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Avg trade size
| Merge | |||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Will the Democratic Party control the Senate after the 2026 Midterm elections? YesPolitics 81.22 shares | 50.0¢ / 45.0¢ | -$4.06 (-8.4%) | $48.1 | $0 | $7.5 | Jun 12, 2026 12:13 AM | |
Will the Democratic Party control the Senate after the 2026 Midterm elections? NoPolitics 81.22 shares | 50.0¢ / 56.0¢ | $4.87 (10.1%) | $48.1 | $0 | $7.5 | Jun 11, 2026 11:47 PM |
| Market | Entry / Current | PnL | Buys | Sells | Merge | Last Active | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Will Elon tweet less than 250 times August 15–August 22? WonYesMentions | 73.2¢ / 100.0¢ | $2.56K (36.3%) | $7.05K · 21 | $9.61K · 3 | $0 | Aug 22, 2025 7:08 PM | |
 Will Elon tweet 345–359 times August 1–August 8? WonNoMentions | 80.9¢ / 100.0¢ | $1.2K (21.2%) | $5.66K · 8 | $6.86K · 3 | $0 | Aug 8, 2025 2:07 PM | |
 Will Elon tweet 195–209 times August 22–August 29? WonYesMentions | 17.1¢ / 100.0¢ | $1.18K (274.9%) | $430 · 10 | $1.61K · 2 | $0 | Aug 29, 2025 7:29 PM | |
Will Elon tweet 525–549 times August 8–August 15? WonNoMentions | 90.0¢ / 100.0¢ | $914 (10.0%) | $9.14K · 21 | $10.1K · 7 | $0 | Aug 15, 2025 7:13 PM | |
82.3¢ / 100.0¢ | $741 (20.9%) | $3.54K · 2 | $4.28K · 1 | $0 | Aug 1, 2025 6:13 AM | ||
65.5¢ / 100.0¢ | $571 (51.3%) | $1.11K · 12 | $1.68K · 3 | $0 | Mar 6, 2026 4:37 PM | ||
Will Elon tweet 180–194 times July 25–August 1? WonNoMentions | 86.0¢ / 100.0¢ | $543 (16.3%) | $3.34K · 1 | $0 | $0 | Aug 1, 2025 9:18 PM | |
 Will Donald Trump win the 2024 US Presidential Election? WonYesPolitics | 49.4¢ / 100.0¢ | $497 (101.8%) | $488 · 1 | $985 · 1 | $0 | Nov 6, 2024 3:18 PM | |
 Will Elon tweet 210–224 times July 18–25? WonNoMentions | 80.0¢ / 100.0¢ | $493 (18.8%) | $2.63K · 2 | $3.12K · 1 | $0 | Jul 25, 2025 7:08 PM | |
 Jerome Powell out as Fed Chair by May 15, 2026? WonYesPolitics | 45.7¢ / 100.0¢ | $168 (116.6%) | $142 · 4 | $313 · 1 | $0 | May 16, 2026 2:18 AM | |
— / 100.0¢ | $167 | $0 | $0 | $0 | Apr 22, 2026 9:48 AM | ||
 Will Trump meet with Putin by August 15? WonYesPolitics | 90.0¢ / 100.0¢ | $118 (3.3%) | $3.53K · 1 | $3.65K · 1 | $0 | Aug 15, 2025 9:17 PM | |
42.5¢ / 100.0¢ | $113 (132.7%) | $85.1 · 8 | $198 · 1 | $0 | May 23, 2026 1:23 AM | ||
 Will Bitcoin reach $100,000 by January 31, 2025? WonYesCrypto | 93.4¢ / 100.0¢ | $72.9 (7.1%) | $1.03K · 3 | $0 | $0 | Jan 12, 2025 1:45 PM | |
92.7¢ / 100.0¢ | $69 (7.8%) | $881 · 6 | $0 | $0 | Jul 15, 2025 7:17 PM | ||
94.0¢ / 100.0¢ | $52.4 (6.3%) | $828 · 1 | $0 | $0 | Jul 5, 2025 8:21 AM | ||
 Israel strikes Yemen by Friday? WonNoPolitics | 94.9¢ / 100.0¢ | $51 (5.4%) | $949 · 2 | $0 | $0 | Jul 19, 2025 8:23 PM | |
94.0¢ / 100.0¢ | $50 (5.3%) | $940 · 1 | $990 · 1 | $0 | Jul 5, 2025 12:28 AM | ||
 Liverpool wins the Premier League? WonYesSports | 96.2¢ / 100.0¢ | $41.1 (3.6%) | $1.13K · 1 | $1.17K · 1 | $0 | Apr 27, 2025 9:39 PM | |
 Will reconciliation bill be passed by June 30? WonNoPolitics | 96.9¢ / 100.0¢ | $30.2 (2.8%) | $1.07K · 1 | $1.1K · 2 | $0 | Jul 1, 2025 8:09 AM | |
 2024 Balance of Power: R Prez R Senate R House WonYesPolitics | 97.3¢ / 100.0¢ | $27.8 (2.8%) | $985 · 1 | $0 | $0 | Dec 4, 2024 5:57 PM | |
97.3¢ / 100.0¢ | $27 (2.8%) | $973 · 1 | $0 | $0 | Jun 28, 2025 2:06 AM | ||
 No change in Fed interest rates after June 2025 meeting? WonYesPolitics | 97.3¢ / 100.0¢ | $26.9 (2.8%) | $968 · 1 | $0 | $0 | Jun 23, 2025 12:18 AM | |
 Will Friedrich Merz be the next Chancellor of Germany? WonYesPolitics | 95.0¢ / 100.0¢ | $22.1 (2.0%) | $1.11K · 1 | $1.13K · 2 | $0 | May 6, 2025 7:37 PM | |
 Will Ethereum reach $4000 in July? WonNoCrypto | 80.0¢ / 100.0¢ | $21.1 (19.3%) | $110 · 1 | $131 · 1 | $0 | Aug 1, 2025 6:13 AM |
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Performance Summary
PnL Change
Markets
138
Won
76
Lost
37
Win Rate
67.3%
Profit Factor
1.41x
Avg Win
$95.1
Avg Loss
-$139
Total Wins
$7.23K
Total Losses
-$5.13K
Avg. Hold Time
Period
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