
Volume
$402K
Txns
3,221
Traders
539
Fees
$0
Ends
Feb 28, 2026
This market will resolve to “Yes” if the “Yes” option for the 'Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by March 31?' market (https://polymarket.com/event/khamenei-out-as-supreme-leader-of-iran-by-march-31) is priced over the listed value for a majority of minutes during any two-hour period between market creation and February 28, 2026, 11:59 PM ET or earlier. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. A tie in the number of minutes will not be sufficient for a "Yes" resolution. If the underlying market resolves prior to this market, this market will immediately resolve in accordance with the underlying market’s final outcome. The resolution source will be the underlying minute-level price data for the 'Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by March 31?' market, which can be viewed using the bar chart on https://derivative.polymarket.com/odds-of-khamenei-being-out-as-supreme-leader-by-march-31-over-20-in-february or through the “Get Resolution” tab, with the time set to look at a two-hour window. This will display a two-hour scoring window and the underlying minute-level comparisons. Both interfaces display the same underlying data. Note: This market will resolve according to the price scoring methodology of derivative.polymarket.com.
| Age | Trader | Outcome | Shares | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3mo | scout | Yes / 99.9¢ | +1,000.00 | $999 | |
| 3mo | Flashbream | No / 0.1¢ | +1,000.00 | $1 | |
| 3mo | scout | Yes / 99.9¢ | +418.96 | $419 | |
| 3mo | weather.fanatic | Yes / 99.9¢ | -418.96 | $419 | |
| 3mo | rtw | Yes / 99.9¢ | -210.00 | $210 | |
| 3mo | scout | Yes / 99.9¢ | +210.00 | $210 | |
| 3mo | tronet | No / 0.1¢ | +1,000.00 | $1 | |
| 3mo | scout | Yes / 99.9¢ | +1,000.00 | $999 | |
| 3mo | LukeDelta | No / 0.2¢ | -905.00 | $1.81 | |
| 3mo | 0x2C45f2bE0c74bf01580A4b558bb26979D6e64790-1758033737214 | Yes / 99.9¢ | +96.00 | $95.9 | |
| 3mo | whenisit | Yes / 99.8¢ | -1,001.00 | $999 | |
| 3mo | scout | Yes / 99.9¢ | +57,887.09 | $57.8K | |
| 3mo | ScottVan | No / 0.1¢ | -299.99 | $0.3 | |
| 3mo | 0x2C45f2bE0c74bf01580A4b558bb26979D6e64790-1758033737214 | Yes / 99.9¢ | +223.00 | $223 | |
| 3mo | yrqq4twh | No / 0.1¢ | +59,971.07 | $60 | |
| 3mo | 0xee67...0e67a6 | No / 0.1¢ | -375.00 | $0.38 | |
| 3mo | MartinaCandombe | No / 0.1¢ | -184.99 | $0.18 | |
| 3mo | whenisit | Yes / 99.9¢ | +500.50 | $500 | |
| 3mo | whenisit | Yes / 99.9¢ | +500.50 | $500 | |
| 3mo | scout | Yes / 99.9¢ | +3,000.00 | $3K | |
| 3mo | yrqq4twh | No / 0.1¢ | +3,000.00 | $3 | |
| 3mo | iknowthisandthat | No / 0.1¢ | +15,000.00 | $15 | |
| 3mo | scout | Yes / 99.9¢ | +15,000.00 | $15K | |
| 3mo | Cheeki | No / 0.1¢ | +1,000.00 | $1 | |
| 3mo | scout | Yes / 99.9¢ | +1,000.00 | $999 |
1–25
Favorite to win on Polymarket week after debate?
Kamala 100%$3.33Mvolume
Odds of US x Venezuela Military Engagement in 2025 Over 50% by Friday?
No 100%$3.2Kvolume
Fed Derivative: "No Change" or "25bps cut" favored on Friday?
25bps cut 100%$38.2Kvolume
2026 U.S. Senate Election: Democrats flip Republicans by March 31?
Yes 100%$152Kvolume
5+ days Gov Shutdown Odds >50% Monday Night (12-1 AM)?
No 100%$103Kvolume
Odds Nasralla wins Honduras presidential election Sunday over 30%?
Yes 100%$32.5Kvolume