
Volume
$56K
Txns
853
Traders
177
Fees
$0
Ends
Feb 3, 2026
This market will resolve to “Yes” if the “Yes” option for the 'Will the government shutdown last 5 days or more?' market in the Event 'How long will the Government Shutdown last?' (https://polymarket.com/event/how-long-will-the-next-government-shutdown-last) is priced over the listed value for a majority of minutes during the 1-hour period between 12:00 AM and 12:59 AM ET on February 3, 2026. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. A tie in the number of minutes will resolve to "No". If the underlying market resolves prior to this market, this market will immediately resolve in accordance with the underlying market’s final outcome. The resolution source will be the underlying minute-level price data for the 'Will the government shutdown last 5 days or more?' market, which can be viewed using the bar chart on https://derivative.polymarket.com/5-days-gov-shutdown-odds-50-monday-night-12-1-am or through the “Resolution” tab, with the time set to look at the relevant 1-hour window. This will display the 1-hour scoring window and the underlying minute-level comparisons. Both interfaces display the same underlying data. Note: This market will resolve according to the price scoring methodology of derivative.polymarket.com
Trades
| Age | Trader | Outcome | Shares | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3mo | yuujjo | Yes / 0.2¢ | +500.00 | $1 | |
| 3mo | FlyingPlaty | No / 99.8¢ | +500.00 | $499 | |
| 3mo | bondibeach | No / 99.9¢ | +260.00 | $260 | |
| 3mo | mkazied | Yes / 0.2¢ | +630.00 | $1 | |
| 3mo | FlyingPlaty | No / 99.8¢ | +370.00 | $369 | |
| 3mo | bondibeach | No / 99.9¢ | +1,000.00 | $999 | |
| 3mo | 0x243407D23FB301A0fefCf911b4C2a92BdCB936AB-1768470973144 | Yes / 0.1¢ | +1,000.00 | $1 | |
| 3mo | idealinvestor | Yes / 0.1¢ | +1,110.00 | $1.11 | |
| 3mo | bondibeach | No / 99.9¢ | +1,040.00 | $1.04K | |
| 3mo | 0x2C45f2bE0c74bf01580A4b558bb26979D6e64790-1758033737214 | No / 99.9¢ | +70.00 | $69.9 | |
| 3mo | Duz | No / 99.9¢ | -30.00 | $30 | |
| 3mo | 0x2C45f2bE0c74bf01580A4b558bb26979D6e64790-1758033737214 | No / 99.9¢ | +30.00 | $30 | |
| 3mo | 0x2c168DbEAc65C48F474f310d54FDd133809FE220-1770129308126 | Yes / 0.1¢ | +2,000.00 | $2 | |
| 3mo | ggmggn | No / 99.9¢ | +2,000.00 | $2K | |
| 3mo | 8.... | Yes / 0.2¢ | +63.13 | $0.13 | |
| 3mo | Bxrn | Yes / 0.1¢ | +1,510.00 | $1.51 | |
| 3mo | trashtier | No / 99.9¢ | -30.23 | $30.2 | |
| 3mo | FlyingPlaty | No / 99.9¢ | +2,704.47 | $2.7K | |
| 3mo | trashtier | No / 99.9¢ | -1,101.11 | $1.1K | |
| 3mo | trashtier | Yes / 0.3¢ | +500.00 | $1.5 | |
| 3mo | 8.... | Yes / 0.3¢ | +83.54 | $0.25 | |
| 3mo | 8.... | Yes / 0.5¢ | +49.62 | $0.25 | |
| 3mo | 8.... | Yes / 0.4¢ | +62.34 | $0.25 | |
| 3mo | FlyingPlaty | No / 99.7¢ | +695.50 | $693 | |
| 3mo | 8.... | Yes / 0.3¢ | -79.44 | $0.24 |
1–25
Will the Democratic Party control the Senate after the 2026 Midterm elections?
No 53%$1.31Mvolume
Will the Senate pass a reconciliation bill by May 22?
No 100%$210Kvolume
Major US official out by May 31?
Yes 100%$42.3Kvolume
Will the House pass a reconciliation bill by May 31?
No 99%$16.6Kvolume
Republicans win Trifecta with Senate Supermajority in midterms?
No 91%$126Kvolume
Will the House pass a reconciliation bill by June 15?
No 75%$1.99Kvolume