mo | 0xf8b7...2114de | Yes / 0.1¢ | +10.00 | $0.01 | |
| 4mo | 0x161f...28b075 | Yes / 0.1¢ | +46.00 | $0.05 | |
| 4mo | 0x4018...7dd14a | Yes / 0.1¢ | +325.00 | $0.33 | |
| 4mo | 0xf8b7...2114de | Yes / 0.1¢ | +12.00 | $0.01 | |
| 4mo | 0x4018...7dd14a | Yes / 0.1¢ | +273.58 | $0.27 | |
| 4mo | 0x35c0...ab81d6 | Yes / 0.1¢ | +341.00 | $0.34 | |
| 4mo | paddaa | No / 99.9¢ | -232.21 | $232 | |
| 4mo | 0x4018...7dd14a | Yes / 0.1¢ | +5.41 | $0.01 | |
| 4mo | weijia068 | No / 99.9¢ | +5.41 | $5.4 | |
| 4mo | 0x8df3...1f9d6b | No / 99.9¢ | +10.01 | $10 | |
| 4mo | 0x4018...7dd14a | Yes / 0.1¢ | +10.01 | $0.01 | |
| 4mo | 4... | Yes / 0.2¢ | +17.95 | $0.04 | |
| 4mo | Chims | No / 99.8¢ | +17.95 | $17.9 | |
| 4mo | 4... | Yes / 0.2¢ | +482.08 | $0.96 | |
| 4mo | gdyhv | No / 99.8¢ | +482.08 | $481 | |
| 4mo | Program76 | Yes / 4.0¢ | -25.00 | $1 | |
| 4mo | 4... | Yes / 2.4¢ | -28.12 | $0.67 | |
| 4mo | Program76 | Yes / 3.5¢ | -37.50 | $1.31 | |
| 4mo | 4... | Yes / 1.8¢ | -62.28 | $1.12 |
1–25
Will Trump acquire Greenland before 2027?
No 94%$34.3Mvolume
Will the US acquire part of Greenland in 2026?
No 88%$10.6Mvolume
Will the U.S. invade Greenland in 2026?
No 95%$1.54Mvolume
Will Trump talk to Kim Jong Un in January?
No 100%$45.8Kvolume
Will Trump’s Greenland Tariffs go into effect for Sweden by Feburary 1?
No 100%$29.6Kvolume
Will Trump shake hands with Mark Carney at the World Economic Forum?
No 100%$49.8Kvolume