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Avg trade size
| Merge | |||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June? NoPolitics 49.74 shares | 60.3¢ / 83.0¢ | $11.3 (37.6%) | $30 · 2 | $0 | $0 | Jun 13, 2026 1:46 AM | |
 Will the Iranian regime fall by June 30? NoPolitics 7.47 shares | 63.0¢ / 99.4¢ | $11.4 (48.4%) | $23.5 · 1 | $27.5 · 2 | $0 | Jun 13, 2026 1:37 AM | |
 Will Andy Burnham win the 2026 Makerfield by-election? YesPolitics 26.29 shares | 84.2¢ / 75.0¢ | -$2.43 (-11.0%) | $22 · 2 | $0 | $0 | Jun 13, 2026 12:51 AM |
| Market | Entry / Current | PnL | Buys | Sells | Merge | Last Active | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 US x Iran permanent peace deal by April 30, 2026? WonNoPolitics | 61.6¢ / 100.0¢ | $17.1 (62.3%) | $27.5 · 2 | $0 | $0 | May 1, 2026 12:43 PM | |
33.0¢ / 100.0¢ | $6.84 (203.0%) | $3.37 · 1 | $0 | $0 | Jun 6, 2026 7:44 PM | ||
40.0¢ / 100.0¢ | $6 (150.0%) | $4 · 1 | $0 | $0 | Oct 6, 2025 1:28 PM | ||
 Will Karol Nawrocki be the next President of Poland? WonYesPolitics | 31.6¢ / 100.0¢ | $5.98 (149.7%) | $4 · 2 | $9.98 · 1 | $0 | Jun 2, 2025 8:56 AM | |
38.0¢ / 100.0¢ | $4.88 (162.9%) | $3 · 1 | $7.88 · 1 | $0 | Jun 4, 2025 2:58 AM | ||
67.7¢ / 100.0¢ | $4.76 (47.6%) | $10 · 2 | $14.8 · 1 | $0 | Aug 1, 2025 10:09 PM | ||
33.0¢ / 100.0¢ | $4.06 (203.0%) | $2 · 1 | $0 | $0 | Oct 6, 2025 1:28 PM | ||
50.0¢ / 100.0¢ | $4 (100.0%) | $4 · 1 | $0 | $0 | Oct 6, 2025 1:28 PM | ||
 Israel x Hamas ceasefire before June? WonNoPolitics | 59.0¢ / 100.0¢ | $3.57 (64.9%) | $5.5 · 1 | $9.07 · 1 | $0 | Jun 1, 2025 7:57 AM | |
68.0¢ / 100.0¢ | $3.37 (33.8%) | $10 · 1 | $13.4 · 2 | $0 | Apr 1, 2026 6:14 AM | ||
 Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by July 31? WonNoPolitics | 61.0¢ / 100.0¢ | $3.14 (62.8%) | $5 · 1 | $8.13 · 1 | $0 | Aug 1, 2025 6:05 AM | |
 OpenAI IPO closing market cap above $1T? WonNoFinance | 36.4¢ / 18.4¢ | $2.85 (81.4%) | $3.5 · 1 | $6.35 · 1 | $0 | Jun 12, 2026 8:47 AM | |
88.4¢ / 100.0¢ | $2.63 (13.1%) | $20 · 1 | $0 | $0 | May 11, 2026 9:46 AM | ||
 Russia announces air truce by August 31? WonNoPolitics | 84.5¢ / 100.0¢ | $2.53 (17.4%) | $14.5 · 2 | $17 · 1 | $0 | Sep 1, 2025 6:11 AM | |
 Will Trump meet with Xi Jinping in 2025? WonYesPolitics | 65.0¢ / 100.0¢ | $2.43 (46.7%) | $5.2 · 1 | $0.63 · 1 | $0 | Nov 9, 2025 2:59 PM | |
 Iran strike on Israel by Monday? WonYesPolitics | 80.8¢ / 100.0¢ | $2.38 (23.8%) | $10 · 1 | $0 | $0 | Jun 17, 2025 1:30 PM | |
 Starmer out by February 28, 2026? WonNoPolitics | 83.3¢ / 100.0¢ | $2.37 (20.1%) | $11.8 · 2 | $0 | $0 | Mar 5, 2026 9:39 PM | |
74.0¢ / 100.0¢ | $2.08 (26.1%) | $8 · 2 | $10.1 · 2 | $0 | Jan 1, 2026 8:45 AM | ||
 Will the next Prime Minister of Hungary be Péter Magyar? WonYesPolitics | 53.0¢ / 100.0¢ | $1.5 (30.0%) | $5 · 1 | $6.5 · 2 | $0 | May 9, 2026 5:02 PM | |
68.0¢ / 100.0¢ | $1.41 (47.1%) | $3 · 1 | $0 | $0 | Nov 9, 2025 2:59 PM | ||
83.5¢ / 100.0¢ | $1.19 (19.8%) | $6 · 2 | $0 | $0 | Jun 9, 2025 10:43 PM | ||
 Russia x Ukraine ceasefire before July? WonNoPolitics | 62.0¢ / 100.0¢ | $1.14 (45.2%) | $2.53 · 1 | $3.67 · 1 | $0 | Jul 1, 2025 8:19 AM | |
 US forces in Iran in 2025? WonNoPolitics | 76.0¢ / 100.0¢ | $1.05 (21.1%) | $5 · 1 | $6.04 · 1 | $0 | Jan 1, 2026 9:29 AM | |
 Will the Court Force Trump to Refund Tariffs? WonNoPolitics | 81.6¢ / 100.0¢ | $1.04 (17.3%) | $6 · 2 | $1.01 · 1 | $0 | Jan 16, 2026 3:01 PM | |
 Will Rafał Trzaskowski or Karol Nawrocki win Łódzkie? WonNawrockiPolitics | 75.0¢ / 100.0¢ | $1 (33.3%) | $3 · 1 | $0 | $0 | Jun 2, 2025 2:40 PM |
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Performance Summary
PnL Change
Markets
61
Won
34
Lost
9
Win Rate
79.1%
Profit Factor
6.07x
Avg Win
$2.61
Avg Loss
-$1.63
Total Wins
$88.8
Total Losses
-$14.6
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