
Volume
$176K
Txns
2,566
Traders
458
Fees
$0
Ends
Sep 30, 2025
This market will resolve to “Yes” if Israel initiates a drone, missile, or air strike on three or more different countries' soil by September 30, 2025, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". Strikes on embassies or consulates will count towards the country the embassy or consulate is located in, not towards the country they represent. Strikes within the territory controlled by Israel as of September 11, 2025, 11:59 PM ET, as well as strikes within the West Bank or the Gaza Strip, will not be counted towards this market's resolution. For the purposes of this market, a qualifying "strike" is defined as the use of aerial bombs, drones or missiles (including cruise or ballistic missiles) launched by Israeli military forces that impact another country's ground territory that is officially acknowledged by the Israeli government or a consensus of credible reporting. Qualifying circumstances that will resolve this market to "Yes" include, for example, if all Syrian, Yemeni, and Qatari soil is hit by an Israeli missile or drone within this market's timeframe. Missiles or drones that are intercepted and surface-to-air missile strikes will not count towards the resolution of this market, regardless of whether they land on another country's territory or cause damage. Actions such as artillery fire, small arms fire, FPV or ATGM strikes directly, ground incursions, naval shelling, cyberattacks, or other operations conducted by Israeli ground operatives will not qualify. The resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?
No 81%$37.6Mvolume
Will the Iranian regime fall by June 30?
No 98%$64.9Mvolume
US-Iran nuclear deal by June 30?
No 57%$7.23Mvolume
Israel closes its airspace by June 10?
No 100%$1.55Mvolume
Israel x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?
No 95%$3.18Mvolume
Israel closes its airspace by June 15?
No 93%$4.53Mvolume
| Age | Trader | Outcome | Shares | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 8mo | MAGA.ONE | No / 99.9¢ | +100.00 | $99.9 | |
| 8mo | RotaryOp | Yes / 0.1¢ | +100.00 | $0.1 | |
| 8mo | RotaryOp | Yes / 0.1¢ | +100.00 | $0.1 | |
| 8mo | MAGA.ONE | No / 99.9¢ | +100.00 | $99.9 | |
| 8mo | MAGA.ONE | No / 99.9¢ | +1,000.00 | $999 | |
| 8mo | RotaryOp | Yes / 0.1¢ | +1,000.00 | $1 | |
| 8mo | MAGA.ONE | No / 99.9¢ | +100.00 | $99.9 | |
| 8mo | RotaryOp | Yes / 0.1¢ | +100.00 | $0.1 | |
| 8mo | RotaryOp | Yes / 0.1¢ | +100.00 | $0.1 | |
| 8mo | MAGA.ONE | No / 99.9¢ | +100.00 | $99.9 | |
| 8mo | MAGA.ONE | No / 99.9¢ | +100.00 | $99.9 | |
| 8mo | RotaryOp | Yes / 0.1¢ | +100.00 | $0.1 | |
| 8mo | RotaryOp | Yes / 0.1¢ | +1,000.00 | $1 | |
| 8mo | MAGA.ONE | No / 99.9¢ | +1,000.00 | $999 | |
| 8mo | MAGA.ONE | No / 99.9¢ | +100.00 | $99.9 | |
| 8mo | RotaryOp | Yes / 0.1¢ | +100.00 | $0.1 | |
| 8mo | RotaryOp | Yes / 0.1¢ | +1.00 | $0 | |
| 8mo | maozx | No / 99.9¢ | +1.00 | $1 | |
| 8mo | Scemer | Yes / 0.1¢ | -50.00 | $0.05 | |
| 8mo | RotaryOp | Yes / 0.1¢ | +50.00 | $0.05 | |
| 8mo | HolyMoses7 | No / 99.9¢ | +55.00 | $54.9 | |
| 8mo | RotaryOp | Yes / 0.1¢ | +55.00 | $0.06 | |
| 8mo | HolyMoses7 | Yes / 0.1¢ | -38.22 | $0.04 | |
| 8mo | RotaryOp | Yes / 0.1¢ | +38.22 | $0.04 | |
| 8mo | Frams | No / 99.9¢ | -6.23 | $6.22 |
1–25