
Volume
$40K
Txns
661
Traders
155
Fees
$0
Ends
Apr 18, 2025
This market will resolve to “Yes” if the Treasury 10-year yield on on April 18, 2025 is greater than 4.50% according to the daily values published by the Department of the Treasury. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. The resolution source for this market is the Department of the Treasury, specially the data listed under "Daily Treasury Par Yield Curve Rates" for the column "10 Yr" (see: https://home.treasury.gov/resource-center/data-chart-center/interest-rates/TextView?type=daily_treasury_yield_curve&field_tdr_date_value=2025).
| Age | Trader | Outcome | Shares | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1y | m20241223 | No / 99.9¢ | +3.45 | $3.45 | |
| 1y | qwertzu | No / 99.9¢ | -3.45 | $3.45 | |
| 1y | m20241223 | No / 99.8¢ | +100.00 | $99.8 | |
| 1y | m20241223 | No / 99.8¢ | +28.67 | $28.6 | |
| 1y | Pe7i | Yes / 0.2¢ | +28.67 | $0.06 | |
| 1y | Pe7i | Yes / 0.2¢ | +100.00 | $0.2 | |
| 1y | Pe7i | Yes / 0.2¢ | +121.33 | $0.24 | |
| 1y | AgricultureSecretary | Yes / 0.2¢ | -121.33 | $0.24 | |
| 1y | FrankyFourFingers | Yes / 0.7¢ | +4,931.01 | $34.2 | |
| 1y | Trader10001 | No / 99.8¢ | +16.07 | $16 | |
| 1y | ArmageddonRewardsBilly | No / 99.3¢ | +1,000.00 | $993 | |
| 1y | LunaSayMaybe | No / 99.5¢ | +100.00 | $99.5 | |
| 1y | rwo | Yes / 0.7¢ | -1,814.00 | $12.7 | |
| 1y | rwo | Yes / 0.7¢ | -2,000.94 | $14 | |
| 1y | Anon1792681 | Yes / 0.1¢ | +45.95 | $0.05 | |
| 1y | ghvgh | Yes / 0.1¢ | -45.95 | $0.05 | |
| 1y | ghvgh | Yes / 0.1¢ | -264.86 | $0.26 | |
| 1y | GayPride | No / 99.9¢ | -264.86 | $265 | |
| 1y | Justifax | No / 99.9¢ | -101.70 | $102 | |
| 1y | ghvgh | Yes / 0.1¢ | -101.70 | $0.1 | |
| 1y | Maximus374 | No / 99.9¢ | -20.02 | $20 | |
| 1y | ghvgh | Yes / 0.1¢ | -199.67 | $0.2 | |
| 1y | rwo | Yes / 0.1¢ | +179.65 | $0.18 | |
| 1y | rwo | Yes / 0.1¢ | +1.00 | $0 | |
| 1y | lokieto | No / 99.9¢ | +1.00 | $1 |
1–25
Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?
No 93%$72.8Mvolume
Will China invade Taiwan by June 30, 2026?
No 99%$11.2Mvolume
Will China blockade Taiwan by June 30?
No 99%$1.49Mvolume
China x Taiwan military clash before 2027?
No 88%$2.11Mvolume
Will China invade Taiwan by September 30, 2026?
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Jimmy Lai released by June 30?
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