
Volume
$58M
Txns
160,829
Traders
22,113
Fees
$0
Ends
Jan 31, 2026
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Iran's Supreme Leader, Ali Khamenei, is removed from power for any length of time between this market's creation and January 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". Khamenei will be considered to be removed from power if he resigns, is detained, or otherwise loses his position or is prevented from fulfilling his duties as Supreme Leader of Iran within this market's timeframe. The primary resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.
US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by June 9?
No 100%$3.83Mvolume
US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026?
No 95%$18.1Mvolume
US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?
No 84%$22.2Mvolume
Iran closes its airspace by June 8?
Yes 100%$10.1Mvolume
Will the Iranian regime fall by June 30?
No 99%$63.4Mvolume
Israel closes its airspace by June 9?
No 100%$1.02Mvolume
| Age | Trader | Outcome | Shares | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4mo | 0x3f90...4fcc98 | No / 99.9¢ | -20.24 | $20.2 | |
| 4mo | scout | No / 99.9¢ | +20.24 | $20.2 | |
| 4mo | 0x7c33...33e721 | No / 99.9¢ | -7.52 | $7.51 | |
| 4mo | scout | No / 99.9¢ | +7.52 | $7.51 | |
| 4mo | scout | No / 99.9¢ | +1.23 | $1.23 | |
| 4mo | 0x907c584F119283115c6edf7272a13F930fBbAbA2-1768068667027 | No / 99.9¢ | -1.23 | $1.23 | |
| 4mo | NatsuTooi | No / 99.9¢ | -113.71 | $114 | |
| 4mo | scout | No / 99.9¢ | +113.71 | $114 | |
| 4mo | scout | No / 99.9¢ | +1.23 | $1.23 | |
| 4mo | sentoram | No / 99.9¢ | -1.23 | $1.23 | |
| 4mo | 0xb11977630F7aFBeFa2536D7673561DD8b1e79352-1768291609110 | No / 99.9¢ | -60.97 | $60.9 | |
| 4mo | scout | No / 99.9¢ | +60.97 | $60.9 | |
| 4mo | CNSJDKV | No / 99.9¢ | -129.47 | $129 | |
| 4mo | scout | No / 99.9¢ | +129.47 | $129 | |
| 4mo | ghdklak | No / 99.9¢ | -107.36 | $107 | |
| 4mo | scout | No / 99.9¢ | +107.36 | $107 | |
| 4mo | scout | No / 99.9¢ | +126.31 | $126 | |
| 4mo | bladk | No / 99.9¢ | -126.31 | $126 | |
| 4mo | gdklakjfd | No / 99.9¢ | -92.00 | $91.9 | |
| 4mo | scout | No / 99.9¢ | +92.00 | $91.9 | |
| 4mo | gdfkla | No / 99.9¢ | -107.34 | $107 | |
| 4mo | scout | No / 99.9¢ | +107.34 | $107 | |
| 4mo | gsddfg | No / 99.9¢ | -138.71 | $139 | |
| 4mo | scout | No / 99.9¢ | +138.71 | $139 | |
| 4mo | scout | No / 99.9¢ | +3.73 | $3.73 |
1–25