
Volume
$190K
Txns
1,410
Traders
250
Fees
$0
Ends
Feb 28, 2026
This market will resolve to “Yes” if, between "25 bps decrease" and "No change", "25 bps decrease" becomes the favorite in the market "Fed decision in March?" (https://polymarket.com/event/fed-decision-in-march-885) for any four-hour period ending by February 28, 2026, 11:59 PM ET or earlier. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. "25 bps decrease" will be considered to have become the favorite for any four-hour period if it is ahead of "No change" in the majority of individual minutes during a qualifying time period. A tie in the number of minutes will not suffice. If the underlying market resolves prior to this market, this market will immediately resolve in accordance with the underlying market’s final outcome. If a listed option resolves “Yes,” this market will resolve immediately in favor of the corresponding market. Accordingly, if a listed option resolves “No,” this market will resolve in favor of the other option. If both options simultaneously resolve in the same direction, such as in the case of a negrisk market in which another option resolves “Yes”, this market will resolve 50-50. The resolution source will be the underlying minute-level price data for the "Fed decision in March?" market, which can be viewed using the bar chart on https://derivative.polymarket.com/will-cut-flip-pause-for-march-fed-decision-by-february-28 or through the “Get Resolution” tab with the time set to show the four-hour period window. Both interfaces display the same underlying data. Note: This market will resolve according to the price scoring methodology of derivative.polymarket.com.
| Age | Trader | Outcome | Shares | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3mo | OwenBell | No / 99.9¢ | +3.00 | $3 | |
| 3mo | 0xAa7575ba25247c8eb4C23DFeB39b0237fb59a864-1749118418017 | No / 99.9¢ | -3.00 | $3 | |
| 3mo | ArmageddonRewardsBilly | No / 99.8¢ | +394.10 | $393 | |
| 3mo | kookies97 | Yes / 0.2¢ | +394.10 | $0.79 | |
| 3mo | ArmageddonRewardsBilly | No / 99.9¢ | +5,010.28 | $5K | |
| 3mo | kookies97 | Yes / 0.2¢ | +6.98 | $0.01 | |
| 3mo | kmw3u6ro0qhe | No / 99.8¢ | +6.98 | $6.97 | |
| 3mo | nonkenny90 | No / 99.9¢ | -4,593.73 | $4.59K | |
| 3mo | f54940e77 | Yes / 0.2¢ | +416.55 | $0.83 | |
| 3mo | kookies97 | Yes / 0.2¢ | +15.45 | $0.03 | |
| 3mo | Tomer12 | No / 99.8¢ | +15.45 | $15.4 | |
| 3mo | nonkenny90 | No / 99.9¢ | -406.27 | $406 | |
| 3mo | KimWell21 | Yes / 0.1¢ | -406.27 | $0.41 | |
| 3mo | 0x4dd8...225972 | No / 99.6¢ | -64.92 | $64.7 | |
| 3mo | QMG-CORE | No / 99.6¢ | +64.92 | $64.7 | |
| 3mo | foodenjoyer | No / 99.6¢ | -1,345.45 | $1.34K | |
| 3mo | QMG-CORE | No / 99.6¢ | +1,345.45 | $1.34K | |
| 3mo | ArmageddonRewardsBilly | No / 99.6¢ | +5,000.00 | $4.98K | |
| 3mo | 0x5a20aF249345799b9e000CC93b8EC0aFc5A7AB28-1772216750788 | Yes / 0.4¢ | +10,060.00 | $45 | |
| 3mo | Jjw | No / 99.6¢ | +300.00 | $299 | |
| 3mo | KimWell21 | Yes / 0.5¢ | -476.64 | $2.38 | |
| 3mo | ArmageddonRewardsBilly | No / 99.5¢ | +4,283.36 | $4.26K | |
| 3mo | 0xE9C17bd27e3eddb0ddEB2DA292ca67F882EbE713-1766860236205 | Yes / 0.4¢ | +234.00 | $1 | |
| 3mo | Jjw | No / 99.6¢ | +110.00 | $110 | |
| 3mo | Jjw | No / 99.6¢ | +60.00 | $59.8 |
1–25
Favorite to win on Polymarket week after debate?
Kamala 100%$3.33Mvolume
Odds of US x Venezuela Military Engagement in 2025 Over 50% by Friday?
No 100%$3.2Kvolume
Fed Derivative: "No Change" or "25bps cut" favored on Friday?
25bps cut 100%$38.2Kvolume
2026 U.S. Senate Election: Democrats flip Republicans by March 31?
Yes 100%$152Kvolume
5+ days Gov Shutdown Odds >50% Monday Night (12-1 AM)?
No 100%$103Kvolume
Odds Nasralla wins Honduras presidential election Sunday over 30%?
Yes 100%$32.5Kvolume