
Volume
$227M
Txns
222,735
Traders
21,293
Fees
$0
Ends
Apr 30, 2026
This market will resolve to “Yes” if active US military personnel physically enter Iran at any point by the listed date (ET). Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". Military special operation forces will qualify; however, intelligence operatives will not count. US military personnel must physically enter the terrestrial territory of Iran to qualify. Entering Iran's maritime or aerial territory will not count. Military contractors, military advisors, or high-ranking US service members entering Iran for diplomatic purposes (and their accompanying entourage) will not qualify. The resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting. Note: Only US military personnel who deliberately enter the terrestrial territory of Iran for operational purposes (e.g., military, humanitarian, etc.) will qualify. Pilots who are shot down, or other cases in which US military personnel do not deliberately enter the terrestrial territory of Iran, will not qualify.
Trades
US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 26, 2026?
No 93%$11.6Mvolume
US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?
No 76%$43.9Mvolume
Will the Iran ceasefire continue through May 24?
Yes 100%$4.73Mvolume
US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by May 24?
No 100%$1.68Mvolume
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of May?
No 97%$24Mvolume
Will the Iran ceasefire continue through May 23?
Yes 100%$3.15Mvolume
| Age | Trader | Outcome | Shares | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1mo | Arron- | Yes / 99.9¢ | +36,200.00 | $36.2K | |
| 1mo | Arron- | Yes / 99.9¢ | +1,000.00 | $999 | |
| 1mo | 0x58fe...e8d826 | No / 0.1¢ | +1,000.00 | $1 | |
| 1mo | 0xB77fC9FbAca7be9ecB997f59679Be490D07A79e9-1775665943343 | No / 0.1¢ | +36,200.00 | $36.2 | |
| 1mo | 0x4234d6329C9Dd3824258855E358A82A5CF92070b-1775532484443 | No / 0.1¢ | +1,000.00 | $1 | |
| 1mo | Arron- | Yes / 99.9¢ | +1,000.00 | $999 | |
| 1mo | Arron- | Yes / 99.9¢ | +114.99 | $115 | |
| 1mo | 0x7c33...33e721 | Yes / 99.9¢ | -114.99 | $115 | |
| 1mo | Arron- | Yes / 99.9¢ | +14.47 | $14.5 | |
| 1mo | 0x3f90...4fcc98 | Yes / 99.9¢ | -14.47 | $14.5 | |
| 1mo | Arron- | Yes / 99.9¢ | +10,000.00 | $9.99K | |
| 1mo | TIKTOK27 | No / 0.1¢ | +10,000.00 | $10 | |
| 1mo | 0x8f6fE3CC0A509AB7F8f3dCDAC2ed44eeD635F20A-1774692737320 | No / 0.1¢ | +1,910.00 | $1.91 | |
| 1mo | Arron- | Yes / 99.9¢ | +1,910.00 | $1.91K | |
| 1mo | Arron- | Yes / 99.9¢ | +15,000.00 | $15K | |
| 1mo | 0xecE299089f53819f9d170147608186C673B7bF50-1775599128454 | No / 0.1¢ | +15,000.00 | $15 | |
| 1mo | 0x2Ca6343dB0F4a47823ddF5EEF0783d0F5D53E465-1775693430648 | No / 0.1¢ | +11,440.00 | $11.4 | |
| 1mo | Arron- | Yes / 99.9¢ | +11,440.00 | $11.4K | |
| 1mo | TwoTierKeir | Yes / 99.9¢ | -12,500.00 | $12.5K | |
| 1mo | Arron- | Yes / 99.9¢ | +12,500.00 | $12.5K | |
| 1mo | iamvitenko | No / 0.1¢ | +48,250.00 | $48.3 | |
| 1mo | Arron- | Yes / 99.9¢ | +48,250.00 | $48.2K | |
| 1mo | Arron- | Yes / 99.9¢ | +22.67 | $22.6 | |
| 1mo | chupaps | Yes / 99.9¢ | -22.67 | $22.6 | |
| 1mo | 0x58fe...e8d826 | No / 0.1¢ | +1,000.00 | $1 |
1–25