
Volume
$22K
Txns
722
Traders
169
Fees
$0
Ends
Apr 30, 2026
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the U.S. government announces a full evacuation of the U.S. Embassy in Beirut, Lebanon, or a full evacuation of the embassy is otherwise confirmed by April 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". A full evacuation announced within this market's timeframe will qualify for a "Yes" resolution regardless of whether an actual evacuation subsequently takes place within the timeframe. Announcements of a partial evacuation, where some staff are intended to remain, will not count. The resolution source will be official statements from the U.S. government, or a consensus of credible reporting confirming the evacuation of the embassy.
Trades
| Age | Trader | Outcome | Shares | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24d | 0x405809651DaE4E0556E8F3740B1e16A7DF2D35b5-1768388246454 | Yes / 0.1¢ | +10.00 | $0.01 | |
| 24d | Trustinghorse | No / 99.9¢ | +24.00 | $24 | |
| 24d | 0x716d...7870a8 | Yes / 0.1¢ | +14.00 | $0.01 | |
| 24d | ArmageddonRewardsBilly | No / 99.8¢ | -400.00 | $399 | |
| 24d | beenraping | No / 99.8¢ | +400.00 | $399 | |
| 24d | Fridius | No / 99.7¢ | +296.00 | $295 | |
| 24d | 44444444ben | Yes / 0.3¢ | +296.00 | $0.89 | |
| 25d | 44444444ben | Yes / 1.8¢ | -17.40 | $0.31 | |
| 25d | 44444444ben | Yes / 1.8¢ | -5.25 | $0.09 | |
| 25d | 44444444ben | Yes / 1.8¢ | -5.82 | $0.1 | |
| 25d | 44444444ben | Yes / 1.8¢ | -5.82 | $0.1 | |
| 25d | 44444444ben | Yes / 1.8¢ | -15.00 | $0.27 | |
| 25d | 0xee67...0e67a6 | Yes / 1.9¢ | -82.70 | $1.57 | |
| 25d | 44444444ben | Yes / 1.2¢ | -15.09 | $0.18 | |
| 25d | tthahaha | Yes / 1.7¢ | -10.00 | $0.17 | |
| 25d | 44444444ben | Yes / 1.1¢ | -90.71 | $1 | |
| 25d | 44444444ben | Yes / 0.5¢ | -17.87 | $0.09 | |
| 25d | 44444444ben | Yes / 1.6¢ | -15.09 | $0.24 | |
| 25d | tthahaha | Yes / 1.3¢ | -10.00 | $0.13 | |
| 25d | 44444444ben | Yes / 1.8¢ | -6.19 | $0.11 | |
| 25d | tkou | No / 98.0¢ | +17.74 | $17.4 | |
| 25d | 0xa60653a7d7D610c69cffD6f768262caA0C0c8273-1777383733913 | No / 99.4¢ | +12.59 | $12.5 | |
| 25d | tthahaha | No / 98.1¢ | +10.00 | $9.81 | |
| 25d | ACV9417 | Yes / 1.5¢ | +337.27 | $5 | |
| 25d | M2sx92kljs42 | No / 99.7¢ | -251.91 | $251 |
1–25
US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 26, 2026?
No 91%$11.5Mvolume
US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?
No 76%$43.8Mvolume
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of May?
No 97%$23.9Mvolume
Will the Iran ceasefire continue through May 24?
Yes 100%$4.47Mvolume
US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by May 24?
No 100%$1.66Mvolume
Will the Iran ceasefire continue through May 23?
Yes 100%$3.12Mvolume