
Volume
$79K
Txns
1,281
Traders
301
Fees
$0
Ends
Dec 31, 2024
On December 18, 2024, Gavin Newsom declared a state of emergency in California over the H5N1 bird flu outbreak. You can read more about that here: https://x.com/osint613/status/1869497993977823355 This market will resolve to "Yes" if a state of emergency directly related to an outbreak of H5N1 is declared in any state other than California by December 31, 2024, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". The primary resolution source will be announcements from the relevant state governments, however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
| Age | Trader | Outcome | Shares | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1y | 0xb9bd...004acb | No / 99.9¢ | -46.05 | $46 | |
| 1y | ExhaustedBoyBilly | Yes / 0.1¢ | -46.05 | $0.05 | |
| 1y | ExhaustedBoyBilly | Yes / 0.1¢ | -4.46 | $0 | |
| 1y | b777 | No / 99.9¢ | -4.46 | $4.46 | |
| 1y | CompulsiveGambler | No / 99.9¢ | -300.00 | $300 | |
| 1y | ExhaustedBoyBilly | Yes / 0.1¢ | -300.00 | $0.3 | |
| 1y | ExhaustedBoyBilly | Yes / 0.1¢ | -10.00 | $0.01 | |
| 1y | Dan- | No / 99.9¢ | -10.00 | $9.99 | |
| 1y | RememberAmalek | No / 99.9¢ | +4,490.03 | $4.49K | |
| 1y | CompulsiveGambler | No / 99.9¢ | -416.02 | $416 | |
| 1y | Tenebrus7 | No / 99.9¢ | -1,500.00 | $1.5K | |
| 1y | ExhaustedBoyBilly | Yes / 0.1¢ | +2,574.01 | $2.57 | |
| 1y | ExhaustedBoyBilly | Yes / 0.1¢ | +17.02 | $0.02 | |
| 1y | FrutigerAero | No / 99.9¢ | +17.02 | $17 | |
| 1y | ExhaustedBoyBilly | Yes / 0.1¢ | +20.02 | $0.02 | |
| 1y | 2000ihg | No / 99.9¢ | +20.02 | $20 | |
| 1y | ExhaustedBoyBilly | Yes / 0.1¢ | +12.01 | $0.01 | |
| 1y | Aptapr | No / 99.9¢ | +12.01 | $12 | |
| 1y | Mauritius | No / 99.9¢ | +14.51 | $14.5 | |
| 1y | ExhaustedBoyBilly | Yes / 0.1¢ | +14.51 | $0.01 | |
| 1y | ExhaustedBoyBilly | Yes / 0.1¢ | +10.01 | $0.01 | |
| 1y | Mauritius | No / 99.9¢ | +10.01 | $10 | |
| 1y | ExhaustedBoyBilly | Yes / 0.1¢ | +20.02 | $0.02 | |
| 1y | Mauritius | No / 99.9¢ | +20.02 | $20 | |
| 1y | ExhaustedBoyBilly | Yes / 0.1¢ | +20.02 | $0.02 |
1–25
Bird flu pandemic in 2024?
No 100%$1.97Mvolume
100+ Bird Flu cases in U.S. before February?
No 100%$246Kvolume
Bird flu pandemic before August 2025?
No 100%$361Kvolume
100+ Bird Flu cases in U.S. before April?
No 100%$112Kvolume
Another state declare a state of emergency over bird flu before February?
No 100%$107Kvolume
Human to human bird flu transmission before February?
No 100%$223Kvolume