
Volume
$238K
Txns
3,627
Traders
527
Fees
$0
Ends
Apr 30, 2026
This market will resolve to “Yes” if Israel carries out a kinetic military strike against the Fordow Fuel Enrichment Plant in Iran between the time of market creation and the listed date, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. This includes, but is not limited to, drone and missile strikes, aerial bombings, and kinetic actions carried out by Israeli operatives on the ground. Cyber attacks, sanctions, or diplomatic actions will not count toward the resolution of this market. Israeli air, missile, or drone strikes that are intercepted, shot down, or miss their target will not be considered for this market. The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.
Trades
| Age | Trader | Outcome | Shares | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23d | cassettes6 | No / 99.9¢ | -1.03 | $1.03 | |
| 23d | ZhangMuZhi.. | No / 99.9¢ | +1.03 | $1.03 | |
| 23d | jayceee | Yes / 0.1¢ | +10,000.00 | $10 | |
| 23d | ZhangMuZhi.. | No / 99.9¢ | +10,000.00 | $9.99K | |
| 23d | 0x6bDbBbf6b7A21c1bb1e83d5ba4c01ac1C4b64496-1771839100479 | No / 99.9¢ | -300.00 | $300 | |
| 23d | jayceee | Yes / 0.1¢ | +7,007.00 | $7.01 | |
| 23d | jayceee | Yes / 0.1¢ | +6,075.32 | $6.08 | |
| 23d | SpaceEx | No / 99.9¢ | +7,007.00 | $7K | |
| 23d | ZhangMuZhi.. | No / 99.9¢ | +6,375.32 | $6.37K | |
| 23d | jayceee | Yes / 0.1¢ | +9,000.00 | $9 | |
| 23d | jayceee | Yes / 0.1¢ | +5,005.01 | $5.01 | |
| 23d | ddolsw123r | No / 99.9¢ | +3,003.00 | $3K | |
| 23d | OraculumNobius | No / 99.9¢ | +5,005.01 | $5K | |
| 23d | jayceee | Yes / 0.1¢ | +2,002.00 | $2 | |
| 23d | x.o | No / 99.9¢ | +9,000.00 | $8.99K | |
| 23d | jayceee | Yes / 0.1¢ | +3,003.00 | $3 | |
| 23d | JusDuC | No / 99.9¢ | +2,602.60 | $2.6K | |
| 23d | OraculumNobius | No / 99.9¢ | +2,002.00 | $2K | |
| 23d | jayceee | Yes / 0.1¢ | +2,602.60 | $2.6 | |
| 23d | jayceee | Yes / 0.1¢ | +5.01 | $0.01 | |
| 23d | salchipapas | No / 99.9¢ | +5.01 | $5 | |
| 23d | salchipapas | No / 99.9¢ | +5.01 | $5 | |
| 23d | jayceee | Yes / 0.1¢ | +5.01 | $0.01 | |
| 23d | jayceee | Yes / 0.1¢ | +5.01 | $0.01 | |
| 23d | salchipapas | No / 99.9¢ | +5.01 | $5 |
1–25
US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 26, 2026?
No 92%$11.2Mvolume
US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?
No 79%$43.6Mvolume
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of May?
No 97%$23.7Mvolume
US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by May 24?
No 100%$1.58Mvolume
US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by May 23?
No 100%$1.44Mvolume
Will the Iran ceasefire continue through May 23?
Yes 100%$3.08Mvolume