US forces enter Iran by December 31?
ResolvedVolume
$20M
Txns
89,011
Traders
8,346
Fees
$0
Ends
Dec 31, 2026
Volume
$20M
Txns
89,011
Traders
8,346
Fees
$0
Ends
Dec 31, 2026
This market will resolve to “Yes” if active US military personnel physically enter Iran at any point by the listed date (ET). Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". Military special operation forces will qualify, however intelligence operatives will not count. US military personnel must physically enter the terrestrial territory of Iran to qualify. Entering Iran's maritime or aerial territory will not count. Military contractors, military advisors, or high-ranking US service members entering Iran for diplomatic purposes (and their accompanying entourage) will not qualify. The resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.
Trades
US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 26, 2026?
No 91%$11.5Mvolume
US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?
No 77%$43.8Mvolume
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of May?
No 97%$23.9Mvolume
Will the Iran ceasefire continue through May 24?
Yes 100%$4.46Mvolume
US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by May 24?
No 100%$1.63Mvolume
Will the Iran ceasefire continue through May 23?
Yes 100%$3.12Mvolume
| Age | Trader | Outcome | Shares | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1mo | 0x2e6f...0f6efe | Yes / 99.9¢ | +1,500.00 | $1.5K | |
| 1mo | 0x3ce0...4a59d5 | No / 0.1¢ | +1,500.00 | $1.5 | |
| 1mo | queteimporta1 | No / 0.1¢ | +1,000.00 | $1 | |
| 1mo | Arron- | Yes / 99.9¢ | +1,000.00 | $999 | |
| 1mo | 0x5b5625E54b35321Ee9Ea21060c1A5Bcc08039100-1774573964391 | No / 0.1¢ | +50,000.00 | $50 | |
| 1mo | Arron- | Yes / 99.9¢ | +50,000.00 | $50K | |
| 1mo | ScottyNooo | No / 0.1¢ | +4,000.00 | $4 | |
| 1mo | Arron- | Yes / 99.9¢ | +4,000.00 | $4K | |
| 1mo | letradooor | Yes / 99.9¢ | -59.68 | $59.6 | |
| 1mo | Arron- | Yes / 99.9¢ | +59.68 | $59.6 | |
| 1mo | lardechois | Yes / 99.9¢ | -15.15 | $15.1 | |
| 1mo | Arron- | Yes / 99.9¢ | +15.15 | $15.1 | |
| 1mo | letradooor | Yes / 99.9¢ | +59.68 | $59.6 | |
| 1mo | Arron- | Yes / 99.9¢ | +292.17 | $292 | |
| 1mo | ScottVan | No / 0.1¢ | -200.00 | $0.2 | |
| 1mo | rwo | Yes / 99.9¢ | -567.00 | $566 | |
| 1mo | lardechois | Yes / 99.9¢ | +15.15 | $15.1 | |
| 1mo | beshbarma | No / 0.1¢ | +4,000.00 | $4 | |
| 1mo | rwo | Yes / 99.9¢ | +4,000.00 | $4K | |
| 1mo | rwo | Yes / 99.9¢ | +2.01 | $2.01 | |
| 1mo | 0xc195...ff7fbb | Yes / 99.9¢ | -2.01 | $2.01 | |
| 1mo | rwo | Yes / 99.9¢ | +5,000.00 | $5K | |
| 1mo | beshbarma | No / 0.1¢ | +5,000.00 | $5 | |
| 1mo | beshbarma | No / 0.1¢ | +1,000.00 | $1 | |
| 1mo | rwo | Yes / 99.9¢ | +1,000.00 | $999 |
1–25