
Volume
$167K
Txns
2,628
Traders
616
Fees
$0
Ends
Jan 15, 2025
If any SpaceX Starship successfully launches from its launchpad between January 1, 2025, and January 10, 2025, 11:59 PM CST, this market will resolve to “Yes”. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. The outcome of any launch will be corroborated by examining official video provided by SpaceX (https://www.youtube.com/c/SpaceX), as well as secondary video feeds and/or written reports if necessary. Any subsequent anomaly (e.g. an explosion) after the launch will have no bearing on the outcome. Any name change of the Starship with another vehicle will have no bearing on the outcome of the market.
Will the US confirm that aliens exist by June 30?
No 99%$4.64Mvolume
Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027?
No 86%$37.4Mvolume
Will the US confirm that aliens exist by September 30?
No 94%$1.35Mvolume
New pandemic in 2026?
No 89%$649Kvolume
Will SpaceX's market cap be less than $1.0T at market close on IPO day?
No 100%$96.5Kvolume
10.0 or above earthquake before 2027?
No 95%$843Kvolume
| Age | Trader | Outcome | Shares | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1y | pirateshere | No / 99.9¢ | +1,668.37 | $1.67K | |
| 1y | pirateshere | No / 99.9¢ | +2,000.00 | $2K | |
| 1y | Nanan | Yes / 0.1¢ | +5,000.00 | $5 | |
| 1y | ExhaustedBoyBilly | Yes / 0.1¢ | -1,331.63 | $1.33 | |
| 1y | Ethil | Yes / 0.1¢ | +5,000.00 | $5 | |
| 1y | ExhaustedBoyBilly | Yes / 0.1¢ | -701.37 | $0.7 | |
| 1y | 3r3rsdfs | No / 99.9¢ | +4,298.63 | $4.29K | |
| 1y | 3r3rsdfs | No / 99.9¢ | +1.04 | $1.04 | |
| 1y | jfasjhgdhj | No / 99.9¢ | -1.04 | $1.04 | |
| 1y | 3r3rsdfs | No / 99.9¢ | +1.05 | $1.05 | |
| 1y | jhfjkdshkjfh | No / 99.9¢ | -1.05 | $1.05 | |
| 1y | 3r3rsdfs | No / 99.9¢ | +1,000.00 | $999 | |
| 1y | stephaniewalsh | Yes / 0.1¢ | +1,000.00 | $1 | |
| 1y | losingmoneyxd | No / 99.9¢ | -600.00 | $599 | |
| 1y | d1k21 | Yes / 0.1¢ | -345.72 | $0.35 | |
| 1y | 3r3rsdfs | No / 99.9¢ | +254.28 | $254 | |
| 1y | d1k21 | Yes / 0.1¢ | -654.28 | $0.65 | |
| 1y | pirateshere | No / 99.9¢ | -654.28 | $654 | |
| 1y | Chebarkul | No / 99.9¢ | -9.00 | $8.99 | |
| 1y | pbryan | No / 99.9¢ | -6.00 | $5.99 | |
| 1y | aprilgarcia | No / 99.9¢ | -5.00 | $5 | |
| 1y | tara87 | No / 99.9¢ | -5.00 | $5 | |
| 1y | Arkanzas | No / 99.9¢ | -5.00 | $5 | |
| 1y | bridgetjenkins | No / 99.9¢ | -6.00 | $5.99 | |
| 1y | mar1nettik | No / 99.9¢ | -12.00 | $12 |
1–25