Will Z.ai have a #1 AI model by June 30?
ActiveVolume
$8K
Txns
470
Traders
114
Fees
$5
Liquidity
$3,757
Ends
Jun 30, 2026
Volume
$8K
Txns
470
Traders
114
Fees
$5
Liquidity
$3,757
Ends
Jun 30, 2026
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the listed company has the highest arena score on the Chatbot Arena LLM Leaderboard (https://lmarena.ai/) for any amount of time by June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No." Results from the "Arena Score" section on the Leaderboard tab of https://lmarena.ai/ with the style control unchecked will be used to resolve this market. If a listed model ties for #1 Arena score, it will suffice to resolve this market to "Yes." The resolution source for this market is the Chatbot Arena LLM Leaderboard found at https://lmarena.ai/. If this resolution source becomes unavailable, the market will remain open until it is accessible again. If it becomes permanently unavailable, resolution will be based on another credible source.
Trades
| Age | Trader | Outcome | Shares | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2d | Mergano1 | No / 96.8¢ | -6.38 | $6.17 | |
| 2d | acal | Yes / 3.1¢ | -6.38 | $0.2 | |
| 5d | acal | Yes / 2.0¢ | +100.00 | $2 | |
| 5d | Wojtek | Yes / 2.0¢ | +500.00 | $10 | |
| 5d | libratus1 | No / 98.0¢ | +600.00 | $588 | |
| 11d | jijitmu | No / 97.7¢ | -50.00 | $48.9 | |
| 11d | bmtr | No / 97.7¢ | +50.00 | $48.9 | |
| 15d | cristinathearena | Yes / 3.8¢ | -5.00 | $0.19 | |
| 15d | WilliMekkit | No / 96.1¢ | -5.00 | $4.8 | |
| 18d | Adriandt99 | No / 97.7¢ | +3.07 | $3 | |
| 18d | b41eAd279375742D6C2A1A2239Bdce56376411fD. | Yes / 2.4¢ | +3.07 | $0.07 | |
| 19d | Olka | Yes / 2.1¢ | +30.00 | $0.63 | |
| 19d | 0x3f23...c54761 | Yes / 2.0¢ | -30.00 | $0.6 | |
| 19d | Ardtysrt01 | Yes / 3.2¢ | -5.99 | $0.19 | |
| 19d | Ardtysrt01 | Yes / 3.2¢ | -9.01 | $0.29 | |
| 19d | 0x3f23...c54761 | Yes / 3.3¢ | +30.38 | $1 | |
| 19d | Ardtysrt01 | Yes / 3.5¢ | -5.43 | $0.19 | |
| 19d | b41eAd279375742D6C2A1A2239Bdce56376411fD. | Yes / 3.3¢ | -10.00 | $0.33 | |
| 19d | 0x3f23...c54761 | Yes / 2.0¢ | -24.39 | $0.5 | |
| 19d | Olka | Yes / 2.1¢ | +14.39 | $0.3 | |
| 19d | b41eAd279375742D6C2A1A2239Bdce56376411fD. | Yes / 2.2¢ | +10.00 | $0.22 | |
| 19d | ACara | Yes / 4.1¢ | -24.39 | $1 | |
| 19d | 0x3f23...c54761 | Yes / 4.1¢ | +24.34 | $1 | |
| 19d | TODAYI | Yes / 3.0¢ | -159.20 | $4.78 | |
| 19d | ACara | Yes / 3.0¢ | +159.01 | $4.78 |
1–25
Will OpenAI IPO by June 30 2026?
No 98%$393Kvolume
Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of May 2026?
Yes 97%$1.04Mvolume
Will OpenAI IPO by December 31 2026?
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Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of June 2026?
Yes 72%$907Kvolume
Will Anthropic's valuation hit (HIGH) $3.0T by December 31?
No 85%$70.8Kvolume
Will Saudi Aramco be the largest company in the world by market cap on June 30?
No 100%$1.83Mvolume