Iran Nuke before 2027?

Open1 market·Ends Dec 31, 2026

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Volume

$643K

Txns

11,473

Traders

1,149

Fees

$11

Politics World Geopolitics Iran

This market will resolve to "Yes" if credible reports from international nuclear agencies, Iran's government itself, or credible global news sources officially confirm that Iran possesses a nuclear weapon by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".

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Markets

Market
Iran Nuke before 2027?	10%	$2.11K	$65.5K

#	Trader	Realized PnL	Markets	Volume
1	0 Colala	$0.4	1	$133
2	0 0xB6784bDD202674f548DAF82792a626b295347428-1776785131835	$0.03	1	$30
3	0 Rasee09	$0	1	$10
4	0 0x6a481A74eeabf2FDd815601226e164Fc97c6ddA0-1778287427502	$0	1	$1
5	0 beliefsystems	$0	1	$9.43
6	0 WickedMC	$0	1	$1
7	0 0x34A0E23aEB4D225EAaedA2F42D5f0f7960E29bf7-1777655705894	$0	1	$5
8	0 Slothtrop	-$0.04	1	$11.9
9	0 909990	-$4.04	1	$80.6
10	0 BA2027	-$6.46	1	$210

Age	Market	Trader	Outcome	Shares	Value
7h	Iran Nuke before 2027?	0 nilestrades	No / 90.5¢	+1.26	$1.14
7h	Iran Nuke before 2027?	Volku	Yes / 9.5¢	+1.26	$0.12
7h	Iran Nuke before 2027?	0 TronOG	No / 90.2¢	+1.21	$1.09
7h	Iran Nuke before 2027?	0 PotatoInvestments	No / 90.2¢	-1.21	$1.09
8h	Iran Nuke before 2027?	0 TronOG	No / 90.2¢	+111.11	$100
8h	Iran Nuke before 2027?	0 SingularitySaint	No / 90.2¢	-111.11	$100
12h	Iran Nuke before 2027?	0 fa910	No / 90.3¢	+100.00	$90.3
12h	Iran Nuke before 2027?	0 TronOG	No / 90.2¢	+11.59	$10.5
12h	Iran Nuke before 2027?	0 Biver52	Yes / 9.7¢	-65.08	$6.31
12h	Iran Nuke before 2027?	0 25oodksmsss09	Yes / 9.6¢	-29.70	$2.85
12h	Iran Nuke before 2027?	0 0x1C335c7361bb791e180C3E17aD1308B1eEBfAb72-1771383663138	Yes / 9.7¢	+206.37	$20
18h	Iran Nuke before 2027?	0 BielBitcoin	No / 90.9¢	-100.00	$90.9
18h	Iran Nuke before 2027?	0 25oodksmsss09	Yes / 9.2¢	+29.70	$2.73
18h	Iran Nuke before 2027?	0 fa910	No / 90.9¢	+129.70	$118
23h	Iran Nuke before 2027?	pika2zero	No / 90.5¢	-300.81	$272
23h	Iran Nuke before 2027?	0 Biver52	Yes / 9.7¢	-54.75	$5.31
23h	Iran Nuke before 2027?	zthunderfury	No / 90.5¢	+246.06	$223
1d	Iran Nuke before 2027?	0 ketib2	Yes / 9.5¢	+500.00	$47.5
1d	Iran Nuke before 2027?	zthunderfury	No / 90.5¢	+386.21	$350
1d	Iran Nuke before 2027?	0 BielBitcoin	No / 90.5¢	+100.00	$90.5
1d	Iran Nuke before 2027?	0 0x6b0e...46e3ea	Yes / 9.4¢	-13.79	$1.3
1d	Iran Nuke before 2027?	0 0x6b0e...46e3ea	Yes / 9.3¢	-13.21	$1.23
1d	Iran Nuke before 2027?	0 0xdcc0...8e6774	No / 89.8¢	-13.21	$11.9
1d	Iran Nuke before 2027?	Volku	Yes / 9.0¢	+500.00	$45
1d	Iran Nuke before 2027?	0 Biver52	Yes / 9.0¢	-140.27	$12.6
1d	Iran Nuke before 2027?	zthunderfury	No / 91.0¢	+299.73	$273
1d	Iran Nuke before 2027?	0 l1nkus	Yes / 8.9¢	-10.00	$0.89
1d	Iran Nuke before 2027?	0 monkeyeatsbanana	No / 91.0¢	+50.00	$45.5
1d	Iran Nuke before 2027?	0 25oodksmsss09	Yes / 8.8¢	-9.27	$0.82
1d	Iran Nuke before 2027?	0 0x6b0e...46e3ea	Yes / 8.9¢	-135.00	$12
1d	Iran Nuke before 2027?	zthunderfury	No / 91.0¢	+155.73	$142
1d	Iran Nuke before 2027?	Volku	Yes / 8.9¢	+300.00	$26.8
1d	Iran Nuke before 2027?	0 Maskt	No / 91.3¢	+5.48	$5
1d	Iran Nuke before 2027?	RememberAmalek	Yes / 8.7¢	+5.48	$0.48
1d	Iran Nuke before 2027?	RememberAmalek	Yes / 8.7¢	+348.80	$30.3
1d	Iran Nuke before 2027?	AuthenticDemigod	Yes / 8.7¢	-348.80	$30.3
1d	Iran Nuke before 2027?	0 25oodksmsss09	Yes / 8.8¢	-19.93	$1.75
1d	Iran Nuke before 2027?	0 mathacec	No / 91.2¢	-19.93	$18.2
1d	Iran Nuke before 2027?	0 mathacec	No / 91.3¢	+19.93	$18.2
1d	Iran Nuke before 2027?	RememberAmalek	Yes / 8.7¢	+19.93	$1.73
1d	Iran Nuke before 2027?	0 Biver52	Yes / 8.8¢	+100.00	$8.8
1d	Iran Nuke before 2027?	RememberAmalek	Yes / 8.7¢	+900.00	$78.3
1d	Iran Nuke before 2027?	0 David28	No / 91.3¢	+1,000.00	$913
1d	Iran Nuke before 2027?	0 Mwhale	No / 91.2¢	-80.55	$73.5
1d	Iran Nuke before 2027?	pika2zero	No / 91.2¢	-200.00	$182
1d	Iran Nuke before 2027?	0 25oodksmsss09	Yes / 8.9¢	+29.20	$2.6
1d	Iran Nuke before 2027?	0 David28	No / 91.3¢	+1,000.00	$913
1d	Iran Nuke before 2027?	RememberAmalek	Yes / 8.7¢	+590.25	$51.4
1d	Iran Nuke before 2027?	0 Biver52	Yes / 8.8¢	+100.00	$8.8
1d	Iran Nuke before 2027?	0 v1notlost	Yes / 9.7¢	+20.00	$1.94

#	Trader	Realized PnL	Markets	Volume
1	0 Colala	$0.4	1	$133
2	0 0xB6784bDD202674f548DAF82792a626b295347428-1776785131835	$0.03	1	$30
3	0 Rasee09	$0	1	$10
4	0 0x6a481A74eeabf2FDd815601226e164Fc97c6ddA0-1778287427502	$0	1	$1
5	0 beliefsystems	$0	1	$9.43
6	0 WickedMC	$0	1	$1
7	0 0x34A0E23aEB4D225EAaedA2F42D5f0f7960E29bf7-1777655705894	$0	1	$5
8	0 Slothtrop	-$0.04	1	$11.9
9	0 909990	-$4.04	1	$80.6
10	0 BA2027	-$6.46	1	$210

Age	Market	Trader	Outcome	Shares	Value
7h	Iran Nuke before 2027?	0 nilestrades	No / 90.5¢	+1.26	$1.14
7h	Iran Nuke before 2027?	Volku	Yes / 9.5¢	+1.26	$0.12
7h	Iran Nuke before 2027?	0 TronOG	No / 90.2¢	+1.21	$1.09
7h	Iran Nuke before 2027?	0 PotatoInvestments	No / 90.2¢	-1.21	$1.09
8h	Iran Nuke before 2027?	0 TronOG	No / 90.2¢	+111.11	$100
8h	Iran Nuke before 2027?	0 SingularitySaint	No / 90.2¢	-111.11	$100
12h	Iran Nuke before 2027?	0 fa910	No / 90.3¢	+100.00	$90.3
12h	Iran Nuke before 2027?	0 TronOG	No / 90.2¢	+11.59	$10.5
12h	Iran Nuke before 2027?	0 Biver52	Yes / 9.7¢	-65.08	$6.31
12h	Iran Nuke before 2027?	0 25oodksmsss09	Yes / 9.6¢	-29.70	$2.85
12h	Iran Nuke before 2027?	0 0x1C335c7361bb791e180C3E17aD1308B1eEBfAb72-1771383663138	Yes / 9.7¢	+206.37	$20
18h	Iran Nuke before 2027?	0 BielBitcoin	No / 90.9¢	-100.00	$90.9
18h	Iran Nuke before 2027?	0 25oodksmsss09	Yes / 9.2¢	+29.70	$2.73
18h	Iran Nuke before 2027?	0 fa910	No / 90.9¢	+129.70	$118
23h	Iran Nuke before 2027?	pika2zero	No / 90.5¢	-300.81	$272
23h	Iran Nuke before 2027?	0 Biver52	Yes / 9.7¢	-54.75	$5.31
23h	Iran Nuke before 2027?	zthunderfury	No / 90.5¢	+246.06	$223
1d	Iran Nuke before 2027?	0 ketib2	Yes / 9.5¢	+500.00	$47.5
1d	Iran Nuke before 2027?	zthunderfury	No / 90.5¢	+386.21	$350
1d	Iran Nuke before 2027?	0 BielBitcoin	No / 90.5¢	+100.00	$90.5
1d	Iran Nuke before 2027?	0 0x6b0e...46e3ea	Yes / 9.4¢	-13.79	$1.3
1d	Iran Nuke before 2027?	0 0x6b0e...46e3ea	Yes / 9.3¢	-13.21	$1.23
1d	Iran Nuke before 2027?	0 0xdcc0...8e6774	No / 89.8¢	-13.21	$11.9
1d	Iran Nuke before 2027?	Volku	Yes / 9.0¢	+500.00	$45
1d	Iran Nuke before 2027?	0 Biver52	Yes / 9.0¢	-140.27	$12.6
1d	Iran Nuke before 2027?	zthunderfury	No / 91.0¢	+299.73	$273
1d	Iran Nuke before 2027?	0 l1nkus	Yes / 8.9¢	-10.00	$0.89
1d	Iran Nuke before 2027?	0 monkeyeatsbanana	No / 91.0¢	+50.00	$45.5
1d	Iran Nuke before 2027?	0 25oodksmsss09	Yes / 8.8¢	-9.27	$0.82
1d	Iran Nuke before 2027?	0 0x6b0e...46e3ea	Yes / 8.9¢	-135.00	$12
1d	Iran Nuke before 2027?	zthunderfury	No / 91.0¢	+155.73	$142
1d	Iran Nuke before 2027?	Volku	Yes / 8.9¢	+300.00	$26.8
1d	Iran Nuke before 2027?	0 Maskt	No / 91.3¢	+5.48	$5
1d	Iran Nuke before 2027?	RememberAmalek	Yes / 8.7¢	+5.48	$0.48
1d	Iran Nuke before 2027?	RememberAmalek	Yes / 8.7¢	+348.80	$30.3
1d	Iran Nuke before 2027?	AuthenticDemigod	Yes / 8.7¢	-348.80	$30.3
1d	Iran Nuke before 2027?	0 25oodksmsss09	Yes / 8.8¢	-19.93	$1.75
1d	Iran Nuke before 2027?	0 mathacec	No / 91.2¢	-19.93	$18.2
1d	Iran Nuke before 2027?	0 mathacec	No / 91.3¢	+19.93	$18.2
1d	Iran Nuke before 2027?	RememberAmalek	Yes / 8.7¢	+19.93	$1.73
1d	Iran Nuke before 2027?	0 Biver52	Yes / 8.8¢	+100.00	$8.8
1d	Iran Nuke before 2027?	RememberAmalek	Yes / 8.7¢	+900.00	$78.3
1d	Iran Nuke before 2027?	0 David28	No / 91.3¢	+1,000.00	$913
1d	Iran Nuke before 2027?	0 Mwhale	No / 91.2¢	-80.55	$73.5
1d	Iran Nuke before 2027?	pika2zero	No / 91.2¢	-200.00	$182
1d	Iran Nuke before 2027?	0 25oodksmsss09	Yes / 8.9¢	+29.20	$2.6
1d	Iran Nuke before 2027?	0 David28	No / 91.3¢	+1,000.00	$913
1d	Iran Nuke before 2027?	RememberAmalek	Yes / 8.7¢	+590.25	$51.4
1d	Iran Nuke before 2027?	0 Biver52	Yes / 8.8¢	+100.00	$8.8
1d	Iran Nuke before 2027?	0 v1notlost	Yes / 9.7¢	+20.00	$1.94

Iran Nuke before 2027?

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Iran Nuke before 2027?

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Iran Nuke before 2027?

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Iran Nuke before 2027?

Probability history

Probability history

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Probability history