U.S. forces in Gaza before 2027?

Open1 market·Ends Dec 31, 2026

View on Polymarket

Volume

$50K

Txns

912

Traders

252

Fees

Foreign Policy Gaza Israel palestine

This market will resolve to “Yes” if active regular US military personnel physically enter Gaza by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. US military personnel must physically enter the terrestrial territory of the Gaza Strip to qualify. Entering the maritime territory, as occurred during the US’s attempt to construct a floating pier in 2024, or entering the airspace will not qualify. US military personnel entering buffer zones under control of Israel will not qualify. High ranking U.S. service members entering Gaza for diplomatic purposes (and their accompanying entourage), military contractors, military advisors, and special operation forces will not qualify. The resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.

View on Polymarket

Markets

Market
U.S. forces in Gaza before 2027?	13%	$1.15	$3.2K

#	Trader	Realized PnL	Markets	Volume
1	0 PPMT	$0.6	1	$18.9
2	0 0xfA0f3AD22cD58Cd95ECFCf0e1f76b84BD895835E-1778340826862	$0	1	$10
3	0 xneo13	-$0.07	1	$1.92

Age	Market	Trader	Outcome	Shares	Value
22h	U.S. forces in Gaza before 2027?	MrRobertHouse	No / 87.0¢	+1.15	$1
22h	U.S. forces in Gaza before 2027?	0 25oodksmsss09	Yes / 13.0¢	+1.15	$0.15
2d	U.S. forces in Gaza before 2027?	0 TerranSupremacy	Yes / 19.0¢	-4.00	$0.76
2d	U.S. forces in Gaza before 2027?	0 0x8bf2...a40d85	Yes / 15.0¢	-7.00	$1.05
2d	U.S. forces in Gaza before 2027?	0 rocky42024	Yes / 19.0¢	-32.31	$6.14
2d	U.S. forces in Gaza before 2027?	0 no1biao	Yes / 14.0¢	-1.96	$0.27
2d	U.S. forces in Gaza before 2027?	0 clawtinger	No / 78.6¢	-45.27	$35.6
5d	U.S. forces in Gaza before 2027?	0 0xfA0f3AD22cD58Cd95ECFCf0e1f76b84BD895835E-1778340826862	No / 88.0¢	+11.36	$10
5d	U.S. forces in Gaza before 2027?	0 Idapro555	No / 88.0¢	-11.36	$10
9d	U.S. forces in Gaza before 2027?	0 no1biao	Yes / 14.0¢	-32.04	$4.49
9d	U.S. forces in Gaza before 2027?	0 orgum4	No / 86.0¢	-32.04	$27.6
11d	U.S. forces in Gaza before 2027?	0 xneo13	No / 81.0¢	-1.14	$0.92
11d	U.S. forces in Gaza before 2027?	0 TerranSupremacy	Yes / 19.0¢	-1.14	$0.22
13d	U.S. forces in Gaza before 2027?	0 TerranSupremacy	Yes / 19.0¢	-5.00	$0.95
13d	U.S. forces in Gaza before 2027?	0 0x0729A91138dbA9addc310D39F57aAd555371C50	No / 81.0¢	-5.00	$4.05
16d	U.S. forces in Gaza before 2027?	0 Idapro555	No / 87.0¢	-1.19	$1.04
16d	U.S. forces in Gaza before 2027?	0 0xb651...662089	Yes / 13.0¢	-1.19	$0.15
16d	U.S. forces in Gaza before 2027?	0 0xb651...662089	Yes / 13.0¢	-6.00	$0.78
16d	U.S. forces in Gaza before 2027?	0 Idapro555	No / 87.0¢	-6.00	$5.22
17d	U.S. forces in Gaza before 2027?	0 0x6dAefF7Fc623f0344e1f47e27e858bc6694Ae45A-1768425409157	Yes / 15.0¢	-6.00	$0.9
17d	U.S. forces in Gaza before 2027?	0 AJSV	Yes / 15.0¢	+6.00	$0.9
17d	U.S. forces in Gaza before 2027?	0 0x6dAefF7Fc623f0344e1f47e27e858bc6694Ae45A-1768425409157	Yes / 14.0¢	-5.00	$0.7
17d	U.S. forces in Gaza before 2027?	0 0x8bf2...a40d85	Yes / 14.0¢	+5.00	$0.7
17d	U.S. forces in Gaza before 2027?	0 0x8bf2...a40d85	Yes / 14.0¢	+5.00	$0.7
17d	U.S. forces in Gaza before 2027?	0 0x6dAefF7Fc623f0344e1f47e27e858bc6694Ae45A-1768425409157	Yes / 14.0¢	-5.00	$0.7
17d	U.S. forces in Gaza before 2027?	0 0x8bf2...a40d85	Yes / 14.0¢	+4.00	$0.56
17d	U.S. forces in Gaza before 2027?	0 0x6dAefF7Fc623f0344e1f47e27e858bc6694Ae45A-1768425409157	Yes / 14.0¢	-4.00	$0.56
17d	U.S. forces in Gaza before 2027?	0 0x6dAefF7Fc623f0344e1f47e27e858bc6694Ae45A-1768425409157	Yes / 15.0¢	-10.00	$1.5
17d	U.S. forces in Gaza before 2027?	0 AJSV	Yes / 15.0¢	+10.00	$1.5
17d	U.S. forces in Gaza before 2027?	0 AJSV	Yes / 15.0¢	+2.00	$0.3
17d	U.S. forces in Gaza before 2027?	0 0x6dAefF7Fc623f0344e1f47e27e858bc6694Ae45A-1768425409157	Yes / 15.0¢	-2.00	$0.3
18d	U.S. forces in Gaza before 2027?	0 PPMT	No / 84.0¢	-11.30	$9.49
18d	U.S. forces in Gaza before 2027?	0 0xb651...662089	Yes / 16.0¢	-11.30	$1.81
19d	U.S. forces in Gaza before 2027?	0 PPMT	No / 79.0¢	+11.90	$9.4
19d	U.S. forces in Gaza before 2027?	gangosta	Yes / 21.0¢	+11.90	$2.5
19d	U.S. forces in Gaza before 2027?	0 Idapro555	No / 88.0¢	-2.00	$1.76
19d	U.S. forces in Gaza before 2027?	0 0x6dAefF7Fc623f0344e1f47e27e858bc6694Ae45A-1768425409157	Yes / 12.0¢	-2.00	$0.24
19d	U.S. forces in Gaza before 2027?	0 0x6dAefF7Fc623f0344e1f47e27e858bc6694Ae45A-1768425409157	Yes / 12.0¢	-6.00	$0.72
19d	U.S. forces in Gaza before 2027?	0 Idapro555	No / 88.0¢	-6.00	$5.28
19d	U.S. forces in Gaza before 2027?	0 0x6dAefF7Fc623f0344e1f47e27e858bc6694Ae45A-1768425409157	Yes / 15.0¢	-2.00	$0.3
19d	U.S. forces in Gaza before 2027?	0 AJSV	Yes / 15.0¢	+2.00	$0.3
19d	U.S. forces in Gaza before 2027?	0 0x6dAefF7Fc623f0344e1f47e27e858bc6694Ae45A-1768425409157	Yes / 17.0¢	-3.00	$0.51
19d	U.S. forces in Gaza before 2027?	0 TerranSupremacy	Yes / 17.0¢	+3.00	$0.51
19d	U.S. forces in Gaza before 2027?	0 TerranSupremacy	Yes / 17.0¢	+6.00	$1.02
19d	U.S. forces in Gaza before 2027?	0 0x6dAefF7Fc623f0344e1f47e27e858bc6694Ae45A-1768425409157	Yes / 17.0¢	-6.00	$1.02
19d	U.S. forces in Gaza before 2027?	0 0x6dAefF7Fc623f0344e1f47e27e858bc6694Ae45A-1768425409157	Yes / 24.0¢	-3.57	$0.86
19d	U.S. forces in Gaza before 2027?	saurois	Yes / 23.6¢	+6.37	$1.5
19d	U.S. forces in Gaza before 2027?	0 Gloomy-Refusal	Yes / 23.0¢	-2.80	$0.64
20d	U.S. forces in Gaza before 2027?	0 0x720CCa9Fe55C2d82E0e047bCd03cd0dBbB3D8909-1776799114783	Yes / 23.0¢	+4.35	$1
20d	U.S. forces in Gaza before 2027?	0 Gloomy-Refusal	Yes / 23.0¢	-4.35	$1

#	Trader	Realized PnL	Markets	Volume
1	0 PPMT	$0.6	1	$18.9
2	0 0xfA0f3AD22cD58Cd95ECFCf0e1f76b84BD895835E-1778340826862	$0	1	$10
3	0 xneo13	-$0.07	1	$1.92

Age	Market	Trader	Outcome	Shares	Value
22h	U.S. forces in Gaza before 2027?	MrRobertHouse	No / 87.0¢	+1.15	$1
22h	U.S. forces in Gaza before 2027?	0 25oodksmsss09	Yes / 13.0¢	+1.15	$0.15
2d	U.S. forces in Gaza before 2027?	0 TerranSupremacy	Yes / 19.0¢	-4.00	$0.76
2d	U.S. forces in Gaza before 2027?	0 0x8bf2...a40d85	Yes / 15.0¢	-7.00	$1.05
2d	U.S. forces in Gaza before 2027?	0 rocky42024	Yes / 19.0¢	-32.31	$6.14
2d	U.S. forces in Gaza before 2027?	0 no1biao	Yes / 14.0¢	-1.96	$0.27
2d	U.S. forces in Gaza before 2027?	0 clawtinger	No / 78.6¢	-45.27	$35.6
5d	U.S. forces in Gaza before 2027?	0 0xfA0f3AD22cD58Cd95ECFCf0e1f76b84BD895835E-1778340826862	No / 88.0¢	+11.36	$10
5d	U.S. forces in Gaza before 2027?	0 Idapro555	No / 88.0¢	-11.36	$10
9d	U.S. forces in Gaza before 2027?	0 no1biao	Yes / 14.0¢	-32.04	$4.49
9d	U.S. forces in Gaza before 2027?	0 orgum4	No / 86.0¢	-32.04	$27.6
11d	U.S. forces in Gaza before 2027?	0 xneo13	No / 81.0¢	-1.14	$0.92
11d	U.S. forces in Gaza before 2027?	0 TerranSupremacy	Yes / 19.0¢	-1.14	$0.22
13d	U.S. forces in Gaza before 2027?	0 TerranSupremacy	Yes / 19.0¢	-5.00	$0.95
13d	U.S. forces in Gaza before 2027?	0 0x0729A91138dbA9addc310D39F57aAd555371C50	No / 81.0¢	-5.00	$4.05
16d	U.S. forces in Gaza before 2027?	0 Idapro555	No / 87.0¢	-1.19	$1.04
16d	U.S. forces in Gaza before 2027?	0 0xb651...662089	Yes / 13.0¢	-1.19	$0.15
16d	U.S. forces in Gaza before 2027?	0 0xb651...662089	Yes / 13.0¢	-6.00	$0.78
16d	U.S. forces in Gaza before 2027?	0 Idapro555	No / 87.0¢	-6.00	$5.22
17d	U.S. forces in Gaza before 2027?	0 0x6dAefF7Fc623f0344e1f47e27e858bc6694Ae45A-1768425409157	Yes / 15.0¢	-6.00	$0.9
17d	U.S. forces in Gaza before 2027?	0 AJSV	Yes / 15.0¢	+6.00	$0.9
17d	U.S. forces in Gaza before 2027?	0 0x6dAefF7Fc623f0344e1f47e27e858bc6694Ae45A-1768425409157	Yes / 14.0¢	-5.00	$0.7
17d	U.S. forces in Gaza before 2027?	0 0x8bf2...a40d85	Yes / 14.0¢	+5.00	$0.7
17d	U.S. forces in Gaza before 2027?	0 0x8bf2...a40d85	Yes / 14.0¢	+5.00	$0.7
17d	U.S. forces in Gaza before 2027?	0 0x6dAefF7Fc623f0344e1f47e27e858bc6694Ae45A-1768425409157	Yes / 14.0¢	-5.00	$0.7
17d	U.S. forces in Gaza before 2027?	0 0x8bf2...a40d85	Yes / 14.0¢	+4.00	$0.56
17d	U.S. forces in Gaza before 2027?	0 0x6dAefF7Fc623f0344e1f47e27e858bc6694Ae45A-1768425409157	Yes / 14.0¢	-4.00	$0.56
17d	U.S. forces in Gaza before 2027?	0 0x6dAefF7Fc623f0344e1f47e27e858bc6694Ae45A-1768425409157	Yes / 15.0¢	-10.00	$1.5
17d	U.S. forces in Gaza before 2027?	0 AJSV	Yes / 15.0¢	+10.00	$1.5
17d	U.S. forces in Gaza before 2027?	0 AJSV	Yes / 15.0¢	+2.00	$0.3
17d	U.S. forces in Gaza before 2027?	0 0x6dAefF7Fc623f0344e1f47e27e858bc6694Ae45A-1768425409157	Yes / 15.0¢	-2.00	$0.3
18d	U.S. forces in Gaza before 2027?	0 PPMT	No / 84.0¢	-11.30	$9.49
18d	U.S. forces in Gaza before 2027?	0 0xb651...662089	Yes / 16.0¢	-11.30	$1.81
19d	U.S. forces in Gaza before 2027?	0 PPMT	No / 79.0¢	+11.90	$9.4
19d	U.S. forces in Gaza before 2027?	gangosta	Yes / 21.0¢	+11.90	$2.5
19d	U.S. forces in Gaza before 2027?	0 Idapro555	No / 88.0¢	-2.00	$1.76
19d	U.S. forces in Gaza before 2027?	0 0x6dAefF7Fc623f0344e1f47e27e858bc6694Ae45A-1768425409157	Yes / 12.0¢	-2.00	$0.24
19d	U.S. forces in Gaza before 2027?	0 0x6dAefF7Fc623f0344e1f47e27e858bc6694Ae45A-1768425409157	Yes / 12.0¢	-6.00	$0.72
19d	U.S. forces in Gaza before 2027?	0 Idapro555	No / 88.0¢	-6.00	$5.28
19d	U.S. forces in Gaza before 2027?	0 0x6dAefF7Fc623f0344e1f47e27e858bc6694Ae45A-1768425409157	Yes / 15.0¢	-2.00	$0.3
19d	U.S. forces in Gaza before 2027?	0 AJSV	Yes / 15.0¢	+2.00	$0.3
19d	U.S. forces in Gaza before 2027?	0 0x6dAefF7Fc623f0344e1f47e27e858bc6694Ae45A-1768425409157	Yes / 17.0¢	-3.00	$0.51
19d	U.S. forces in Gaza before 2027?	0 TerranSupremacy	Yes / 17.0¢	+3.00	$0.51
19d	U.S. forces in Gaza before 2027?	0 TerranSupremacy	Yes / 17.0¢	+6.00	$1.02
19d	U.S. forces in Gaza before 2027?	0 0x6dAefF7Fc623f0344e1f47e27e858bc6694Ae45A-1768425409157	Yes / 17.0¢	-6.00	$1.02
19d	U.S. forces in Gaza before 2027?	0 0x6dAefF7Fc623f0344e1f47e27e858bc6694Ae45A-1768425409157	Yes / 24.0¢	-3.57	$0.86
19d	U.S. forces in Gaza before 2027?	saurois	Yes / 23.6¢	+6.37	$1.5
19d	U.S. forces in Gaza before 2027?	0 Gloomy-Refusal	Yes / 23.0¢	-2.80	$0.64
20d	U.S. forces in Gaza before 2027?	0 0x720CCa9Fe55C2d82E0e047bCd03cd0dBbB3D8909-1776799114783	Yes / 23.0¢	+4.35	$1
20d	U.S. forces in Gaza before 2027?	0 Gloomy-Refusal	Yes / 23.0¢	-4.35	$1

U.S. forces in Gaza before 2027?

Markets

Recent trades

U.S. forces in Gaza before 2027?

Markets

Top traders across this event

Recent trades

Recent trades

Top traders across this event

Recent trades

U.S. forces in Gaza before 2027?

Probability history

Markets

Recent trades

U.S. forces in Gaza before 2027?

Probability history

Probability history

Markets

Top traders across this event

Recent trades

Recent trades

Top traders across this event

Recent trades

Probability history