
Volume
$5M
Txns
19,883
Traders
2,790
Fees
$0
Ends
May 31, 2025
This market will resolve to "Yes" if an official agreement over trade and/or tariffs, defined as a publicly announced mutual agreement, is reached between the United States and China between April 8, and May 31, 2025, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. If such an agreement is officially reached before the resolution date, this market will resolve to "Yes", regardless of if/when the agreement goes into effect. Agreements that include the United States and China as parties, even if they also involve other countries will qualify for resolution. The primary resolution source for this market will be an official announcement by the United States and/or the People's Republic of China, however an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting confirming an agreement has been reached will also qualify.
Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?
No 93%$72.6Mvolume
Will China invade Taiwan by June 30, 2026?
No 99%$11.1Mvolume
US x China tariff agreement by June 30?
No 94%$26Kvolume
Will China blockade Taiwan by June 30?
No 99%$1.47Mvolume
Will Xi Jinping visit US before 2027?
Yes 89%$349Kvolume
Will China invade Taiwan by December 31, 2027?
No 85%$1.64Mvolume
| Age | Trader | Outcome | Shares | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1y | werwer | Yes / 99.9¢ | -195.46 | $195 | |
| 1y | rwo | Yes / 99.9¢ | +195.46 | $195 | |
| 1y | asdfsqwer | Yes / 99.9¢ | -211.23 | $211 | |
| 1y | rwo | Yes / 99.9¢ | +211.23 | $211 | |
| 1y | dcaSPX6900 | Yes / 99.9¢ | -159.64 | $159 | |
| 1y | rwo | Yes / 99.9¢ | +159.64 | $159 | |
| 1y | NeilCaffrey | No / 0.1¢ | +1,000.00 | $1 | |
| 1y | rwo | Yes / 99.9¢ | +1,000.00 | $999 | |
| 1y | rwo | Yes / 99.9¢ | +181.15 | $181 | |
| 1y | poooly | Yes / 99.9¢ | -181.15 | $181 | |
| 1y | laecherlich | No / 0.1¢ | +10,000.00 | $10 | |
| 1y | rwo | Yes / 99.9¢ | +10,000.00 | $9.99K | |
| 1y | Sm1 | Yes / 99.9¢ | -5.36 | $5.35 | |
| 1y | rwo | Yes / 99.9¢ | +5.36 | $5.35 | |
| 1y | rwo | Yes / 99.9¢ | +13.60 | $13.6 | |
| 1y | blops | Yes / 99.9¢ | -13.60 | $13.6 | |
| 1y | rwo | Yes / 99.9¢ | +41.66 | $41.6 | |
| 1y | komla | Yes / 99.9¢ | -41.66 | $41.6 | |
| 1y | rwo | Yes / 99.9¢ | +87.00 | $86.9 | |
| 1y | 0x245680d210516cB6E581c6Ad0B7253f38bc893D2-1737562394602 | Yes / 99.9¢ | -87.00 | $86.9 | |
| 1y | rwo | Yes / 99.9¢ | +117.00 | $117 | |
| 1y | rajuttu | Yes / 99.9¢ | -117.00 | $117 | |
| 1y | rwo | Yes / 99.9¢ | +238.09 | $238 | |
| 1y | dollarhunter | Yes / 99.9¢ | -238.09 | $238 | |
| 1y | godlikeluck | Yes / 99.9¢ | -1.14 | $1.14 |
1–25