
Volume
$20K
Txns
854
Traders
154
Fees
$0
Ends
Apr 30, 2026
This market will resolve to "Yes" if there is an official ceasefire agreement, defined as a publicly announced and mutually agreed halt in military engagement, between Pakistan and the Islamic Emirate of Afghanistan by April 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. If the agreement is officially reached before the resolution date, this market will resolve to "Yes," regardless of whether the ceasefire officially starts afterward. Any form of informal agreement will not be considered an official ceasefire. Humanitarian pauses will not count toward the resolution of this market. A peace deal or political framework will qualify if it includes a publicly announced and mutually agreed halt in military engagement, effective on a specific date. Frameworks or agreements that outline terms for a future peace but do not include an explicit, dated commitment to stop fighting will not count. This market's resolution will be based on official announcements from the governments of Pakistan and the Islamic Emirate of Afghanistan; however, a wide consensus of credible media reporting stating an official ceasefire agreement has been reached will suffice.
Trades
1–25
Pakistan military action against Kabul by March 31?
No 100%$27.4Kvolume
Pakistan military action against Kabul by April 15?
No 100%$5.03Kvolume
US announces return to Bagram base in Afghanistan by December 31?
No 100%$45.1Kvolume
Will the U.S. invade Afghanistan in 2025?
No 100%$187Kvolume
Pakistan military action against Kabul by April 30?
No 100%$3.92Kvolume
Pakistan strikes Kabul by February 28?
Yes 100%$22.7Kvolume