
Volume
$64K
Txns
1,011
Traders
279
Fees
$0
Ends
Apr 9, 2025
On April 2, 2025, Donald Trump announced reciprocal tariffs above the 10% baseline on 76 countries (59 countries specifically listed and the EU) scheduled to go into effect on April 9, 2025 at 12:01 a.m. EDT. See: https://www.theguardian.com/business/2025/apr/03/trumps-tariffs-the-full-list. This market will resolve to “Yes” if Donald Trump or his administration officially announces a pause, delay, or removal of all country specific reciprocal tariffs other than those placed on China by April 9, 12:00 AM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. Any announcement within this market's time frame will qualify regardless of if/when the policy goes into effect. An announcement of a pause, delay, or removal of all country specific reciprocal tariffs including China will qualify for a “Yes” resolution. This market’s primary resolution source will be official information from the Trump administration; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?
No 94%$73.2Mvolume
Will China invade Taiwan by June 30, 2026?
No 99%$11.3Mvolume
Will China blockade Taiwan by June 30?
No 99%$1.52Mvolume
China x Taiwan military clash before 2027?
No 90%$2.12Mvolume
China x Japan military clash before 2027?
No 90%$877Kvolume
Will China blockade Taiwan by in 2026?
No 94%$18.9Kvolume
| Age | Trader | Outcome | Shares | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1y | VvVv | Yes / 0.1¢ | -20.43 | $0.02 | |
| 1y | JDULIA | No / 99.9¢ | -20.43 | $20.4 | |
| 1y | split | No / 99.9¢ | -12.72 | $12.7 | |
| 1y | VvVv | Yes / 0.1¢ | -12.72 | $0.01 | |
| 1y | VvVv | Yes / 0.1¢ | -27.35 | $0.03 | |
| 1y | qwertzu | No / 99.9¢ | -27.35 | $27.3 | |
| 1y | jlo782 | No / 99.9¢ | +2.20 | $2.2 | |
| 1y | pootytherewardfarmer | Yes / 0.1¢ | +2.20 | $0 | |
| 1y | pootytherewardfarmer | Yes / 0.1¢ | +15.96 | $0.02 | |
| 1y | ;;;455 | No / 99.9¢ | +15.96 | $15.9 | |
| 1y | VvVv | Yes / 0.1¢ | +24.21 | $0.02 | |
| 1y | pootytherewardfarmer | Yes / 0.1¢ | +44.75 | $0.04 | |
| 1y | trashtier | No / 99.9¢ | +68.96 | $68.9 | |
| 1y | VvVv | Yes / 0.1¢ | +1.00 | $0 | |
| 1y | niolielie | No / 99.9¢ | +1.00 | $1 | |
| 1y | dde343e3e | No / 99.9¢ | +3.88 | $3.88 | |
| 1y | VvVv | Yes / 0.1¢ | +3.88 | $0 | |
| 1y | VvVv | Yes / 0.1¢ | +10.01 | $0.01 | |
| 1y | asd3669 | No / 99.9¢ | +10.01 | $10 | |
| 1y | VvVv | Yes / 0.1¢ | +5.20 | $0.01 | |
| 1y | jjhgfdsa | No / 99.9¢ | +5.20 | $5.19 | |
| 1y | VvVv | Yes / 0.1¢ | +5.68 | $0.01 | |
| 1y | 5trfvfrf | No / 99.9¢ | +5.68 | $5.67 | |
| 1y | VvVv | Yes / 0.1¢ | +3.18 | $0 | |
| 1y | ggtaasws2 | No / 99.9¢ | +3.18 | $3.18 |
1–25