Will Zohran Mamdani get less than 45% of the vote in the 2025 NYC mayoral election?

The 2025 New York City mayoral election will be held on November 4, 2025, to elect the mayor of New York City. This market will resolve according to the vote share won by the listed candidate. If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket. This market will resolve based on the official certified results as published by the New York City Board of Elections. If a recount is initiated prior to certification, the market will remain open until the recount is completed and the results are certified. A recount initiated after certification will not affect market resolution.