
Volume
$4K
Txns
226
Traders
74
Fees
$0
Liquidity
$2,529
Ends
Jun 30, 2026
This market will resolve to "Yes" if, before June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, xAI releases a Diffusion Large Language Model (dLLM). Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". Any xAI dLMM will be considered to be released if it is launched and publicly accessible, including via open beta or open rolling waitlist signups. A closed beta or any form of private access will not suffice. The release must be clearly defined and publicly announced by xAI as being accessible to the general public. A Diffusion Large Language Model (dLLM) is any model for which official publicly released documentation, such as a model card, technical paper, or official statements from its developers, clearly identifies diffusion or iterative denoising as a central part of its text-generation or decoding process. The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from xAI, with additional verification from a consensus of credible reporting.
Trades
| Age | Trader | Outcome | Shares | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12d | Colala | No / 92.5¢ | +2.08 | $1.92 | |
| 12d | uilla | No / 92.2¢ | -2.08 | $1.92 | |
| 13d | Colala | No / 93.9¢ | -15.00 | $14.1 | |
| 13d | AndyPerrol | No / 94.2¢ | +32.29 | $30.4 | |
| 13d | FrozenBloom | Yes / 6.0¢ | +17.36 | $1.04 | |
| 23d | wavesinthesky | Yes / 6.8¢ | +15.00 | $1.02 | |
| 23d | Colala | No / 93.2¢ | +15.00 | $14 | |
| 24d | 26lkkdasdsa | Yes / 4.3¢ | +1.41 | $0.06 | |
| 24d | M0chie | No / 95.7¢ | +1.41 | $1.35 | |
| 25d | AJSV | No / 93.6¢ | +17.23 | $16.1 | |
| 25d | 26lkkdasdsa | Yes / 6.3¢ | -8.92 | $0.56 | |
| 25d | b41eAd279375742D6C2A1A2239Bdce56376411fD. | Yes / 6.5¢ | -5.17 | $0.34 | |
| 25d | wwwfef | No / 93.6¢ | -31.32 | $29.3 | |
| 27d | b41eAd279375742D6C2A1A2239Bdce56376411fD. | Yes / 4.3¢ | +10.00 | $0.43 | |
| 27d | TraderProMax | Yes / 4.2¢ | +21.33 | $0.9 | |
| 27d | wwwfef | No / 95.8¢ | +31.33 | $30 | |
| 1mo | 0x2396...19e938 | Yes / 4.0¢ | -5.00 | $0.2 | |
| 1mo | Wojtek | Yes / 4.0¢ | +5.00 | $0.2 | |
| 1mo | 26lkkdasdsa | Yes / 4.4¢ | +12.00 | $0.53 | |
| 1mo | neutralwave23 | Yes / 4.4¢ | -12.00 | $0.53 | |
| 1mo | 0xA0240325165D51FD458BC969E02c1a9D8ce946F1-1740864274740 | Yes / 7.8¢ | +12.82 | $1 | |
| 1mo | SaucePolly1 | No / 92.2¢ | +12.82 | $11.8 | |
| 1mo | wavesinthesky | Yes / 7.9¢ | +12.66 | $1 | |
| 1mo | planktonXD | Yes / 7.9¢ | -12.66 | $1 | |
| 1mo | Wojtek | Yes / 4.0¢ | +7.52 | $0.3 |
1–25
Will OpenAI IPO by June 30 2026?
No 98%$393Kvolume
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Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of June 2026?
Yes 72%$907Kvolume
Will Anthropic's valuation hit (HIGH) $3.0T by December 31?
No 85%$70.8Kvolume
Will Saudi Aramco be the largest company in the world by market cap on June 30?
No 100%$1.83Mvolume