Sea/Air ceasefire in Ukraine before May?

This market will resolve to "Yes" if there is an official ceasefire agreement, defined as a publicly announced and mutually agreed halt in military engagement, specifically covering sea or air operations between Russia and Ukraine by April 30, 2025, 11:59 PM ET. A general ceasefire agreement which covers all theaters of war will qualify for a “Yes” resolution. If the agreement is officially reached before the resolution date, this market will resolve to "Yes," regardless of if/when the ceasefire goes into effect. Any form of informal agreement will not be considered an official ceasefire. Humanitarian pauses will not count toward the resolution of this market. This market's resolution will be based on official announcements from both Russia and Ukraine; however, a wide consensus of credible media reporting stating an official ceasefire agreement between Russia and Ukraine specifically addressing sea or air operations has been reached will suffice