
Volume
$33K
Txns
1,117
Traders
221
Fees
$0
Ends
Apr 30, 2026
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the U.S. government announces a full evacuation of the U.S. Embassy in Baghdad, Iraq, or a full evacuation of the embassy is otherwise confirmed by April 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". A full evacuation announced within this market's timeframe will qualify for a "Yes" resolution regardless of whether an actual evacuation subsequently takes place within the timeframe. Announcements of a partial evacuation, where some staff are intended to remain, will not count. The resolution source will be official statements from the U.S. government, or a consensus of credible reporting confirming the evacuation of the embassy.
Trades
US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 26, 2026?
No 88%$15.1Mvolume
Will the Iran ceasefire continue through May 24?
Yes 98%$7.07Mvolume
US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?
No 64%$45.9Mvolume
Iran closes its airspace by May 24?
No 99%$10.9Mvolume
Will the Iran ceasefire continue through May 25?
Yes 92%$1.87Mvolume
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of May?
No 97%$24.8Mvolume
| Age | Trader | Outcome | Shares | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24d | 0x405809651DaE4E0556E8F3740B1e16A7DF2D35b5-1768388246454 | Yes / 0.1¢ | +10.00 | $0.01 | |
| 24d | beenraping | No / 99.9¢ | +224.00 | $224 | |
| 24d | OneBadBet | No / 99.9¢ | -200.00 | $200 | |
| 24d | 0x716d...7870a8 | Yes / 0.1¢ | +14.00 | $0.01 | |
| 25d | TrangNgo | No / 99.7¢ | -68.76 | $68.6 | |
| 25d | Monteagudo | Yes / 0.3¢ | -68.76 | $0.21 | |
| 25d | TrangNgo | No / 99.7¢ | -30.00 | $29.9 | |
| 25d | 0x79a428Fec72943676983A220c7bBDa68B96BedB7-1775304817656 | Yes / 0.3¢ | -30.00 | $0.09 | |
| 25d | trashtier | No / 99.6¢ | +221.47 | $221 | |
| 25d | letsgo33 | Yes / 0.4¢ | +221.47 | $0.89 | |
| 25d | letsgo33 | Yes / 0.4¢ | +24.58 | $0.1 | |
| 25d | 0x04f4...847f6b | Yes / 0.4¢ | -24.58 | $0.1 | |
| 25d | 0x04f4...847f6b | Yes / 0.4¢ | -28.99 | $0.12 | |
| 25d | daroghi | No / 99.6¢ | -28.99 | $28.9 | |
| 26d | daroghi | No / 99.5¢ | -1.01 | $1 | |
| 26d | lysergic | No / 99.5¢ | +1.01 | $1 | |
| 26d | Goorsakbardari | Yes / 1.0¢ | +43.50 | $0.43 | |
| 26d | Perypery | Yes / 1.0¢ | -43.50 | $0.43 | |
| 26d | daroghi | No / 99.1¢ | +30.00 | $29.7 | |
| 26d | Goorsakbardari | Yes / 1.0¢ | +203.00 | $2 | |
| 26d | Perypery | Yes / 1.0¢ | -173.00 | $1.73 | |
| 26d | 0xfcab...3dbbf2 | No / 99.0¢ | -1.10 | $1.09 | |
| 26d | Perypery | Yes / 1.0¢ | -1.10 | $0.01 | |
| 26d | Perypery | Yes / 1.0¢ | -35.60 | $0.36 | |
| 26d | ImHereForTheRewards | No / 99.0¢ | -35.60 | $35.2 |
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