Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?

Open1 market·Ends Dec 31, 2026

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Volume

$30M

Txns

184,530

Traders

12,484

Fees

$115

Geopolitics Politics Middle East Israel

This market will resolve to "Yes" if the United States commences a military offensive intended to establish control over any portion of Iran by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". For the purposes of this market, land de facto controlled by Iran or the United States as of November 4, 2025 12:00 PM ET, will be considered the sovereign territory of that country. The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible sources.

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Markets

Market
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?	26%	$558K	$576K

#	Trader	Realized PnL	Markets	Volume
1	0 0xdb7776fA35Eee723840b30A71160BC6d155DBfc2-1777200282091	$2.44K	1	$22.2K
2	0 mozart888	$1.08K	1	$4.52K
3	0 outsider-knowledge	$671	1	$22.8K
4	0 Yurion0	$505	1	$3.2K
5	0 DonaldPumpJr	$454	1	$20.6K
6	0 QuantumState	$336	1	$21K
7	0 MaximusCornflakus	$264	1	$3.56K
8	0 Scalpoor	$200	1	$5.8K
9	0 ian6855	$104	1	$1.1K
10	0 0xd126eD762fe476452025625da4C0a5db764bc3fd-1778020453172	$99.4	1	$3.47K

Age	Market	Trader	Outcome	Shares	Value
2m	Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?	0 Nakata355	Yes / 26.0¢	-40.00	$10.4
2m	Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?	0 AdrianCronauer	Yes / 26.0¢	+40.00	$10.4
5m	Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?	0 AdrianCronauer	Yes / 26.0¢	+56.05	$14.6
5m	Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?	0 0xKoru	No / 74.0¢	+56.05	$41.5
6m	Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?	0 matrixd	Yes / 27.0¢	+18.52	$5
6m	Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?	monstur	No / 73.0¢	+18.52	$13.5
9m	Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?	monstur	No / 73.0¢	+3.70	$2.7
9m	Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?	0 0xC460016E3a7735134A55A4C28256300336c1cAE6-1771336987131	Yes / 27.0¢	+3.70	$1
14m	Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?	0 AdrianCronauer	Yes / 26.0¢	+4.05	$1.05
14m	Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?	tyr311	No / 74.0¢	+4.05	$3
15m	Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?	monstur	No / 73.0¢	+4.00	$2.92
15m	Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?	0 supertrader0930	No / 73.0¢	-4.00	$2.92
15m	Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?	0 AdrianCronauer	Yes / 26.0¢	+4.00	$1.04
15m	Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?	0 supertrader0930	Yes / 26.0¢	-4.00	$1.04
15m	Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?	0 supertrader0930	No / 73.0¢	-4.00	$2.92
15m	Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?	monstur	No / 73.0¢	+4.00	$2.92
15m	Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?	0 AdrianCronauer	Yes / 26.0¢	+4.00	$1.04
15m	Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?	0 supertrader0930	Yes / 26.0¢	-4.00	$1.04
15m	Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?	0 supertrader0930	No / 73.0¢	-4.00	$2.92
15m	Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?	monstur	No / 73.0¢	+4.00	$2.92
15m	Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?	0 AdrianCronauer	Yes / 26.0¢	+4.00	$1.04
15m	Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?	0 supertrader0930	Yes / 26.0¢	-4.00	$1.04
17m	Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?	0 AdrianCronauer	Yes / 26.0¢	+138.87	$36.1
17m	Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?	0 chupaps	Yes / 26.0¢	-138.87	$36.1
19m	Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?	0 AdrianCronauer	Yes / 26.0¢	+13.51	$3.51
19m	Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?	0 0x54328800f4b47C3f29bBD25dAFCc961087e90Dc4-1775659629164	No / 74.0¢	+13.51	$10
22m	Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?	0 0x4AEB8b99012fa6763944A0a96b58B69664B0F10E-1772558457656	Yes / 27.0¢	+433.33	$117
22m	Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?	monstur	No / 73.0¢	+433.33	$316
23m	Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?	0 AdrianCronauer	Yes / 26.0¢	+5.00	$1.3
23m	Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?	0 tobimateu	Yes / 26.0¢	-5.00	$1.3
25m	Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?	monstur	No / 73.0¢	+500.00	$365
25m	Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?	0 VPG	No / 73.0¢	-500.00	$365
26m	Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?	0 KiraNid	Yes / 27.0¢	+18.52	$5
26m	Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?	monstur	No / 73.0¢	+18.52	$13.5
30m	Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?	0 KakiBatusik	Yes / 27.0¢	+30.00	$8.1
30m	Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?	monstur	No / 73.0¢	+30.00	$21.9
35m	Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?	0 iPhone5	No / 73.0¢	+8.00	$5.84
35m	Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?	0 VPG	No / 73.0¢	-274.00	$200
35m	Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?	0 Contrarian - 7451	No / 73.0¢	+183.40	$134
35m	Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?	monstur	No / 73.0¢	+82.60	$60.3
36m	Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?	0 0xa3c304A2317B0Cc587b6E79084e7Efc8E545aa0F-1769473244304	Yes / 26.0¢	-5.30	$1.38
36m	Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?	0 AdrianCronauer	Yes / 26.0¢	+5.30	$1.38
39m	Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?	0 0xa3c304A2317B0Cc587b6E79084e7Efc8E545aa0F-1769473244304	Yes / 27.0¢	+5.31	$1.43
39m	Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?	0 Contrarian - 7451	No / 73.0¢	+5.31	$3.88
40m	Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?	0 Contrarian - 7451	No / 73.0¢	+11.29	$8.24
40m	Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?	0 gusgusg	No / 73.0¢	-11.29	$8.24
41m	Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?	monstur	No / 73.0¢	+861.57	$629
41m	Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?	0x8Fhu65	Yes / 27.0¢	+40.00	$10.8
41m	Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?	Sardinianshepherd	No / 73.0¢	-500.00	$365
41m	Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?	0 0xAd42E33b119A8A3458e13865e37F721a5dBc9b0E-1779184873159	Yes / 27.0¢	+7.35	$1.98

#	Trader	Realized PnL	Markets	Volume
1	0 0xdb7776fA35Eee723840b30A71160BC6d155DBfc2-1777200282091	$2.44K	1	$22.2K
2	0 mozart888	$1.08K	1	$4.52K
3	0 outsider-knowledge	$671	1	$22.8K
4	0 Yurion0	$505	1	$3.2K
5	0 DonaldPumpJr	$454	1	$20.6K
6	0 QuantumState	$336	1	$21K
7	0 MaximusCornflakus	$264	1	$3.56K
8	0 Scalpoor	$200	1	$5.8K
9	0 ian6855	$104	1	$1.1K
10	0 0xd126eD762fe476452025625da4C0a5db764bc3fd-1778020453172	$99.4	1	$3.47K

Age	Market	Trader	Outcome	Shares	Value
2m	Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?	0 Nakata355	Yes / 26.0¢	-40.00	$10.4
2m	Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?	0 AdrianCronauer	Yes / 26.0¢	+40.00	$10.4
5m	Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?	0 AdrianCronauer	Yes / 26.0¢	+56.05	$14.6
5m	Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?	0 0xKoru	No / 74.0¢	+56.05	$41.5
6m	Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?	0 matrixd	Yes / 27.0¢	+18.52	$5
6m	Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?	monstur	No / 73.0¢	+18.52	$13.5
9m	Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?	monstur	No / 73.0¢	+3.70	$2.7
9m	Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?	0 0xC460016E3a7735134A55A4C28256300336c1cAE6-1771336987131	Yes / 27.0¢	+3.70	$1
14m	Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?	0 AdrianCronauer	Yes / 26.0¢	+4.05	$1.05
14m	Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?	tyr311	No / 74.0¢	+4.05	$3
15m	Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?	monstur	No / 73.0¢	+4.00	$2.92
15m	Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?	0 supertrader0930	No / 73.0¢	-4.00	$2.92
15m	Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?	0 AdrianCronauer	Yes / 26.0¢	+4.00	$1.04
15m	Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?	0 supertrader0930	Yes / 26.0¢	-4.00	$1.04
15m	Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?	0 supertrader0930	No / 73.0¢	-4.00	$2.92
15m	Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?	monstur	No / 73.0¢	+4.00	$2.92
15m	Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?	0 AdrianCronauer	Yes / 26.0¢	+4.00	$1.04
15m	Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?	0 supertrader0930	Yes / 26.0¢	-4.00	$1.04
15m	Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?	0 supertrader0930	No / 73.0¢	-4.00	$2.92
15m	Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?	monstur	No / 73.0¢	+4.00	$2.92
15m	Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?	0 AdrianCronauer	Yes / 26.0¢	+4.00	$1.04
15m	Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?	0 supertrader0930	Yes / 26.0¢	-4.00	$1.04
17m	Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?	0 AdrianCronauer	Yes / 26.0¢	+138.87	$36.1
17m	Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?	0 chupaps	Yes / 26.0¢	-138.87	$36.1
19m	Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?	0 AdrianCronauer	Yes / 26.0¢	+13.51	$3.51
19m	Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?	0 0x54328800f4b47C3f29bBD25dAFCc961087e90Dc4-1775659629164	No / 74.0¢	+13.51	$10
22m	Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?	0 0x4AEB8b99012fa6763944A0a96b58B69664B0F10E-1772558457656	Yes / 27.0¢	+433.33	$117
22m	Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?	monstur	No / 73.0¢	+433.33	$316
23m	Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?	0 AdrianCronauer	Yes / 26.0¢	+5.00	$1.3
23m	Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?	0 tobimateu	Yes / 26.0¢	-5.00	$1.3
25m	Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?	monstur	No / 73.0¢	+500.00	$365
25m	Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?	0 VPG	No / 73.0¢	-500.00	$365
26m	Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?	0 KiraNid	Yes / 27.0¢	+18.52	$5
26m	Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?	monstur	No / 73.0¢	+18.52	$13.5
30m	Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?	0 KakiBatusik	Yes / 27.0¢	+30.00	$8.1
30m	Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?	monstur	No / 73.0¢	+30.00	$21.9
35m	Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?	0 iPhone5	No / 73.0¢	+8.00	$5.84
35m	Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?	0 VPG	No / 73.0¢	-274.00	$200
35m	Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?	0 Contrarian - 7451	No / 73.0¢	+183.40	$134
35m	Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?	monstur	No / 73.0¢	+82.60	$60.3
36m	Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?	0 0xa3c304A2317B0Cc587b6E79084e7Efc8E545aa0F-1769473244304	Yes / 26.0¢	-5.30	$1.38
36m	Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?	0 AdrianCronauer	Yes / 26.0¢	+5.30	$1.38
39m	Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?	0 0xa3c304A2317B0Cc587b6E79084e7Efc8E545aa0F-1769473244304	Yes / 27.0¢	+5.31	$1.43
39m	Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?	0 Contrarian - 7451	No / 73.0¢	+5.31	$3.88
40m	Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?	0 Contrarian - 7451	No / 73.0¢	+11.29	$8.24
40m	Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?	0 gusgusg	No / 73.0¢	-11.29	$8.24
41m	Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?	monstur	No / 73.0¢	+861.57	$629
41m	Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?	0x8Fhu65	Yes / 27.0¢	+40.00	$10.8
41m	Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?	Sardinianshepherd	No / 73.0¢	-500.00	$365
41m	Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?	0 0xAd42E33b119A8A3458e13865e37F721a5dBc9b0E-1779184873159	Yes / 27.0¢	+7.35	$1.98

Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?

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Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?

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Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?

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Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?

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