
Volume
$34K
Txns
2,012
Traders
293
Fees
$0
Ends
Jan 29, 2026
This market will resolve according to the seasonally adjusted and annualized GDP "Advance Estimate" release for Q4 of 2025, scheduled for January 29, 2026. If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket. The GDP release will be made available here: https://www.bea.gov/data/gdp/gross-domestic-product Note: data in the first available GDP report is labelled by the BEA as an "Advance Estimate". The data found in the advance estimate will be used to resolve this market. Data may be revised during the following quarter or as a part of the next estimate's publication, however any revisions to GDP report data made after the release of the advance estimate will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the June 2026 meeting?
Yes 99%$21Mvolume
Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the June 2026 meeting?
No 100%$8.66Mvolume
Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 50+ bps after the June 2026 meeting?
No 100%$11Mvolume
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the June 2026 meeting?
No 100%$6.71Mvolume
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the July 2026 meeting?
Yes 93%$1.52Mvolume
Fed rate hike in 2026?
No 60%$1.8Mvolume
| Age | Trader | Outcome | Shares | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3mo | fleischsandwich | No / 99.9¢ | -25.64 | $25.6 | |
| 3mo | ArmageddonRewardsBilly | Yes / 0.1¢ | -25.64 | $0.03 | |
| 3mo | ArmageddonRewardsBilly | Yes / 0.1¢ | -34.01 | $0.03 | |
| 3mo | esefa1 | No / 99.9¢ | -34.01 | $34 | |
| 3mo | yummyummyummy | No / 99.9¢ | -68.73 | $68.7 | |
| 3mo | ArmageddonRewardsBilly | Yes / 0.1¢ | -68.73 | $0.07 | |
| 3mo | 0xcc83...b0696e | No / 99.9¢ | -245.08 | $245 | |
| 3mo | ArmageddonRewardsBilly | Yes / 0.1¢ | -245.08 | $0.25 | |
| 3mo | 1356789 | No / 99.9¢ | -5.00 | $5 | |
| 3mo | judenoah9 | Yes / 0.1¢ | -5.00 | $0.01 | |
| 3mo | 0x1439...5fc73c | Yes / 0.1¢ | -8.73 | $0.01 | |
| 3mo | edamamezi | Yes / 0.1¢ | +8.73 | $0.01 | |
| 3mo | edamamezi | Yes / 0.1¢ | +26.93 | $0.03 | |
| 3mo | ZXWP | No / 99.9¢ | +26.93 | $26.9 | |
| 3mo | edamamezi | Yes / 0.1¢ | +9.46 | $0.01 | |
| 3mo | cry.eth2 | Yes / 0.1¢ | -9.46 | $0.01 | |
| 3mo | cry.eth2 | Yes / 0.1¢ | -94.88 | $0.09 | |
| 3mo | edamamezi | Yes / 0.1¢ | +94.88 | $0.09 | |
| 3mo | Raphaeldx55 | No / 99.0¢ | -10.00 | $9.9 | |
| 3mo | tonifili | Yes / 1.0¢ | -10.00 | $0.1 | |
| 3mo | Haleygde5 | No / 99.0¢ | -10.00 | $9.9 | |
| 3mo | tonifili | Yes / 1.0¢ | -10.00 | $0.1 | |
| 3mo | tonifili | Yes / 1.0¢ | -10.00 | $0.1 | |
| 3mo | tonifili | Yes / 1.0¢ | -10.00 | $0.1 | |
| 3mo | Tobyf4 | No / 99.0¢ | -10.00 | $9.9 |
1–25