| Merge | |||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026? NoPolitics 200.00 shares | 87.7¢ / 82.4¢ | -$11.3 (-3.9%) | $289 · 3 | $113 · 1 | $0 | Jun 13, 2026 12:02 AM |
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Avg trade size
| Merge | |||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026? NoPolitics 200.00 shares | 87.7¢ / 82.4¢ | -$11.3 (-3.9%) | $289 · 3 | $113 · 1 | $0 | Jun 13, 2026 12:02 AM |
| Market | Entry / Current | PnL | Buys | Sells | Merge | Last Active | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
US x Iran permanent peace deal by April 30, 2026? WonNoPolitics | 82.0¢ / 100.0¢ | $45.4 (55.4%) | $82 · 5 | $127 · 1 | $0 | May 1, 2026 7:22 AM | |
 Ukraine signs peace deal with Russia by March 31? WonNoPolitics | 71.3¢ / 100.0¢ | $44.2 (36.9%) | $120 · 3 | $164 · 1 | $0 | Apr 1, 2026 7:49 AM | |
 US x Iran ceasefire by December 31? WonYesPolitics | 74.0¢ / 100.0¢ | $26 (35.1%) | $74 · 1 | $0 | $0 | Apr 8, 2026 6:53 AM | |
 Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by March 31? WonYesPolitics | 39.0¢ / 99.9¢ | $19 (97.4%) | $19.5 · 1 | $38.5 · 1 | $0 | Mar 1, 2026 9:11 AM | |
 Will Russia capture Kostyantynivka by January 31? WonNoPolitics | 67.0¢ / 100.0¢ | $17.2 (49.3%) | $34.8 · 2 | $0 | $0 | Feb 1, 2026 11:52 AM | |
 Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by June 30, 2026? WonNoPolitics | 80.0¢ / 90.0¢ | $16 (20.0%) | $80 · 1 | $96 · 1 | $0 | Apr 13, 2026 3:13 PM | |
Will Russia capture Kostyantynivka by April 30? WonNoPolitics | 74.3¢ / 100.0¢ | $14.3 (14.7%) | $97.4 · 4 | $112 · 6 | $0 | May 1, 2026 6:57 AM | |
 US strikes Iran by March 31, 2026? WonYesPolitics | 59.0¢ / 100.0¢ | $13.3 (66.1%) | $20.1 · 1 | $33.3 · 1 | $0 | Feb 28, 2026 9:35 AM | |
92.0¢ / 99.7¢ | $12.8 (8.2%) | $156 · 1 | $169 · 1 | $0 | May 13, 2026 2:39 AM | ||
93.2¢ / 100.0¢ | $12.2 (7.3%) | $168 · 2 | $0 | $0 | Jun 3, 2026 12:39 PM | ||
 Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by June 22? WonNoPolitics | 94.0¢ / 97.7¢ | $9.18 (4.5%) | $205 · 1 | $214 · 1 | $0 | Jun 12, 2026 1:25 PM | |
 Will Russia capture Pokrovsk by August 31? WonYesPolitics | 18.0¢ / 100.0¢ | $7.6 (211.1%) | $3.6 · 1 | $11.2 · 1 | $0 | Aug 8, 2025 8:45 PM | |
 US x Iran ceasefire by March 31? WonNoPolitics | 83.1¢ / 100.0¢ | $6.74 (18.4%) | $36.6 · 2 | $43.3 · 1 | $0 | Apr 1, 2026 8:18 AM | |
 Will Russia capture Kostyantynivka by December 31? WonNoPolitics | 81.0¢ / 100.0¢ | $6.63 (23.1%) | $28.7 · 2 | $35.4 · 1 | $0 | Jan 1, 2026 9:16 AM | |
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire in 2025? WonNoPolitics | 75.3¢ / 95.9¢ | $6.29 (18.6%) | $33.9 · 2 | $40.2 · 2 | $0 | Dec 15, 2025 7:24 PM | |
 Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by March 31, 2026? WonNoPolitics | 80.0¢ / 96.5¢ | $5.68 (20.9%) | $27.2 · 1 | $32.9 · 1 | $0 | Feb 22, 2026 10:21 AM | |
Will Russia capture Kostyantynivka by March 31? WonNoPolitics | 74.0¢ / 100.0¢ | $5.6 (27.0%) | $20.7 · 2 | $26.3 · 1 | $0 | Apr 1, 2026 6:22 AM | |
 Israel x Hamas ceasefire before August? WonNoPolitics | 69.0¢ / 100.0¢ | $4.21 (43.5%) | $9.7 · 1 | $13.9 · 1 | $0 | Aug 1, 2025 6:13 AM | |
 Will Putin meet with Zelenskyy in 2025? WonNoPolitics | 74.0¢ / 100.0¢ | $3.78 (28.4%) | $13.3 · 3 | $17.1 · 1 | $0 | Jan 1, 2026 8:43 AM | |
US x Iran ceasefire by April 15? WonNoPolitics | 75.8¢ / 0.0¢ | $2.91 (4.3%) | $68.2 · 2 | $71.1 · 1 | $0 | Apr 8, 2026 1:24 AM | |
 US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026? WonNoPolitics | 65.0¢ / 65.0¢ | $2.5 (3.8%) | $65 · 1 | $67.5 · 2 | $0 | May 8, 2026 11:53 PM | |
 Will Trump acquire Greenland before 2027? WonNoPolitics | 81.0¢ / 89.5¢ | $1.92 (9.9%) | $19.4 · 1 | $21.4 · 1 | $0 | Feb 22, 2026 9:53 AM | |
 Xi Jinping out before 2027? WonNoPolitics | 88.0¢ / 93.0¢ | $1.68 (6.8%) | $24.6 · 1 | $26.3 · 1 | $0 | Feb 2, 2026 7:18 AM | |
 Nuclear weapon detonation in 2025? WonNoPolitics | 91.0¢ / 99.4¢ | $1.4 (5.9%) | $23.7 · 2 | $25.1 · 2 | $0 | Dec 15, 2025 5:57 PM | |
 Israel x Iran ceasefire broken by July 11? WonNoPolitics | 86.0¢ / 100.0¢ | $1.3 (16.3%) | $8 · 1 | $0 | $0 | Jul 16, 2025 1:29 PM |
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PnL Calendar
Jun 1, 2026
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Jun 7, 2026
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Jun 8, 2026
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Jun 10, 2026
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Jun 11, 2026
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Jun 12, 2026
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Jun 13, 2026
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Performance Summary
PnL Change
Markets
47
Won
18
Lost
5
Win Rate
78.3%
Profit Factor
5.35x
Avg Win
$10.9
Avg Loss
-$7.35
Total Wins
$197
Total Losses
-$36.7
Avg. Hold Time
Worst Loss
-$88.5
Period
Best Period
Worst Period
Longest Streak
Current Streak
Max Drawdown
Current DD
Max Runup
Rebates
Rewards
Yield
