
Volume
$328K
Txns
3,499
Traders
626
Fees
$0
Ends
Jun 30, 2026
This market will resolve to "Yes" if a nuclear weapon is detonated anywhere in the world between November 5, 2025 ET, and June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". For the purpose of this market's resolution, any detonation of a nuclear weapon anywhere on the planet Earth or in space will be sufficient to trigger a "Yes" resolution. This includes offensive usages, nuclear tests, and accidental detonations. Use/launch of a nuclear weapon that fails to detonate, a fake weapon that never detonates, or a dirty bomb that distributes radioactive material by means of a conventional explosion are not sufficient to trigger a "Yes" resolution of this market. Only a successful nuclear detonation will result in a "Yes" resolution. This market may resolve to "Yes" as soon as a nuclear detonation is confirmed by a preponderance of credible reporting. For the purpose of this market's resolution, determination as to whether a detonation was nuclear will be made by a preponderance of credible reporting.
US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by June 9?
No 100%$7.05Mvolume
Will Russia test a nuclear weapon by June 30 2026?
No 99%$3.08Mvolume
US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026?
No 96%$18.2Mvolume
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by June 15?
No 99%$5.9Mvolume
Israel closes its airspace by June 9?
No 100%$1.5Mvolume
Iran closes its airspace by June 8?
Yes 100%$10.5Mvolume
| Age | Trader | Outcome | Shares | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3mo | pm777777 | No / 88.0¢ | +46.00 | $40.5 | |
| 3mo | LemonBrothers | No / 88.0¢ | +96.35 | $84.8 | |
| 3mo | wastrel | Yes / 12.0¢ | +166.67 | $20 | |
| 3mo | 2wsx3edc3 | No / 88.0¢ | +24.32 | $21.4 | |
| 3mo | yrteyeyterthbtyfc | No / 89.0¢ | +94.48 | $84.1 | |
| 3mo | 0xf9d9...431ff9 | Yes / 11.0¢ | +94.48 | $10.4 | |
| 3mo | HulkSpeed | Yes / 12.0¢ | +8.33 | $1 | |
| 3mo | 2wsx3edc3 | No / 88.0¢ | +8.33 | $7.33 | |
| 3mo | SixSevennnnnn | Yes / 12.0¢ | +8.33 | $1 | |
| 3mo | 2wsx3edc3 | No / 88.0¢ | +8.33 | $7.33 | |
| 3mo | Nacho024 | No / 88.0¢ | -30.00 | $26.4 | |
| 3mo | 2wsx3edc3 | No / 88.0¢ | +30.00 | $26.4 | |
| 3mo | 0xf9d9...431ff9 | Yes / 11.0¢ | +10.00 | $1.1 | |
| 3mo | rumpelstinky | No / 89.0¢ | +10.00 | $8.9 | |
| 3mo | 0xf9d9...431ff9 | Yes / 11.0¢ | +187.22 | $20.6 | |
| 3mo | wwyy | No / 89.0¢ | +100.00 | $89 | |
| 3mo | stupidestmoney | No / 89.0¢ | +87.22 | $77.6 | |
| 3mo | thiromac | Yes / 11.0¢ | +454.55 | $50 | |
| 3mo | 0x6b0e...46e3ea | Yes / 11.0¢ | -9.00 | $0.99 | |
| 3mo | 0x6b0e...46e3ea | Yes / 11.0¢ | -90.90 | $10 | |
| 3mo | stupidestmoney | No / 89.0¢ | +12.78 | $11.4 | |
| 3mo | 0x6b0e...46e3ea | Yes / 11.0¢ | -290.99 | $32 | |
| 3mo | Elias.Thornwell | Yes / 11.0¢ | -41.79 | $4.6 | |
| 3mo | 0x6b0e...46e3ea | Yes / 11.0¢ | -9.09 | $1 | |
| 3mo | 3errab | Yes / 11.0¢ | +9.09 | $1 |
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