
Volume
$16M
Txns
28,177
Traders
3,910
Fees
$0
Ends
Dec 31, 2024
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Israel carries out a kinetic military strike against any Iranian facility used for the development, enrichment, storage, or processing of nuclear material or technology, including reactors, enrichment facilities, uranium mines, and research centers located on Iranian soil, between October 1 and December 31, 2024, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. This includes, but is not limited to drone and missile strikes, aerial bombings, and kinetic actions carried out by Israeli operatives on the ground. Cyber attacks, sanctions, or diplomatic actions will not count towards the resolution of this market. Israeli missile and drone strikes which are shot down or miss their targets will not be considered for this market. The resolution source for this market is official statements from the Israeli and Iranian governments, however a consensus of credible reporting will also be used. Note: Cyber attacks will not qualify, even if they have kinetic effects.
US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by June 9?
No 100%$7.02Mvolume
US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026?
No 96%$18.2Mvolume
US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?
No 84%$22.3Mvolume
Iran closes its airspace by June 8?
Yes 100%$10.4Mvolume
Israel closes its airspace by June 9?
No 100%$1.11Mvolume
Will the Iranian regime fall by June 30?
No 99%$63.4Mvolume
| Age | Trader | Outcome | Shares | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1y | airdropper | No / 0.1¢ | -5,000.00 | $5 | |
| 1y | ExhaustedBoyBilly | Yes / 99.9¢ | -5,000.00 | $5K | |
| 1y | AIisTheNewWalkingDead | Yes / 99.8¢ | +5.00 | $4.99 | |
| 1y | MuleMaster | No / 0.2¢ | +5.00 | $0.01 | |
| 1y | kjihiuhi | No / 0.1¢ | -5,000.00 | $5 | |
| 1y | ExhaustedBoyBilly | Yes / 99.9¢ | -5,000.00 | $5K | |
| 1y | DenizKilic | No / 0.2¢ | +62,315.77 | $121 | |
| 1y | AIisTheNewWalkingDead | Yes / 99.8¢ | +9,955.02 | $9.94K | |
| 1y | ExhaustedBoyBilly | Yes / 99.8¢ | +28,229.21 | $28.2K | |
| 1y | AgricultureSecretary | Yes / 99.9¢ | +4,131.54 | $4.13K | |
| 1y | AIisTheNewWalkingDead | Yes / 99.8¢ | +10,000.00 | $9.98K | |
| 1y | AIisTheNewWalkingDead | Yes / 99.8¢ | +10,000.00 | $9.98K | |
| 1y | AgricultureSecretary | Yes / 99.9¢ | +300.00 | $300 | |
| 1y | Coldonn101 | No / 0.1¢ | +300.00 | $0.3 | |
| 1y | Thename-430 | No / 0.1¢ | +1,000.00 | $1 | |
| 1y | AgricultureSecretary | Yes / 99.9¢ | +456.46 | $456 | |
| 1y | surf | Yes / 99.9¢ | +543.54 | $543 | |
| 1y | scoops | No / 0.1¢ | +2,000.00 | $2 | |
| 1y | surf | Yes / 99.9¢ | +2,000.00 | $2K | |
| 1y | zzxx | No / 0.1¢ | +3,726.80 | $3.73 | |
| 1y | surf | Yes / 99.9¢ | +3,726.80 | $3.72K | |
| 1y | alidf | No / 0.1¢ | +16,729.66 | $16.7 | |
| 1y | surf | Yes / 99.9¢ | +16,729.66 | $16.7K | |
| 1y | surf | Yes / 99.9¢ | +17,000.00 | $17K | |
| 1y | Coldonn101 | No / 0.1¢ | +17,000.00 | $17 |
1–25