
Volume
$6K
Txns
316
Traders
68
Fees
$0
Ends
Aug 29, 2025
This market will resolve to "Up" if Donald Trump's Silver Bulletin approval rating is higher on August 29, than August 22, 2025. This market will resolve to "Down" if Donald Trump's Silver Bulletin approval rating is higher on August 22, than August 29, 2025. This market will resolve to 50-50 if Donald Trump's Silver Bulletin approval rating is the same on each date. The data point for the second reference date will only be considered once a subsequent day’s data point has been published, thereby finalizing the value for the second date. If no data point is published for the first reference date, the most recent prior day with a published data point will be used instead. If no data point is published for the second reference date by 12:00 PM ET on the third calendar day after that date, the most recent prior day with a published data point will be used instead. This market's resolution source will be Silver Bulletin' approval rating poll aggregator, https://www.natesilver.net/p/trump-approval-ratings-nate-silver-bulletin, specifically the approval rating indicated by the green trend line for the resolution date. Changes in the methodology by which Silver Bulletin calculates the approval rating will have no bearing on the resolution of this market. If Silver Bulletin's approval rating becomes permanently unavailable, RealClearPolitics will be used. The resolution source reports the rating value to only one decimal point (e.g. 42.8%, 33.9%, etc). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026?
No 87%$23Mvolume
Will Trump restart Project Freedom by June 30?
Yes 100%$2.27Mvolume
US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?
No 71%$23.7Mvolume
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?
No 80%$37.3Mvolume
US x Iran permanent peace deal by December 31, 2026?
Yes 74%$11.7Mvolume
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by June 10, 2026?
No 100%$692Kvolume
| Age | Trader | Outcome | Shares | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 9mo | Kn0w1d | Down / 40.0¢ | +5.02 | $2.01 | |
| 9mo | chesko | Up / 60.0¢ | +5.02 | $3.01 | |
| 9mo | greenhill97 | Down / 16.0¢ | -18.96 | $3.03 | |
| 9mo | cr1ne | Down / 16.0¢ | +18.96 | $3.03 | |
| 9mo | AgricultureSecretary | Up / 59.0¢ | -26.00 | $15.3 | |
| 9mo | otaka.titanov | Up / 59.0¢ | +26.00 | $15.3 | |
| 9mo | otaka.titanov | Up / 51.0¢ | +26.00 | $13.3 | |
| 9mo | AgricultureSecretary | Up / 51.0¢ | -39.44 | $20.1 | |
| 9mo | gpt-new | Up / 51.0¢ | +13.44 | $6.85 | |
| 9mo | Goat8524 | Down / 55.0¢ | +5.00 | $2.75 | |
| 9mo | Kn0w1d | Down / 55.0¢ | -5.00 | $2.75 | |
| 9mo | AgricultureSecretary | Up / 58.0¢ | +408.33 | $237 | |
| 9mo | mombil | Up / 58.0¢ | -408.33 | $237 | |
| 9mo | BardoAzul | Up / 37.0¢ | -3.44 | $1.27 | |
| 9mo | acc-1 | Up / 37.0¢ | +3.44 | $1.27 | |
| 9mo | cr1ne | Down / 48.0¢ | +5.00 | $2.4 | |
| 9mo | acc-1 | Up / 52.0¢ | +5.00 | $2.6 | |
| 9mo | Jep-G | Down / 47.0¢ | -175.00 | $82.3 | |
| 9mo | acc-1 | Up / 54.0¢ | +5.00 | $2.7 | |
| 9mo | jcharger | Down / 47.0¢ | +180.00 | $84.5 | |
| 9mo | BardoAzul | Down / 12.0¢ | -3.44 | $0.41 | |
| 9mo | otaka.titanov | Up / 88.0¢ | -3.44 | $3.03 | |
| 9mo | Jep-G | Down / 47.0¢ | -4.26 | $2 | |
| 9mo | eikich1 | Down / 47.0¢ | +4.26 | $2 | |
| 9mo | Asuk | Down / 30.0¢ | +100.00 | $30 |
1–25