
Volume
$50K
Txns
532
Traders
156
Fees
$0
Ends
May 24, 2024
This market will resolve to “Yes” if Iran publicly accuses Israel of being behind the helicopter accident involving President Ebrahim Raisi by May 24, 2024, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise this market will resolve to "No." The accusation must be made by an official Iranian government spokesperson, such as the Supreme Leader, the President, or a representative from the Foreign Ministry. The resolution source for this market will be an official statement from the Iranian government.
Trades
| Age | Trader | Outcome | Shares | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1y | VibesGreaterRules | No / 99.9¢ | +100.00 | $99.9 | |
| 1y | professorx | No / 99.9¢ | -100.00 | $99.9 | |
| 1y | Antonin | No / 99.9¢ | -500.00 | $500 | |
| 1y | LBZcapital | Yes / 0.1¢ | +250.00 | $0.25 | |
| 1y | WashTrade | No / 99.8¢ | -2,676.71 | $2.67K | |
| 1y | Anjun | Yes / 0.2¢ | +222.00 | $0.44 | |
| 1y | professorx | No / 99.9¢ | +6,570.71 | $6.56K | |
| 1y | Apsalar | Yes / 0.1¢ | +1,000.00 | $1 | |
| 1y | 50Whence | Yes / 0.1¢ | +222.00 | $0.22 | |
| 1y | 50Whence | Yes / 0.1¢ | +200.00 | $0.2 | |
| 1y | ImJustKen | Yes / 0.1¢ | +1,500.00 | $1.5 | |
| 1y | CompulsiveGambler | Yes / 0.2¢ | -400.00 | $0.8 | |
| 1y | WashTrade | No / 99.8¢ | -400.00 | $399 | |
| 1y | CompulsiveGambler | Yes / 0.2¢ | +400.00 | $0.8 | |
| 1y | Antonin | No / 99.8¢ | +500.00 | $499 | |
| 1y | WashTrade | No / 99.8¢ | -100.00 | $99.8 | |
| 1y | 50Whence | Yes / 0.7¢ | -142.86 | $1 | |
| 1y | vaughan18912 | Yes / 0.7¢ | +142.86 | $1 | |
| 1y | ImJustKen | Yes / 0.2¢ | +14.41 | $0.03 | |
| 1y | Zolot | No / 99.8¢ | +14.41 | $14.4 | |
| 1y | LukaTheGoat | No / 99.8¢ | +2.51 | $2.5 | |
| 1y | ImJustKen | Yes / 0.2¢ | +2.51 | $0.01 | |
| 1y | 50Whence | Yes / 0.7¢ | -1.14 | $0.01 | |
| 1y | public-forgiver | No / 99.3¢ | -1.14 | $1.13 | |
| 1y | ImJustKen | Yes / 0.2¢ | +222.00 | $0.44 |
1–25
Will the Iranian regime fall by May 31?
No 99%$27Mvolume
Will the Iranian regime fall by June 30?
No 96%$47.5Mvolume
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?
No 70%$30.7Mvolume
Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by May 22, 2026?
No 100%$2.05Mvolume
Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by May 31, 2026?
No 85%$4.05Mvolume
Will Reza Pahlavi enter Iran by May 31?
No 100%$1.58Mvolume