AI model scores ≥ 90% on FrontierMath Benchmark before 2027?

Open1 market·Ends Dec 31, 2026

View on Polymarket

Volume

$68K

Txns

1,234

Traders

204

Fees

$63

AI Big Tech Business Tech

This market will resolve to "Yes" if a state-of-the-art (SOTA) AI model achieves a score of 90% or greater on the FrontierMath Exam by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, the market will resolve to "No". The primary resolution source will be information from EpochAI however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

View on Polymarket

Markets

Market
AI model scores ≥ 90% on FrontierMath Benchmark before 2027?	23%	$0	$5.97K

#	Trader	Realized PnL	Markets	Volume
1	0 Colala	$0.01	1	$23.5
2	0 3rm3tr1x	-$0.03	1	$1
3	0 robotictrader	-$0.33	1	$3.42
4	0 csbellizzi	-$0.77	1	$22
5	0 69mf	-$0.99	1	$13.3
6	0 0x2b670A311561DcAF741D8155451774D3Fa7fb814-1778467735876	-$98.5	1	$882

Age	Market	Trader	Outcome	Shares	Value
2d	AI model scores ≥ 90% on FrontierMath Benchmark before 2027?	0 wavesinthesky	Yes / 23.0¢	-0.11	$0.03
2d	AI model scores ≥ 90% on FrontierMath Benchmark before 2027?	0 0x6bd1...3c9e1d	No / 76.3¢	-0.11	$0.08
3d	AI model scores ≥ 90% on FrontierMath Benchmark before 2027?	STEVJJJ	Yes / 20.3¢	-48.00	$9.76
3d	AI model scores ≥ 90% on FrontierMath Benchmark before 2027?	0 0x2b670A311561DcAF741D8155451774D3Fa7fb814-1778467735876	Yes / 21.0¢	+48.00	$10.1
3d	AI model scores ≥ 90% on FrontierMath Benchmark before 2027?	0 robotictrader	Yes / 20.3¢	-7.60	$1.55
3d	AI model scores ≥ 90% on FrontierMath Benchmark before 2027?	0 0x2b670A311561DcAF741D8155451774D3Fa7fb814-1778467735876	Yes / 21.0¢	+7.60	$1.6
3d	AI model scores ≥ 90% on FrontierMath Benchmark before 2027?	iusedtowritepoetryforaliving	Yes / 21.0¢	-1,510.00	$317
3d	AI model scores ≥ 90% on FrontierMath Benchmark before 2027?	0 simplystupid188	Yes / 22.0¢	+26.66	$5.87
3d	AI model scores ≥ 90% on FrontierMath Benchmark before 2027?	0 simplystupid188	Yes / 22.0¢	+35.55	$7.82
3d	AI model scores ≥ 90% on FrontierMath Benchmark before 2027?	0 0x2b670A311561DcAF741D8155451774D3Fa7fb814-1778467735876	Yes / 22.0¢	+964.02	$212
3d	AI model scores ≥ 90% on FrontierMath Benchmark before 2027?	0 simplystupid188	Yes / 22.0¢	+26.66	$5.87
3d	AI model scores ≥ 90% on FrontierMath Benchmark before 2027?	0 0x2b670A311561DcAF741D8155451774D3Fa7fb814-1778467735876	Yes / 21.0¢	+457.11	$96
5d	AI model scores ≥ 90% on FrontierMath Benchmark before 2027?	0 0x2b670A311561DcAF741D8155451774D3Fa7fb814-1778467735876	Yes / 22.0¢	+28.95	$6.37
5d	AI model scores ≥ 90% on FrontierMath Benchmark before 2027?	0 69mf	Yes / 21.3¢	-28.95	$6.17
5d	AI model scores ≥ 90% on FrontierMath Benchmark before 2027?	0 csbellizzi	No / 78.0¢	+7.03	$5.53
5d	AI model scores ≥ 90% on FrontierMath Benchmark before 2027?	0 0x2b670A311561DcAF741D8155451774D3Fa7fb814-1778467735876	Yes / 22.0¢	+7.03	$1.55
7d	AI model scores ≥ 90% on FrontierMath Benchmark before 2027?	0 S888	No / 76.3¢	-9.00	$6.87
7d	AI model scores ≥ 90% on FrontierMath Benchmark before 2027?	0 wavesinthesky	Yes / 23.0¢	-9.00	$2.07
7d	AI model scores ≥ 90% on FrontierMath Benchmark before 2027?	jtradegbr	No / 76.0¢	+50.00	$38
7d	AI model scores ≥ 90% on FrontierMath Benchmark before 2027?	STEVJJJ	Yes / 24.0¢	+50.00	$12.4
7d	AI model scores ≥ 90% on FrontierMath Benchmark before 2027?	0 robotictrader	Yes / 24.0¢	+7.60	$1.88
7d	AI model scores ≥ 90% on FrontierMath Benchmark before 2027?	jtradegbr	No / 76.0¢	+7.60	$5.78
7d	AI model scores ≥ 90% on FrontierMath Benchmark before 2027?	iusedtowritepoetryforaliving	Yes / 23.0¢	+1,510.00	$358
7d	AI model scores ≥ 90% on FrontierMath Benchmark before 2027?	0 69mf	Yes / 24.0¢	+28.96	$7.16
7d	AI model scores ≥ 90% on FrontierMath Benchmark before 2027?	0 S888	No / 77.0¢	+10.00	$7.7
7d	AI model scores ≥ 90% on FrontierMath Benchmark before 2027?	JuliusNakamoto	No / 77.0¢	+1,500.00	$1.16K
7d	AI model scores ≥ 90% on FrontierMath Benchmark before 2027?	jtradegbr	No / 76.0¢	+28.96	$22
7d	AI model scores ≥ 90% on FrontierMath Benchmark before 2027?	JuliusNakamoto	No / 77.0¢	+2,000.00	$1.54K
7d	AI model scores ≥ 90% on FrontierMath Benchmark before 2027?	0 simplystupid188	Yes / 21.0¢	-31.77	$6.67
7d	AI model scores ≥ 90% on FrontierMath Benchmark before 2027?	0 simplystupid188	Yes / 23.0¢	-31.77	$7.31
7d	AI model scores ≥ 90% on FrontierMath Benchmark before 2027?	rontro28	No / 78.0¢	+100.00	$78
7d	AI model scores ≥ 90% on FrontierMath Benchmark before 2027?	0 simplystupid188	Yes / 23.0¢	-42.37	$9.75
7d	AI model scores ≥ 90% on FrontierMath Benchmark before 2027?	0 S888	No / 80.0¢	+20.00	$16
7d	AI model scores ≥ 90% on FrontierMath Benchmark before 2027?	rontro28	No / 77.0¢	+100.00	$77
7d	AI model scores ≥ 90% on FrontierMath Benchmark before 2027?	0 0x2b670A311561DcAF741D8155451774D3Fa7fb814-1778467735876	Yes / 22.9¢	+2,425.91	$572
7d	AI model scores ≥ 90% on FrontierMath Benchmark before 2027?	jtradegbr	No / 78.0¢	+100.00	$78
7d	AI model scores ≥ 90% on FrontierMath Benchmark before 2027?	MasterOfLlamas	No / 82.0¢	+25.00	$20.6
7d	AI model scores ≥ 90% on FrontierMath Benchmark before 2027?	0 Oklmntrader	No / 82.0¢	-25.00	$20.5
8d	AI model scores ≥ 90% on FrontierMath Benchmark before 2027?	0 DualDelta	Yes / 20.0¢	+512.00	$102
8d	AI model scores ≥ 90% on FrontierMath Benchmark before 2027?	JuliusNakamoto	No / 80.0¢	+512.00	$413
9d	AI model scores ≥ 90% on FrontierMath Benchmark before 2027?	0 0x6bd1...3c9e1d	No / 78.3¢	-4.94	$3.87
9d	AI model scores ≥ 90% on FrontierMath Benchmark before 2027?	0 AJSV	No / 79.0¢	+4.94	$3.9
10d	AI model scores ≥ 90% on FrontierMath Benchmark before 2027?	0 Elias.Thornwell	No / 78.0¢	+5.00	$3.93
10d	AI model scores ≥ 90% on FrontierMath Benchmark before 2027?	0 DualDelta	Yes / 22.0¢	+5.00	$1.1
10d	AI model scores ≥ 90% on FrontierMath Benchmark before 2027?	0 simplystupid188	Yes / 22.0¢	-34.28	$7.54
10d	AI model scores ≥ 90% on FrontierMath Benchmark before 2027?	0 DualDelta	Yes / 22.0¢	+65.54	$14.9
10d	AI model scores ≥ 90% on FrontierMath Benchmark before 2027?	0 Colala	Yes / 22.0¢	-31.26	$6.88
10d	AI model scores ≥ 90% on FrontierMath Benchmark before 2027?	0 DualDelta	Yes / 20.0¢	+0.03	$0.01
10d	AI model scores ≥ 90% on FrontierMath Benchmark before 2027?	0 0x2c65...d79379	Yes / 19.4¢	-0.03	$0.01
10d	AI model scores ≥ 90% on FrontierMath Benchmark before 2027?	0 DualDelta	Yes / 20.0¢	+0.04	$0.01

#	Trader	Realized PnL	Markets	Volume
1	0 Colala	$0.01	1	$23.5
2	0 3rm3tr1x	-$0.03	1	$1
3	0 robotictrader	-$0.33	1	$3.42
4	0 csbellizzi	-$0.77	1	$22
5	0 69mf	-$0.99	1	$13.3
6	0 0x2b670A311561DcAF741D8155451774D3Fa7fb814-1778467735876	-$98.5	1	$882

Age	Market	Trader	Outcome	Shares	Value
2d	AI model scores ≥ 90% on FrontierMath Benchmark before 2027?	0 wavesinthesky	Yes / 23.0¢	-0.11	$0.03
2d	AI model scores ≥ 90% on FrontierMath Benchmark before 2027?	0 0x6bd1...3c9e1d	No / 76.3¢	-0.11	$0.08
3d	AI model scores ≥ 90% on FrontierMath Benchmark before 2027?	STEVJJJ	Yes / 20.3¢	-48.00	$9.76
3d	AI model scores ≥ 90% on FrontierMath Benchmark before 2027?	0 0x2b670A311561DcAF741D8155451774D3Fa7fb814-1778467735876	Yes / 21.0¢	+48.00	$10.1
3d	AI model scores ≥ 90% on FrontierMath Benchmark before 2027?	0 robotictrader	Yes / 20.3¢	-7.60	$1.55
3d	AI model scores ≥ 90% on FrontierMath Benchmark before 2027?	0 0x2b670A311561DcAF741D8155451774D3Fa7fb814-1778467735876	Yes / 21.0¢	+7.60	$1.6
3d	AI model scores ≥ 90% on FrontierMath Benchmark before 2027?	iusedtowritepoetryforaliving	Yes / 21.0¢	-1,510.00	$317
3d	AI model scores ≥ 90% on FrontierMath Benchmark before 2027?	0 simplystupid188	Yes / 22.0¢	+26.66	$5.87
3d	AI model scores ≥ 90% on FrontierMath Benchmark before 2027?	0 simplystupid188	Yes / 22.0¢	+35.55	$7.82
3d	AI model scores ≥ 90% on FrontierMath Benchmark before 2027?	0 0x2b670A311561DcAF741D8155451774D3Fa7fb814-1778467735876	Yes / 22.0¢	+964.02	$212
3d	AI model scores ≥ 90% on FrontierMath Benchmark before 2027?	0 simplystupid188	Yes / 22.0¢	+26.66	$5.87
3d	AI model scores ≥ 90% on FrontierMath Benchmark before 2027?	0 0x2b670A311561DcAF741D8155451774D3Fa7fb814-1778467735876	Yes / 21.0¢	+457.11	$96
5d	AI model scores ≥ 90% on FrontierMath Benchmark before 2027?	0 0x2b670A311561DcAF741D8155451774D3Fa7fb814-1778467735876	Yes / 22.0¢	+28.95	$6.37
5d	AI model scores ≥ 90% on FrontierMath Benchmark before 2027?	0 69mf	Yes / 21.3¢	-28.95	$6.17
5d	AI model scores ≥ 90% on FrontierMath Benchmark before 2027?	0 csbellizzi	No / 78.0¢	+7.03	$5.53
5d	AI model scores ≥ 90% on FrontierMath Benchmark before 2027?	0 0x2b670A311561DcAF741D8155451774D3Fa7fb814-1778467735876	Yes / 22.0¢	+7.03	$1.55
7d	AI model scores ≥ 90% on FrontierMath Benchmark before 2027?	0 S888	No / 76.3¢	-9.00	$6.87
7d	AI model scores ≥ 90% on FrontierMath Benchmark before 2027?	0 wavesinthesky	Yes / 23.0¢	-9.00	$2.07
7d	AI model scores ≥ 90% on FrontierMath Benchmark before 2027?	jtradegbr	No / 76.0¢	+50.00	$38
7d	AI model scores ≥ 90% on FrontierMath Benchmark before 2027?	STEVJJJ	Yes / 24.0¢	+50.00	$12.4
7d	AI model scores ≥ 90% on FrontierMath Benchmark before 2027?	0 robotictrader	Yes / 24.0¢	+7.60	$1.88
7d	AI model scores ≥ 90% on FrontierMath Benchmark before 2027?	jtradegbr	No / 76.0¢	+7.60	$5.78
7d	AI model scores ≥ 90% on FrontierMath Benchmark before 2027?	iusedtowritepoetryforaliving	Yes / 23.0¢	+1,510.00	$358
7d	AI model scores ≥ 90% on FrontierMath Benchmark before 2027?	0 69mf	Yes / 24.0¢	+28.96	$7.16
7d	AI model scores ≥ 90% on FrontierMath Benchmark before 2027?	0 S888	No / 77.0¢	+10.00	$7.7
7d	AI model scores ≥ 90% on FrontierMath Benchmark before 2027?	JuliusNakamoto	No / 77.0¢	+1,500.00	$1.16K
7d	AI model scores ≥ 90% on FrontierMath Benchmark before 2027?	jtradegbr	No / 76.0¢	+28.96	$22
7d	AI model scores ≥ 90% on FrontierMath Benchmark before 2027?	JuliusNakamoto	No / 77.0¢	+2,000.00	$1.54K
7d	AI model scores ≥ 90% on FrontierMath Benchmark before 2027?	0 simplystupid188	Yes / 21.0¢	-31.77	$6.67
7d	AI model scores ≥ 90% on FrontierMath Benchmark before 2027?	0 simplystupid188	Yes / 23.0¢	-31.77	$7.31
7d	AI model scores ≥ 90% on FrontierMath Benchmark before 2027?	rontro28	No / 78.0¢	+100.00	$78
7d	AI model scores ≥ 90% on FrontierMath Benchmark before 2027?	0 simplystupid188	Yes / 23.0¢	-42.37	$9.75
7d	AI model scores ≥ 90% on FrontierMath Benchmark before 2027?	0 S888	No / 80.0¢	+20.00	$16
7d	AI model scores ≥ 90% on FrontierMath Benchmark before 2027?	rontro28	No / 77.0¢	+100.00	$77
7d	AI model scores ≥ 90% on FrontierMath Benchmark before 2027?	0 0x2b670A311561DcAF741D8155451774D3Fa7fb814-1778467735876	Yes / 22.9¢	+2,425.91	$572
7d	AI model scores ≥ 90% on FrontierMath Benchmark before 2027?	jtradegbr	No / 78.0¢	+100.00	$78
7d	AI model scores ≥ 90% on FrontierMath Benchmark before 2027?	MasterOfLlamas	No / 82.0¢	+25.00	$20.6
7d	AI model scores ≥ 90% on FrontierMath Benchmark before 2027?	0 Oklmntrader	No / 82.0¢	-25.00	$20.5
8d	AI model scores ≥ 90% on FrontierMath Benchmark before 2027?	0 DualDelta	Yes / 20.0¢	+512.00	$102
8d	AI model scores ≥ 90% on FrontierMath Benchmark before 2027?	JuliusNakamoto	No / 80.0¢	+512.00	$413
9d	AI model scores ≥ 90% on FrontierMath Benchmark before 2027?	0 0x6bd1...3c9e1d	No / 78.3¢	-4.94	$3.87
9d	AI model scores ≥ 90% on FrontierMath Benchmark before 2027?	0 AJSV	No / 79.0¢	+4.94	$3.9
10d	AI model scores ≥ 90% on FrontierMath Benchmark before 2027?	0 Elias.Thornwell	No / 78.0¢	+5.00	$3.93
10d	AI model scores ≥ 90% on FrontierMath Benchmark before 2027?	0 DualDelta	Yes / 22.0¢	+5.00	$1.1
10d	AI model scores ≥ 90% on FrontierMath Benchmark before 2027?	0 simplystupid188	Yes / 22.0¢	-34.28	$7.54
10d	AI model scores ≥ 90% on FrontierMath Benchmark before 2027?	0 DualDelta	Yes / 22.0¢	+65.54	$14.9
10d	AI model scores ≥ 90% on FrontierMath Benchmark before 2027?	0 Colala	Yes / 22.0¢	-31.26	$6.88
10d	AI model scores ≥ 90% on FrontierMath Benchmark before 2027?	0 DualDelta	Yes / 20.0¢	+0.03	$0.01
10d	AI model scores ≥ 90% on FrontierMath Benchmark before 2027?	0 0x2c65...d79379	Yes / 19.4¢	-0.03	$0.01
10d	AI model scores ≥ 90% on FrontierMath Benchmark before 2027?	0 DualDelta	Yes / 20.0¢	+0.04	$0.01

AI model scores ≥ 90% on FrontierMath Benchmark before 2027?

Markets

Recent trades

AI model scores ≥ 90% on FrontierMath Benchmark before 2027?

Markets

Top traders across this event

Recent trades

Recent trades

Top traders across this event

Recent trades

AI model scores ≥ 90% on FrontierMath Benchmark before 2027?

Probability history

Markets

Recent trades

AI model scores ≥ 90% on FrontierMath Benchmark before 2027?

Probability history

Probability history

Markets

Top traders across this event

Recent trades

Recent trades

Top traders across this event

Recent trades

Probability history