
Volume
$48K
Txns
719
Traders
159
Fees
$0
Ends
—
This market will resolve to "Yes" if U.S. government personnel (military, DEA, CIA, or any other agency) directly participate on the ground in an anti-cartel operation or conduct a kinetic strike directed against a cartel on foreign soil by the specified date, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. U.S. personnel must directly participate to qualify. U.S. personnel involved in intelligence, surveillance, logistical, support, or advisory roles will not count. Only direct U.S. participation, confirmed by the U.S. Government or by an overwhelming consensus of reporting, will count. For example, previous operations such as the 2014 capture of Joaquín "El Chapo" Guzmán, in which U.S. forces were rumored to have been embedded with Mexican Marines, would not qualify. The primary resolution source for this market will be official statements from the U.S. government; however, an overwhelming consensus of reporting may also be used.
US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by June 9?
No 100%$7.03Mvolume
US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026?
No 96%$18.2Mvolume
Will Russia test a nuclear weapon by June 30 2026?
No 99%$1.33Mvolume
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by June 15?
No 99%$5.9Mvolume
Israel closes its airspace by June 9?
No 100%$1.45Mvolume
US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?
No 83%$22.3Mvolume
| Age | Trader | Outcome | Shares | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3mo | Kol. | Yes / 99.9¢ | -5.00 | $5 | |
| 3mo | ZhangMuZhi.. | Yes / 99.9¢ | +5.00 | $5 | |
| 3mo | steveeev | No / 0.1¢ | +6.12 | $0.01 | |
| 3mo | ZhangMuZhi.. | Yes / 99.9¢ | +6.12 | $6.11 | |
| 3mo | ZhangMuZhi.. | Yes / 99.9¢ | +61.02 | $61 | |
| 3mo | 0xc372...c73b5c | Yes / 99.9¢ | -61.02 | $61 | |
| 3mo | Hakei. | Yes / 99.9¢ | -1,027.93 | $1.03K | |
| 3mo | ZhangMuZhi.. | Yes / 99.9¢ | +1,027.93 | $1.03K | |
| 3mo | 0x405809651DaE4E0556E8F3740B1e16A7DF2D35b5-1768388246454 | No / 0.1¢ | +10.00 | $0.01 | |
| 3mo | PaddyAlpha | Yes / 98.9¢ | -18.84 | $18.6 | |
| 3mo | 0xleo888 | No / 1.1¢ | +100.00 | $1.1 | |
| 3mo | bjprolo | No / 1.0¢ | +100.00 | $1 | |
| 3mo | qqqppp-l1 | No / 1.0¢ | +100.00 | $1 | |
| 3mo | PaddyAlpha | No / 0.1¢ | +225.00 | $0.23 | |
| 3mo | ZhangMuZhi.. | Yes / 99.4¢ | +553.84 | $550 | |
| 3mo | L.X | Yes / 98.9¢ | +10.01 | $9.9 | |
| 3mo | PaddyAlpha | Yes / 98.9¢ | -10.01 | $9.9 | |
| 3mo | 0x1C343e9A8B109758e72414ea402c93d2A982b767-1771747219893 | Yes / 98.9¢ | +10.11 | $10 | |
| 3mo | PaddyAlpha | Yes / 98.9¢ | -10.11 | $10 | |
| 3mo | Hakei. | Yes / 98.0¢ | +6.90 | $6.76 | |
| 3mo | asfdt18 | No / 2.0¢ | +6.90 | $0.14 | |
| 3mo | PaddyAlpha | Yes / 98.4¢ | -100.00 | $98.4 | |
| 3mo | Hakei. | Yes / 98.6¢ | +169.00 | $167 | |
| 3mo | 2B9S | No / 1.2¢ | +69.00 | $0.83 | |
| 3mo | 0x1C343e9A8B109758e72414ea402c93d2A982b767-1771747219893 | Yes / 98.0¢ | -10.00 | $9.8 |
1–25