
Volume
$48M
Txns
29,956
Traders
3,369
Fees
$0
Ends
Jan 31, 2026
This market will resolve to "Yes" if U.S. government personnel (military, DEA, CIA, or any other agency) directly participates on the ground in an anti-cartel operation on Mexican soil by January 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No” U.S. personnel must directly participate to qualify. U.S. personnel involved in intelligence, surveillance, logistical, support, or advisory roles will not count. Only direct U.S. participation which is either confirmed by the U.S. Government or an overwhelming consensus of reporting will count. For example, previous operations such as the 2014 capture of Joaquín "El Chapo" Guzmán, in which U.S. forces were rumored to have been embedded with Mexican Marines, would not qualify. The primary resolution source for this market will be official statements from the U.S. government, however an overwhelming consensus of reporting may also be used.
| Age | Trader | Outcome | Shares | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4mo | Simon4s | Yes / 99.9¢ | +2,500.00 | $2.5K | |
| 4mo | tripping | No / 0.1¢ | +2,500.00 | $2.5 | |
| 4mo | noreasapa | Yes / 99.8¢ | +415.00 | $414 | |
| 4mo | jonathanbishop | No / 0.2¢ | +415.00 | $0.83 | |
| 4mo | noreasapa | Yes / 99.8¢ | +2.00 | $2 | |
| 4mo | 0xc717...72d0d7 | Yes / 99.8¢ | -2.00 | $2 | |
| 4mo | HZYTG | Yes / 99.8¢ | +131.25 | $131 | |
| 4mo | Bearpp | Yes / 99.8¢ | +10.17 | $10.1 | |
| 4mo | Bearpp | Yes / 99.8¢ | +196.82 | $196 | |
| 4mo | Bearpp | Yes / 99.8¢ | +67.89 | $67.8 | |
| 4mo | Zzdl | Yes / 99.8¢ | +6.78 | $6.77 | |
| 4mo | junkbonds | Yes / 99.8¢ | +1,538.61 | $1.54K | |
| 4mo | 0485710238574820219 | No / 0.2¢ | +5,000.00 | $10 | |
| 4mo | HZYTG | Yes / 99.8¢ | +45.27 | $45.2 | |
| 4mo | 0xec83...c8ecc4 | Yes / 99.8¢ | +5.76 | $5.75 | |
| 4mo | HZYTG | Yes / 99.8¢ | +6.78 | $6.77 | |
| 4mo | Zzdl | Yes / 99.8¢ | +45.28 | $45.2 | |
| 4mo | Zzdl | Yes / 99.8¢ | +131.25 | $131 | |
| 4mo | noreasapa | Yes / 99.8¢ | +2,814.14 | $2.81K | |
| 4mo | Simon4s | Yes / 99.9¢ | +2,500.00 | $2.5K | |
| 4mo | tripping | No / 0.1¢ | +2,500.00 | $2.5 | |
| 4mo | 0x0df7...d4e5ef | Yes / 99.9¢ | +2.00 | $2 | |
| 4mo | tripping | No / 0.1¢ | +2.00 | $0 | |
| 4mo | 0x0052...af4844 | Yes / 99.9¢ | +10.01 | $10 | |
| 4mo | tripping | No / 0.1¢ | +10.01 | $0.01 |
1–25
Sinaloa Gov. Ruben Rocha extradited to US by June 30?
No 92%$82.4Kvolume
U.S. anti-cartel ground operation in Mexico by June 30?
Yes 100%$409Kvolume
US issues Do-Not-Travel warning for Jalisco State by February 28, 2026?
No 100%$79.3Kvolume
Sinaloa Gov. Ruben Rocha extradited to US by May 15?
No 100%$257Kvolume
U.S. anti-cartel ground operation in Mexico by March 31?
No 100%$1.52Mvolume
US shelter-in-place order lifted in Jalisco by February 28?
Yes 100%$67.7Kvolume