
Volume
$287K
Txns
1,680
Traders
345
Fees
$0
Ends
Jun 30, 2025
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Donald Trump signs any federal legislation or performs any executive action enacting a general 100% or greater tariff on imports in to the United States from the People's Republic of China by June 30, 2025, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". A general tariff that includes item specific exceptions will still qualify, as long as a policy of a general 100% or greater tariff on imports in to the United States from People's Republic of China is enacted. Any tariff which is officially enacted within the market's time frame will qualify, regardless of when the tariff goes into effect. If it becomes impossible for Trump to sign legislation/perform executive actions (e.g. he resigns), this market will resolve to "No". This market's primary resolution source will be official information from the Trump administration, however a consensus of credible information will also be used.
| Age | Trader | Outcome | Shares | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1y | Car | No / 0.1¢ | -110.17 | $0.11 | |
| 1y | SwarGo1 | Yes / 99.9¢ | -110.17 | $110 | |
| 1y | Car | No / 0.1¢ | -3,000.00 | $3 | |
| 1y | ALEX78 | No / 0.1¢ | +3,000.00 | $3 | |
| 1y | joshuanoeldeke | Yes / 99.9¢ | -49.62 | $49.6 | |
| 1y | Car | No / 0.1¢ | -49.62 | $0.05 | |
| 1y | Car | No / 0.1¢ | -5.00 | $0.01 | |
| 1y | bgtr | Yes / 99.9¢ | -5.00 | $5 | |
| 1y | kokoringa3 | Yes / 99.8¢ | -1.05 | $1.05 | |
| 1y | stompychan | No / 0.2¢ | -1.05 | $0 | |
| 1y | stompychan | No / 0.1¢ | +100.00 | $0.1 | |
| 1y | Tenebrus7 | Yes / 99.9¢ | +100.00 | $99.9 | |
| 1y | stompychan | No / 0.1¢ | +100.00 | $0.1 | |
| 1y | qwertzu | No / 0.1¢ | -100.00 | $0.1 | |
| 1y | ppcs | Yes / 99.7¢ | -26.08 | $26 | |
| 1y | Car | No / 0.3¢ | -26.08 | $0.08 | |
| 1y | 0x1C7Ea49c1B1badD8cdDf6fBD3e2cbCaf7fe3 | Yes / 99.9¢ | +8,500.00 | $8.49K | |
| 1y | 0x1C7Ea49c1B1badD8cdDf6fBD3e2cbCaf7fe3 | Yes / 99.9¢ | +8,500.00 | $8.49K | |
| 1y | Car | No / 0.1¢ | +17,000.00 | $17 | |
| 1y | AreWeNotEntertained | Yes / 99.9¢ | +9,428.67 | $9.42K | |
| 1y | qwertzu | No / 0.1¢ | +100.00 | $0.1 | |
| 1y | sayrus | Yes / 99.8¢ | -619.96 | $619 | |
| 1y | stompychan | No / 0.1¢ | +8,708.71 | $8.71 | |
| 1y | d1k21 | No / 0.2¢ | -212.88 | $0.43 | |
| 1y | sayrus | Yes / 99.8¢ | -212.88 | $212 |
1–25
Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?
No 93%$73.2Mvolume
Will China invade Taiwan by June 30, 2026?
No 99%$11.3Mvolume
Will China blockade Taiwan by June 30?
No 99%$1.52Mvolume
China x Taiwan military clash before 2027?
No 91%$2.12Mvolume
China x Japan military clash before 2027?
No 89%$874Kvolume
Will China blockade Taiwan by in 2026?
No 94%$18.5Kvolume