
Volume
$1M
Txns
7,184
Traders
1,396
Fees
$0
Ends
Oct 18, 2024
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Israel initiates a military action on Iranian soil, airspace, or maritime territory or against any Iranian embassies between October 8, 2024, and October 18, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". For the purposes of this market, a "military action" will be considered to be any use of force executed by Israel on Iranian soil, airspace, or maritime territory (e.g. if a weapons depot on Iranian soil is hit by an Israeli missile, this market will resolve to "Yes") that is officially acknowledged by the Israeli government or a consensus of credible reporting. This includes, but is not limited to, airstrikes, naval attacks, or ground invasions. Cyber attacks, sanctions, or diplomatic actions will not count towards the resolution of this market. In the case that the "Yes" resolution criteria are met prior to this market's resolution date, this market will resolve immediately.
US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by June 9?
No 100%$7.02Mvolume
US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026?
No 96%$18.2Mvolume
Israel closes its airspace by June 9?
No 100%$1.44Mvolume
US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?
No 84%$22.3Mvolume
Iran closes its airspace by June 8?
Yes 100%$10.4Mvolume
Will Russia test a nuclear weapon by June 30 2026?
No 99%$683Kvolume
| Age | Trader | Outcome | Shares | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1y | VvVv | No / 99.9¢ | +183.57 | $183 | |
| 1y | VvVv | No / 99.9¢ | +925.43 | $925 | |
| 1y | Qualitative | No / 99.9¢ | -1,109.00 | $1.11K | |
| 1y | VvVv | No / 99.9¢ | +810.65 | $810 | |
| 1y | BigToeX | No / 99.9¢ | -810.65 | $810 | |
| 1y | VvVv | No / 99.9¢ | +208.33 | $208 | |
| 1y | Poly24 | No / 99.9¢ | -208.33 | $208 | |
| 1y | CyanoQuant | No / 99.9¢ | -417.45 | $417 | |
| 1y | VvVv | No / 99.9¢ | +417.45 | $417 | |
| 1y | alias2 | No / 99.9¢ | -0.52 | $0.52 | |
| 1y | VvVv | No / 99.9¢ | +0.52 | $0.52 | |
| 1y | VvVv | No / 99.9¢ | +416.48 | $416 | |
| 1y | Gortva | No / 99.9¢ | -416.48 | $416 | |
| 1y | VvVv | No / 99.9¢ | +898.30 | $897 | |
| 1y | 090x | No / 99.9¢ | -898.30 | $897 | |
| 1y | notebookled | No / 99.9¢ | -50.00 | $50 | |
| 1y | VvVv | No / 99.9¢ | +50.00 | $50 | |
| 1y | alex0c | No / 99.9¢ | -14.70 | $14.7 | |
| 1y | VvVv | No / 99.9¢ | +14.70 | $14.7 | |
| 1y | VvVv | Yes / 0.1¢ | +50.00 | $0.05 | |
| 1y | exit-liqudity | No / 99.9¢ | +50.00 | $50 | |
| 1y | Joe111-159 | No / 99.8¢ | +236.02 | $236 | |
| 1y | Jenein | No / 99.8¢ | -457.64 | $457 | |
| 1y | flowofmoney | No / 99.9¢ | +221.62 | $221 | |
| 1y | JamesNguyen12 | No / 99.9¢ | -21.68 | $21.7 |
1–25