| Merge | |||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Will Trump refrain from announcing a next Fed Chair in 2025? YesEconomicsRedeemable 5.10 shares | 49.0¢ / 100.0¢ | $0 (104.1%) | $2.5 · 1 | $0 | $0 | Jan 1, 2026 9:23 AM |
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Avg trade size
PnL Calendar
| Merge | |||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Will Trump refrain from announcing a next Fed Chair in 2025? YesEconomicsRedeemable 5.10 shares | 49.0¢ / 100.0¢ | $0 (104.1%) | $2.5 · 1 | $0 | $0 | Jan 1, 2026 9:23 AM |
| Market | Entry / Current | PnL | Buys | Sells | Merge | Last Active | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
33.5¢ / 100.0¢ | $71.1 (100.7%) | $70.6 · 1 | $142 · 1 | $0 | Jan 1, 2026 8:50 AM | ||
60.0¢ / 18.0¢ | $8.89 (15.5%) | $57.3 · 1 | $66.2 · 1 | $0 | Dec 15, 2025 5:43 PM | ||
21.0¢ / 0.0¢ | $6.19 (123.7%) | $5 · 1 | $11.2 · 1 | $0 | Nov 24, 2025 12:28 AM | ||
23.6¢ / 100.0¢ | $5.42 (108.5%) | $5 · 1 | $10.4 · 1 | $0 | Jan 1, 2026 1:26 PM | ||
 Will Beef win the 2025 Internet Invitational? WonYesSports | 86.5¢ / 100.0¢ | $5.42 (6.6%) | $82.2 · 2 | $87.6 · 1 | $0 | Nov 15, 2025 7:54 AM | |
 Will Jensen Huang be TIME's Person of the Year for 2025? WonYesCulture | 21.6¢ / 0.0¢ | $4.51 (10.9%) | $41.6 · 2 | $46.1 · 1 | $0 | Dec 11, 2025 5:51 PM | |
 US x Venezuela military engagement by December 31? WonYesPolitics | 40.0¢ / 16.0¢ | $3.25 (32.5%) | $10 · 1 | $13.3 · 1 | $0 | Dec 15, 2025 6:50 PM | |
58.0¢ / 100.0¢ | $1.44 (72.2%) | $2 · 1 | $3.44 · 1 | $0 | Nov 9, 2025 8:10 PM | ||
 Flyers vs. Predators WonFlyersSports | 46.0¢ / 100.0¢ | $1.17 (117.2%) | $1 · 1 | $2.17 · 1 | $0 | Nov 7, 2025 5:46 AM | |
 Will Trump talk to Putin by November 30? WonYesPolitics | 18.0¢ / 0.0¢ | $1.11 (22.2%) | $5 · 1 | $6.11 · 1 | $0 | Dec 1, 2025 7:22 AM | |
2.4¢ / 0.0¢ | $0.88 (25.0%) | $3.53 · 1 | $4.41 · 1 | $0 | Dec 31, 2025 8:42 PM | ||
57.0¢ / 100.0¢ | $0.67 (66.9%) | $1 · 1 | $1.66 · 1 | $0 | Nov 14, 2025 2:36 AM | ||
 Will T1 win LoL Worlds 2025? WonYesSports | 64.0¢ / 100.0¢ | $0.56 (56.3%) | $1 · 1 | $0 | $0 | Nov 9, 2025 4:57 PM | |
 Will Israel strike Lebanon on November 9? WonYesPolitics | 90.3¢ / 100.0¢ | $0.55 (10.7%) | $5.11 · 1 | $0 | $0 | Nov 10, 2025 5:58 PM | |
70.0¢ / 100.0¢ | $0.43 (42.9%) | $1 · 1 | $0 | $0 | Nov 7, 2025 5:41 AM | ||
 Will Katie Wilson win the 2025 Seattle mayoral election? WonYesPolitics | 57.0¢ / 100.0¢ | $0.39 (38.7%) | $1 · 1 | $1.38 · 1 | $0 | Nov 14, 2025 2:40 AM | |
 Will the Denver Nuggets win the 2026 NBA Finals? WonYesSports | 12.0¢ / 0.0¢ | $0.17 (16.6%) | $1 · 1 | $1.17 · 1 | $0 | May 1, 2026 9:07 AM | |
 Will Polymarket US go live in 2025? WonNoPolitics | 35.7¢ / 0.0¢ | $0.03 (-91.1%) | $31 · 2 | $2.77 · 1 | $0 | Dec 6, 2025 12:32 AM | |
 Will Russia capture all of Myrnohrad by December 31? LostYesPolitics | 86.0¢ / 0.0¢ | $0 (-100.0%) | $2 · 1 | $0 | $0 | Jan 1, 2026 9:14 AM | |
11.7¢ / 0.0¢ | $0 (-100.0%) | $5 · 1 | $0 | $0 | Dec 1, 2025 1:03 AM | ||
9.0¢ / 0.0¢ | $0 (-100.0%) | $10 · 1 | $0 | $0 | Nov 21, 2025 9:26 PM | ||
12.3¢ / 0.0¢ | $0 (-100.0%) | $4.65 · 1 | $0 | $0 | Feb 2, 2026 6:26 AM | ||
 Israel and Syria normalize relations by December 31, 2025? LostYesPolitics | 2.4¢ / 0.0¢ | $0 (-100.0%) | $1.67 · 1 | $0 | $0 | Jan 1, 2026 12:17 PM | |
34.0¢ / 0.0¢ | $0 (-100.0%) | $1 · 1 | $0 | $0 | Jan 1, 2026 8:21 AM | ||
 Will Trump release the Epstein files by November 30? LostYesPolitics | 4.9¢ / 0.0¢ | $0 (-100.0%) | $5 · 1 | $0 | $0 | Dec 1, 2025 7:12 AM |
1–25
Performance Summary
PnL Change
Markets
63
Won
16
Lost
17
Win Rate
48.5%
Profit Factor
0.84x
Avg Win
$6.79
Avg Loss
-$7.6
Total Wins
$109
Total Losses
-$129
Avg. Hold Time
Period
Best Period
Worst Period
Longest Streak
Current Streak
Max Drawdown
Current DD
Max Runup
Rebates
Rewards
Yield
