| Merge | |||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 JD Vance replaced as Republican VP nominee? Yes 421.00 shares | 6.1¢ / 3.3¢ | -$11.7 (-45.7%) | $25.6 · 5 | $0 | $0 | Aug 25, 2024 1:14 AM | |
 Will Kamala Harris win the 2024 US Presidential Election? Yes 661.78 shares | 42.7¢ / 49.0¢ | $41.9 (14.8%) | $282 · 3 | $0 | $0 | Aug 25, 2024 1:14 AM | |
 Kamala Harris wins the popular vote? Yes 81.70 shares | 61.2¢ / 73.4¢ | $9.97 (19.9%) | $50 · 1 | $0 | $0 | Aug 25, 2024 1:10 AM | |
 Trump and Harris shake hands at first debate? Yes 4.00 shares | 25.0¢ / 25.0¢ | $0 (0.0%) | $1 · 1 | $0 | $0 | Aug 25, 2024 1:10 AM | |
 Will Kamala say "Weirdo" in August? Yes 100.00 shares | 15.0¢ / 4.0¢ | -$9 (-30.0%) | $30 · 3 | $17 · 1 | $0 | Aug 25, 2024 1:06 AM | |
 Trump fires campaign manager in August? Yes 59.00 shares | 14.1¢ / 4.0¢ | -$5.98 (-71.7%) | $8.34 · 3 | $0 | $0 | Aug 25, 2024 1:06 AM | |
 House control after 2024 election? Democratic 5.00 shares | 65.0¢ / 62.0¢ | -$0.15 (-4.6%) | $3.25 · 1 | $0 | $0 | Aug 25, 2024 12:45 AM | |
 Will stranded astronauts leave the ISS in 2024? No 10.00 shares | 45.0¢ / 88.6¢ | $4.36 (96.9%) | $4.5 · 1 | $0 | $0 | Aug 25, 2024 12:44 AM | |
 2024 Balance of Power: D Prez, D Senate, D House Yes 5.00 shares | 26.0¢ / 22.0¢ | -$0.2 (-15.4%) | $1.3 · 1 | $0 | $0 | Aug 25, 2024 12:34 AM | |
 Which party wins 2024 US Presidential Election? Democratic 25.64 shares | 39.0¢ / 50.0¢ | $2.82 (28.2%) | $10 · 1 | $0 | $0 | Aug 25, 2024 12:16 AM | |
2024 Balance of Power: D Prez, R Senate, D House Yes 5.00 shares | 30.0¢ / 28.0¢ | -$0.1 (-6.7%) | $1.5 · 1 | $0 | $0 | Aug 25, 2024 12:02 AM | |
 Will 538 correctly call the Presidential Election? Yes 20.00 shares | 68.0¢ / 63.0¢ | -$1 (-7.4%) | $13.6 · 2 | $0 | $0 | Aug 24, 2024 11:55 PM | |
 Kamala Harris blowout victory? Yes 150.00 shares | 20.3¢ / 26.0¢ | $8.5 (27.9%) | $30.5 · 2 | $0 | $0 | Aug 24, 2024 11:52 PM | |
 Senate control after 2024 election? Democrats 5.00 shares | 31.0¢ / 28.0¢ | -$0.15 (-9.7%) | $1.55 · 1 | $0 | $0 | Aug 24, 2024 11:38 PM | |
 Swan Bitcoin insolvent by August 31? Yes 300.00 shares | 9.2¢ / 1.3¢ | -$23.7 (-85.9%) | $27.6 · 7 | $0 | $0 | Aug 24, 2024 10:25 PM | |
Will Kamala say "Unburdened" in August? Yes 10.00 shares | 29.0¢ / 6.0¢ | -$2.3 (-79.3%) | $2.9 · 1 | $0 | $0 | Aug 24, 2024 10:14 PM | |
 Trump-Vance Republican ticket on election day? No 150.00 shares | 7.7¢ / 7.0¢ | -$1 (-8.7%) | $11.5 · 2 | $0 | $0 | Aug 24, 2024 9:40 PM | |
 Will Circle IPO in 2024? Yes 14.98 shares | 29.0¢ / 18.0¢ | -$1.65 (-37.9%) | $4.34 · 6 | $0 | $0 | Aug 24, 2024 9:40 PM | |
 Kamala campaign accepts crypto donations before September? Yes 279.95 shares | 10.3¢ / 2.1¢ | -$23 (-79.6%) | $28.9 · 10 | $0 | $0 | Aug 24, 2024 7:50 PM | |
 Walz and Vance debate on Sept 18? Yes 100.00 shares | 5.0¢ / 3.0¢ | -$2 (-40.0%) | $5 · 1 | $0 | $0 | Aug 24, 2024 6:20 PM | |
10.0¢ / 10.0¢ | $0 (0.0%) | $1 · 1 | $0 | $0 | Aug 24, 2024 4:59 PM | ||
 Will Ukraine take the Kursk Nuclear Plant by Aug 31? Yes 466.28 shares | 7.4¢ / 1.5¢ | -$27.5 (-79.7%) | $34.5 · 6 | $0 | $0 | Aug 24, 2024 3:43 PM | |
 Democrat other than Biden wins the Election? Yes 51.32 shares | 39.0¢ / 51.0¢ | $6.17 (30.9%) | $20 · 2 | $0 | $0 | Aug 24, 2024 3:28 PM | |
 Live audience at Trump/Harris debate? Yes 10.00 shares | 31.0¢ / 34.0¢ | $0.3 (9.7%) | $3.1 · 2 | $0 | $0 | Aug 24, 2024 2:18 PM | |
 Elon x Kamala Harris interview in August? Yes 110.00 shares | 3.3¢ / 0.6¢ | -$2.94 (-81.7%) | $3.6 · 2 | $0 | $0 | Aug 24, 2024 12:50 PM |
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